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18096 Hamburg St
C+ Composite 60.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

18096 Hamburg St · Detroit, MI 48205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 893 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 92 Days on market
Built 1943 4,792 sqft lot $89/sqft · 30% above area Est $61k · 30% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent Investment Opportunity! 3-bedroom bungalow located on the east side. Currently rented at $1,000/month with a rental increase scheduled soon, offering strong and growing cash flow. Well-maintained home featuring spacious rooms and solid mechanicals. Convenient location near schools, parks, and major commuter routes. Immediate income with upside potential—perfect for any investor’s portfolio! Seller will require an accepted offer with proof of funds before access can be permitted. Let's make a deal.

Key facts

  • Strong cash flow
  • Near schools
  • Near parks

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYSTRONG CASH FLOWWELL MAINTAINEDCONVENIENT LOCATIONNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR PARKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $49k; list at $80k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,709 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
13.52%
Cash-on-cash
25.80%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$61,385
List price
$79,900
Delta
30.16%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18488 Waltham St 0.17mi 3/1.0 902 (+1%) 4mo $56,000 $62 88
18982 Hamburg St 0.35mi 3/1.0 952 (+7%) 3mo $45,000 $47 70
19161 Hamburg St 0.47mi 3/1.0 960 (+8%) 2mo $116,000 $121 64
19145 Strasburg St 0.47mi 3/1.5 931 (+4%) 7mo $90,000 $97 64
17401 Albion St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 865 (-3%) 1mo $50,000 $58 62
17892 Runyon St 0.52mi 3/1.5 995 (+11%) 2mo $56,000 $56 53
17330 Waltham St 0.25mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (+14%) 8mo $51,400 $50 53
19161 Joann St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-9%) 6mo $70,000 $86 48
19544 Hamburg St 0.69mi 3/1.0 962 (+8%) 8mo $50,000 $52 48
18709 Runyon St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+12%) 7mo $62,000 $62 47
17694 Teppert St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,013 (+13%) 6mo $120,000 $118 44
19193 Alcoy St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,024 (+15%) 8mo $21,000 $21 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$15,536
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$44,441
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,316 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,273/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$481

Break-even live

Break-even rent $707
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,100 $1.02 17d 1 0.20mi
18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,400 $1.34 24d 1 0.23mi
18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 44d 1 0.26mi
18119 Joann St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 24d 1 0.36mi
18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,450 $1.57 24d 1 0.37mi
18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,450 $1.66 22d 1 0.37mi
11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 942 $1,050 $1.11 44d 1 0.43mi
19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,225 $1.14 17d 1 0.53mi
19170 Joann St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1020 $1,400 $1.37 44d 1 0.60mi
19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,350 $1.32 17d 1 0.68mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 44d 1 0.68mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 17d 1 0.68mi
11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,175 $1.18 44d 1 0.81mi
12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 44d 1 0.88mi
12110 Christy St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,200 $1.26 17d 1 0.89mi
12740 August St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 5d 1 0.91mi
13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1031 $1,374 $1.33 17d 1 0.92mi
20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 17d 1 1.11mi
20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,349 $1.35 17d 1 1.13mi
20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 986 $1,300 $1.32 17d 1 1.24mi
20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 17d 1 1.29mi
20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 747 $1,300 $1.74 11d 1 1.30mi
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 17d 1 1.30mi
11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 990 $3,102 $3.13 15d 1 1.31mi
20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 1.31mi
20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,300 $1.21 4d 1 1.32mi
12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 24d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 83 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 78 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-03-18
    listed $79,900 Active 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Excellent Investment Opportunity! 3-bedroom bungalow located on the east side. Currently rented at $1,000/month with a rental increase scheduled soon, offering strong and growing cash flow. Well-maintained home featuring spacious rooms and solid mechanicals. Convenient location near schools, parks, and major commuter routes. Immediate income with upside potential - perfect for any investor's portfolio! Seller will require an accepted offer with proof of funds before access can be permitted. Let's make a deal.

  14. 2026-03-18
    listed $79,900 Active 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Excellent Investment Opportunity! 3-bedroom bungalow located on the east side. Currently rented at $1,000/month with a rental increase scheduled soon, offering strong and growing cash flow. Well-maintained home featuring spacious rooms and solid mechanicals. Convenient location near schools, parks, and major commuter routes. Immediate income with upside potential - perfect for any investor's portfolio! Seller will require an accepted offer with proof of funds before access can be permitted. Let's make a deal.

  15. 2026-01-29
    historical
  16. 2026-01-29
    historical
  17. 2025-10-28
    listed $80,000 Active
  18. 2025-10-28
    listed $80,000 Active
  19. 2021-03-12
    historical
  20. 2020-08-10
    status Pending
  21. 2020-08-10
    status Pending
  22. 2020-08-06
    historical
  23. 2018-12-13
    listed $19,500 Active
  24. 2018-12-13
    listed $19,500 Active
  25. 2009-01-20
    historical
  26. 2008-08-01
    listed $9,900
  27. 1999-06-15
    soldstatus $49,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,273 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,273 · $106/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,788
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,273
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,263
− Management
−$1,263
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$4,789
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,149
After-tax cash flow
$4,622/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+63.1% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-08-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-08-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-12-13 Listed $19,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-12-13 Listed $19,500 REALCOMP
  • 2009-01-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-08-01 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,273 · -9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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