111-32 170th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Colonial-style home needing a complete overhaul, sold in its current condition. Great location and opportunity. Close proximity to stores, eateries, parks, schools, transportation, and other area conveniences.
Key facts
- Great location
- Complete overhaul
- Colonial-style home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $337k (3.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $337k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,373/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 1701% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($345k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $245k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.93%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $685,140
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111-19 169 St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,136 (-0%) | 6mo | $735,000 | $647 | 89 |
| 109-49 176 | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,156 (+1%) | 3mo | $660,000 | $571 | 75 |
| 110-44 177th St | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,160 (+2%) | 5mo | $755,000 | $651 | 70 |
| 105-15 171st St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,148 (+1%) | 7mo | $500,000 | $436 | 63 |
| 110-11 Guy R Brewer Blvd | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,268 (+11%) | 7mo | $400,000 | $315 | 58 |
| 16427 109th Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 998 (-12%) | 5mo | $577,000 | $578 | 58 |
| 11003 164th Pl | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 990 (-13%) | 5mo | $595,000 | $601 | 57 |
| 109-14 164th Pl | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-12%) | 8mo | $530,000 | $530 | 50 |
| 16410 Foch Blvd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,030 (-10%) | 1mo | $710,000 | $689 | 50 |
| 110-01 175th St | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,300 (+14%) | 6mo | $810,000 | $623 | 50 |
| 11511 180th St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-8%) | 1mo | $779,000 | $742 | 48 |
| 15513 113th Ave | 0.66mi | 3/4.0 | 1,280 (+12%) | 2mo | $767,600 | $600 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-31,127
- Equity at exit
- $52,171
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $5,699
- Equity at exit
- $30,253
Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11433
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,373 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$282 /mo · $3,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$708
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $600 | -5% $501 | +0% $402 | +5% $303 | +10% $204 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $136 | -5% $269 | +0% $402 | +5% $535 | +10% $669 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $578 | -0.5pp $491 | base $402 | +0.5pp $312 | +1.0pp $219 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,475
- Closing costs
- $10,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10940 175th St Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $4,000 | $3.08 | 19d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 105-17 170th St Unit 1 Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $3,200 | $3.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 17203 119th Ave Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $3,300 | $3.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 103-20 168th Pl Unit 2nd floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,900 | $2.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 15053 115th Dr Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1264 | $2,997 | $2.37 | 8d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 18334 Fonda Ave Saint Albans, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $4,000 | $3.70 | 18d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 120-06 172nd St Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $3,000 | $3.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 108-46 153rd St Unit 1FL Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,900 | $3.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 15307 Arlington Ter Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1470 | $3,800 | $2.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 120-23 Guy R Brewer Blvd Unit 1 Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,250 | $2.71 | 19d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 106-12 156th St Unit 2nd Fl Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $3,499 | $2.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 12606 172nd St Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $3,200 | $3.05 | 19d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 501 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 939 | $3,300 | $3.51 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 11649 147th St Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $3,600 | $2.81 | 8d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 90-48 171st St Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,750 | $2.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 90-32 179th St Unit 2nd fl Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $3,000 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 19223 116th Rd Saint Albans, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,200 | $4.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 119-15A 145th St Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $3,800 | $3.04 | 19d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8712 175th St Unit 6B Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $3,000 | $3.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 17545 88th Ave Unit 6F Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $2,950 | $2.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 139-18 Lakewood Ave Unit 2F Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $3,250 | $2.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 190-24 102nd Ave Unit First floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 88-56 162nd St Apt 2D Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 139-22 Lakewood Ave Unit 2F Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $3,250 | $3.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Apt 806 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $3,400 | $3.12 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 802 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,300 | $3.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 603 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,300 | $4.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 502 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,270 | $2.97 | 12d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 11516 199th St Saint Albans, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,800 | $3.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 12054 194th St Saint Albans, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1099 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-02-03status Pending
-
2026-01-06$349,900 Active
-
2009-07-08soldstatus $245,000
-
2009-07-08soldstatus $480,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,385 · $282/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,649 · $387/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,264/yr (+$105/mo · 37.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,480
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,600
- − Property taxes
- −$3,385
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,238
- − Management
- −$3,238
- − Depreciation
- −$10,179
- Taxable loss
- −$909
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$218
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,045/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,884
- Household income
- $77,519
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1701.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Asian 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 5% White 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, China, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Other Indo-European 13% Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.63%
- Current HPI
- 383.7055
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+42.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Listed $349,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $480,000 Public Records
- 2009-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,385 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…