55 Hoffman St · Elmira, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
5-bedroom, 1.5-bath SH nestled in the heart of Elmira. Recently renovated and well-maintained property boasts five upstairs bedrooms, one and a half baths, and an inviting open floor plan living area perfect for entertaining guests or relaxing with family. The updated kitchen features contemporary appliances and ample storage. Located in a peaceful, family-friendly neighborhood, this home is within easy reach of local schools, parks, and shopping amenities. Additional highlights include a spacious 2-story garage, private driveway, deck, bonus room on first floor for additional bedroom or office, and storage shed.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Private driveway
- Deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($719/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.16%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $123,165
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Hoffman St | 0.00mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,785 (0%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $64 | 95 |
| 356 Euclid Ave | 0.31mi | 4/1.5 | 1,864 (+4%) | 5mo | $128,000 | $69 | 74 |
| 816 W Gray St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,642 (-8%) | 0mo | $133,000 | $81 | 66 |
| 558 Coburn St | 0.62mi | 4/1.5 | 1,716 (-4%) | 0mo | $125,020 | $73 | 64 |
| 413 West Hudson St | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 | 1,888 (+6%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $24 | 64 |
| 460 W 3rd St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,716 (-4%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $23 | 63 |
| 903 W 1st St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,632 (-9%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $77 | 57 |
| 106 Elm St | 0.42mi | 4/1.5 | 2,027 (+14%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $22 | 57 |
| 507 Partridge St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,592 (-11%) | 3mo | $106,500 | $67 | 50 |
| 907 W Clinton St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,958 (+10%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $140 | 48 |
| 930 W 1st St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,600 (-10%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $91 | 47 |
| 511 Davis St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,592 (-11%) | 1mo | $63,000 | $40 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-15,340
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-7,930
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14905
- Home prices YoY
- -9.4%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,336 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$321 /mo · $3,858/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $60
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514 W 1st St Unit A Elmira, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,275 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 355 W Clinton St Unit 1 Elmira, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,400 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 106 W 2nd St Unit A Elmira, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1395 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-03-19$119,000 Active
-
2016-05-10historical
-
2011-12-19$84,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,858 · $321/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,858 · $321/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,026
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$3,858
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,282
- − Management
- −$1,282
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$1,119
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$268
- After-tax cash flow
- $988/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elmira City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610560
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,180
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7688
- State rank
- #580 of 590 in NY
Livability — Elmira
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #832
- US rank
- #16139
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elmira, NY
- City population
- 14,276
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,976
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.09%
- Current HPI
- 252.0326
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+40.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $119,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-05-10 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2011-12-19 Listed $84,500 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,858 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…