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55 Hoffman St
D+ Composite 46.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

55 Hoffman St · Elmira, NY 14905
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,785 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1890 6,000 sqft lot Est $123k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

5-bedroom, 1.5-bath SH nestled in the heart of Elmira. Recently renovated and well-maintained property boasts five upstairs bedrooms, one and a half baths, and an inviting open floor plan living area perfect for entertaining guests or relaxing with family. The updated kitchen features contemporary appliances and ample storage. Located in a peaceful, family-friendly neighborhood, this home is within easy reach of local schools, parks, and shopping amenities. Additional highlights include a spacious 2-story garage, private driveway, deck, bonus room on first floor for additional bedroom or office, and storage shed.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Private driveway
  • Deck

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANUPDATED KITCHENCONTEMPORARY APPLIANCESAMPLE STORAGEPRIVATE DRIVEWAYDECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($719/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,215 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
6.90%
Cash-on-cash
2.16%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$123,165
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
55 Hoffman St 0.00mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,785 (0%) 0mo $115,000 $64 95
356 Euclid Ave 0.31mi 4/1.5 1,864 (+4%) 5mo $128,000 $69 74
816 W Gray St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,642 (-8%) 0mo $133,000 $81 66
558 Coburn St 0.62mi 4/1.5 1,716 (-4%) 0mo $125,020 $73 64
413 West Hudson St 0.55mi 4/1.5 1,888 (+6%) 1mo $45,000 $24 64
460 W 3rd St 0.55mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,716 (-4%) 0mo $40,000 $23 63
903 W 1st St 0.43mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,632 (-9%) 4mo $125,000 $77 57
106 Elm St 0.42mi 4/1.5 2,027 (+14%) 1mo $45,000 $22 57
507 Partridge St 0.52mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,592 (-11%) 3mo $106,500 $67 50
907 W Clinton St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,958 (+10%) 2mo $275,000 $140 48
930 W 1st St 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,600 (-10%) 5mo $145,000 $91 47
511 Davis St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,592 (-11%) 1mo $63,000 $40 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-15,340
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-7,930
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14905

Home prices YoY
-9.4%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,336 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$321 /mo · $3,858/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,260
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
514 W 1st St Unit A Elmira, NY 4.0 1.0 1416 $1,275 $0.90 43d 1 0.37mi
355 W Clinton St Unit 1 Elmira, NY 3.0 1.5 1650 $1,400 $0.85 43d 1 0.77mi
106 W 2nd St Unit A Elmira, NY 3.0 1.0 1395 $1,400 $1.00 43d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-19
    listed $119,000 Active
  3. 2016-05-10
    historical
  4. 2011-12-19
    listed $84,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,858 · $321/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,858 · $321/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,026
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$3,858
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,282
− Management
−$1,282
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable loss
−$1,119
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$268
After-tax cash flow
$988/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elmira City School District
NCES district ID
3610560
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,180
Composite
24.39/100
National rank
#7688
State rank
#580 of 590 in NY

Livability — Elmira

Score
62/100
State rank
#832
US rank
#16139

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elmira, NY
City population
14,276
Population (ZIP)
8,976

Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,931 people
By 2030
80,356 · -3.1%
By 2040
74,745 · -9.9%
By 2050
69,012 · -16.8%
By 2075
55,689 · -32.8%
By 2100
41,428 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chemung

2024 margin
R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.09%
Current HPI
252.0326
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $119,000 UNYREIS
  • 2016-05-10 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2011-12-19 Listed $84,500 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+9.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,858 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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