16 Skyline Dr · Bentonville, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great location near Blowing Springs Parks & Trials and close to the new OZ Trails Bike Park the chairlift-served mountain bike park. Trailer is in poor condition and will need full renovation.
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Parking
- Listed 373 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of Bella Vista Property Owners Association (monthly HOA); Community park
Exterior
- Parking: Aggregate driveway
- Utilities: Electricity available
- Home design: Single-story; Mobile home in Greenwich park
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation with skirting; Built 25+ years ago
- Exterior features: Near a park; Located in a subdivision; Public road frontage
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: No additional interior features listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $974 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 2.6% in Bentonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#2 in AR, #864 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 484 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 373 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 373 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.91%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $74,844
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Inspiration Dr | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $76 | 84 |
| 6 Mountain Crest Loop | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 20mo | $100,500 | $109 | 80 |
| 39 Skyline Dr | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 13mo | $75,000 | $81 | 76 |
| 12 Pine St | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 952 (+3%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $37 | 68 |
| 16 Pine St | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 812 (-12%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $62 | 52 |
| 75 Skyline Dr | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (+13%) | 21mo | $132,500 | $127 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $67,127
- Equity at exit
- $48,810
- IRR
- 35.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.42×
- Total profit
- $166,999
- Equity at exit
- $67,025
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72714
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 484
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,413 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$507
- Net cashflow
- $974
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,067 | -5% $1,020 | +0% $974 | +5% $927 | +10% $880 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $783 | -5% $878 | +0% $974 | +5% $1,069 | +10% $1,164 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,042 | -0.5pp $1,008 | base $974 | +0.5pp $939 | +1.0pp $903 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Riordan Rd Unit 1221880P Bella Vista, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $4,248 | $4.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1 Endon Cir Bella Vista, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $135,000 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $135,000 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 351 DOM
-
2025-06-13$135,000 Active
-
2024-10-02soldstatus $200,000
-
1992-06-30soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,317
- − Management
- −$2,317
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $10,137
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,433
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,250/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bentonville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503060
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,721
- Composite
- 51.85/100
- National rank
- #1661
- State rank
- #3 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bentonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #864
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Benton County · 259,241 people
- City population
- 67,689
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,350
- Household income
- $103,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 61.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.38%
- Current HPI
- 307.5796
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+610.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-13 Listed $135,000 NWARMLS
- 2024-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 1992-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $200 · +39.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…