316 Lawrence St · Marshall, MN 56258

$85,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 690 sqft · SingleFamily · 21 Days on market

Built 1945 3,310 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.5/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.2/10.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready home perfect for first home or turn key investment property. Recent updates include; new windows, siding, sheet rock, custom kitchen, refinished hardwood floors throughout main level and bedroom in basement w/walk in closet. Appliances were also recently updated.

Key facts

• New shingles
• Vinyl siding
• Hardwood floors

Tags

• NEW SHINGLES
• RADON MITIGATION SYSTEM
• VINYL SIDING
• VINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWS
• UPDATED KITCHEN CABINETS
• HARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Concrete parking
• Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Electric service with circuit breakers; Electric fuel
• Home design: Residential one-story home; Entry level: Main; Facing direction: Not specified
• Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof (8 years old or newer); Built: Not specified
• Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Corner lot; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on the main level)
• Flooring: Hardwood floors
• Bathrooms: One three-quarter bath on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air
• Interior features: Hardwood floors; Partially finished basement; Living/Dining room
• Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup in basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
• Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.2% in Marshall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#47 in MN, #1,265 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, commute F.
• Marshall Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #163 of 301 in MN (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 91 units permitted in Lyon County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lyon County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $65k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $83,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.22% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.21%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.00%
• DSCR: 1.62
• GRM: 6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 4.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.16×
• Total profit: $3,891
• Equity at exit: $12,674

10-year hold

• IRR: 13.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.10×
• Total profit: $26,094
• Equity at exit: $7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 56258

• Home prices YoY: -33.1%
• Active inventory: 212
• Price-to-rent: 6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,033 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$446
• Tax from tax record: −$58 /mo · $692/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$217
• Net cashflow: $278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $682

Max offer price $85,000

Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $326	-5% $302	+0% $278	+5% $254	+10% $229
Rent	-10% $196	-5% $237	+0% $278	+5% $318	+10% $359
Rate	-1.0pp $320	-0.5pp $299	base $278	+0.5pp $256	+1.0pp $233

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,250
• Closing costs: $2,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1302 Birch St Marshall, MN	2.0	1.0	810	$990	$1.22	44d	7	1.24mi

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-05-01
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-23
   historical Contingent - Inspection
3. 2026-04-20
   status Active
4. 2026-04-14
   historical Contingent - Inspection
5. 2026-04-10
   listed $85,000 Active
6. 2021-03-19
   soldstatus $65,000 Sold 277-char remark

   Show marketing remark (277 chars)

   Move in ready home perfect for first home or turn key investment property. Recent updates include; new windows, siding, sheet rock, custom kitchen, refinished hardwood floors throughout main level and bedroom in basement w/walk in closet. Appliances were also recently updated.

7. 2021-03-19
   soldstatus $65,000

   Show marketing remark (277 chars)

   Move in ready home perfect for first home or turn key investment property. Recent updates include; new windows, siding, sheet rock, custom kitchen, refinished hardwood floors throughout main level and bedroom in basement w/walk in closet. Appliances were also recently updated.

8. 2021-02-11
   status Pending 277-char remark

   Show marketing remark (277 chars)

   Move in ready home perfect for first home or turn key investment property. Recent updates include; new windows, siding, sheet rock, custom kitchen, refinished hardwood floors throughout main level and bedroom in basement w/walk in closet. Appliances were also recently updated.

9. 2021-02-04
   historical Contingent - Inspection 277-char remark

   Show marketing remark (277 chars)

   Move in ready home perfect for first home or turn key investment property. Recent updates include; new windows, siding, sheet rock, custom kitchen, refinished hardwood floors throughout main level and bedroom in basement w/walk in closet. Appliances were also recently updated.

10. 2021-01-31
    listed $65,000 Active 277-char remark

    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    Move in ready home perfect for first home or turn key investment property. Recent updates include; new windows, siding, sheet rock, custom kitchen, refinished hardwood floors throughout main level and bedroom in basement w/walk in closet. Appliances were also recently updated.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $692 · $58/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $822 · $68/mo
• Expected delta: +$130/yr (+$11/mo · 18.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,401
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,761
• − Property taxes: −$692
• − Insurance: −$425
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$992
• − Management: −$992
• − Depreciation: −$2,473
• Taxable income: $2,066
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$496
• After-tax cash flow: $2,835/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marshall Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2718940
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $47,798
• Composite: 40.09/100
• National rank: #3807
• State rank: #163 of 301 in MN

Livability — Marshall

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #47
• US rank: #1265

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Marshall, MN
• County: Lyon County · 15,888 people
• City population: 15,888
• Metro: Marshall, MN
• Population (ZIP): 15,888
• Household income: $72,731
• Rent vs Own: 34.2% rent · 65.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 483.0

Population outlook (Lyon County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 25,369 people
• By 2030: 24,890 · -1.9%
• By 2040: 23,599 · -7.0%
• By 2050: 22,383 · -11.8%
• By 2075: 20,076 · -20.9%
• By 2100: 18,901 · -25.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6% Black 4% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 14% English 6% Lithuanian 6%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Philippines
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lyon

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.8) · D 33.1% · R 64.9% · Other 2.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -30.2pp toward R · 2008: -1.6pp · 2024: -31.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.8 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+9.2 2008: R+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -87.90%
• Current HPI: 177.471
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Marshall, MN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

+30.8% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-01 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-23 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-20 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-14 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-10 Listed $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
• 2021-03-19 Sold (MLS) $65,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-02-11 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-02-04 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-01-31 Listed $65,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $692 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.