Duplex
3740 Oldenburg Ln · College Station, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 91.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$410,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
FOR SALE & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; Rare 3/3 Duplex Near TAMU (Perfect for Aggie Parents!) We & acirc; & euro; & trade; re selling a 3-bedroom / 3-bath (each side) duplex just minutes from Texas A& amp; M. One side is rented to a family at $1600/month. The other is vacant and ready for move-in, but my wife and I have decided to sell our rental properties, including this one. Every bedroom has its own bathroom. Safe, quiet neighborhood, easy access to campus, H-E-B, restaurants, and bus routes. There are currently ZERO other 3/3 duplexes for sale in College Station, so this is a rare opportunity for Fall 2026 move-in. Call or email me to discuss a showing. John D
Key facts
- Access to h e b
- Access to bus routes
- Duplex near tamu
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 2003
- Construction: 2003 construction
- Exterior features: Located in the Edelweiss Gartens subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $410k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $381 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $190/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $410k).
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.3% in College Station — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in TX, #994 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-.
- College Station ISD (urban): math 58% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #113 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 1168 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,204/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($89k/yr) (locally 3329% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 91% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.98%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $398,724
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3609 Oldenburg Ct | 0.20mi | 6/6.0 | 2,676 (0%) | 21mo | $399,900 | $149 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-41,523
- Equity at exit
- $61,132
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-2,160
- Equity at exit
- $35,449
Cash invested: $114,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77845
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 1168
- Price-to-rent
- 16.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,204 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,150
- Tax from tax record
- −$620 /mo · $7,437/yr
- Insurance
- −$171
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$883
- Net cashflow
- $381
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 3 | $4,204 |
| #1 | 3 | 3 | $2,102 |
| #2 | 3 | 3 | $2,102 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,204 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $102,500
- Closing costs
- $12,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3210 Neuburg Ct College Station, TX | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2186 | $800 | $0.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $410,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 671-char remark
-
2026-06-17$410,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,437 · $620/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,503 · $625/mo
- Expected delta
- +$66/yr (+$6/mo · 0.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 91% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,448
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,966
- − Property taxes
- −$7,437
- − Insurance
- −$2,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,036
- − Management
- −$4,036
- − Depreciation
- −$11,927
- Taxable loss
- −$2,004
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$481
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,047/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- College Station ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807350
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,991
- Composite
- 46.54/100
- National rank
- #2428
- State rank
- #113 of 826 in TX
Livability — College Station
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #994
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- College Station, TX
- County
- Brazos County · 233,400 people
- City population
- 131,628
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,764
- Household income
- $88,851
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3329.0
Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,942 people
- By 2030
- 296,630 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 354,560 · +32.3%
- By 2050
- 414,616 · +54.7%
- By 2075
- 562,158 · +109.8%
- By 2100
- 678,828 · +153.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazos
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.31%
- Current HPI
- 175.9669
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.13%
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $410,000 FSBO.com
- 2013-08-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-09-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $7,437 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…