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111-32 170th St
C Composite 59.16
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$349,900

111-32 170th St · New York, NY 11433
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1935 3,000 sqft lot Est $685k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Colonial-style home needing a complete overhaul, sold in its current condition. Great location and opportunity. Close proximity to stores, eateries, parks, schools, transportation, and other area conveniences.

Key facts

  • Great location
  • Complete overhaul
  • Colonial-style home

Tags

COLONIAL-STYLE HOMECOMPLETE OVERHAULGREAT LOCATIONCLOSE PROXIMITY TO STORESCLOSE PROXIMITY TO EATERIESCLOSE PROXIMITY TO PARKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $337k (3.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $337k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,373/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 1701% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($345k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $245k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $337,335 (3.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.93%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$685,140
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
111-19 169 St 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,136 (-0%) 6mo $735,000 $647 89
109-49 176 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,156 (+1%) 3mo $660,000 $571 75
110-44 177th St 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,160 (+2%) 5mo $755,000 $651 70
105-15 171st St 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,148 (+1%) 7mo $500,000 $436 63
110-11 Guy R Brewer Blvd 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,268 (+11%) 7mo $400,000 $315 58
16427 109th Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 998 (-12%) 5mo $577,000 $578 58
11003 164th Pl 0.29mi 3/2.0 990 (-13%) 5mo $595,000 $601 57
109-14 164th Pl 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-12%) 8mo $530,000 $530 50
16410 Foch Blvd 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,030 (-10%) 1mo $710,000 $689 50
110-01 175th St 0.32mi 3/2.5 1,300 (+14%) 6mo $810,000 $623 50
11511 180th St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,050 (-8%) 1mo $779,000 $742 48
15513 113th Ave 0.66mi 3/4.0 1,280 (+12%) 2mo $767,600 $600 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-31,127
Equity at exit
$52,171
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$5,699
Equity at exit
$30,253

Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11433

Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,373 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$282 /mo · $3,385/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$708
Net cashflow
$402

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,864
Max offer price $349,900
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $600 -5% $501 +0% $402 +5% $303 +10% $204
Rent -10% $136 -5% $269 +0% $402 +5% $535 +10% $669
Rate -1.0pp $578 -0.5pp $491 base $402 +0.5pp $312 +1.0pp $219

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,475
Closing costs
$10,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10940 175th St Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.5 1300 $4,000 $3.08 19d 1 0.37mi
105-17 170th St Unit 1 Jamaica, NY 3.0 2.0 850 $3,200 $3.76 25d 1 0.61mi
17203 119th Ave Jamaica, NY 3.0 2.0 1090 $3,300 $3.03 25d 1 0.67mi
103-20 168th Pl Unit 2nd floor Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,900 $2.90 25d 1 0.76mi
15053 115th Dr Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 1264 $2,997 $2.37 8d 1 0.77mi
18334 Fonda Ave Saint Albans, NY 4.0 1.0 1080 $4,000 $3.70 18d 1 0.77mi
120-06 172nd St Unit 2 Jamaica, NY 3.0 2.0 900 $3,000 $3.33 25d 1 0.81mi
108-46 153rd St Unit 1FL Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.0 900 $2,900 $3.22 25d 1 0.83mi
15307 Arlington Ter Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.5 1470 $3,800 $2.59 25d 1 0.83mi
120-23 Guy R Brewer Blvd Unit 1 Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.5 1200 $3,250 $2.71 19d 1 0.88mi
106-12 156th St Unit 2nd Fl Jamaica, NY 3.0 2.0 1208 $3,499 $2.90 25d 1 0.91mi
12606 172nd St Jamaica, NY 3.0 2.0 1050 $3,200 $3.05 19d 1 1.00mi
17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 501 Jamaica, NY 2.0 2.0 939 $3,300 $3.51 25d 1 1.04mi
11649 147th St Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.0 1280 $3,600 $2.81 8d 1 1.04mi
90-48 171st St Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,750 $2.75 25d 1 1.08mi
90-32 179th St Unit 2nd fl Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $3,000 $2.50 25d 1 1.15mi
19223 116th Rd Saint Albans, NY 3.0 1.0 800 $3,200 $4.00 25d 1 1.20mi
119-15A 145th St Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.5 1248 $3,800 $3.04 19d 1 1.26mi
8712 175th St Unit 6B Jamaica, NY 2.0 2.0 876 $3,000 $3.42 25d 1 1.30mi
17545 88th Ave Unit 6F Jamaica, NY 2.0 2.0 1224 $2,950 $2.41 25d 1 1.30mi
139-18 Lakewood Ave Unit 2F Jamaica, NY 3.0 2.0 1258 $3,250 $2.58 25d 1 1.31mi
190-24 102nd Ave Unit First floor Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.5 1000 $3,000 $3.00 25d 1 1.31mi
88-56 162nd St Apt 2D Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $3,000 $3.00 25d 1 1.32mi
139-22 Lakewood Ave Unit 2F Jamaica, NY 3.0 2.0 1008 $3,250 $3.22 25d 1 1.34mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Apt 806 Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 1090 $3,400 $3.12 15d 1 1.39mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 802 Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $3,300 $3.67 3d 1 1.39mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 603 Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $3,300 $4.12 25d 1 1.39mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 502 Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $3,270 $2.97 12d 1 1.39mi
11516 199th St Saint Albans, NY 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,800 $3.80 25d 1 1.46mi
12054 194th St Saint Albans, NY 3.0 1.0 1099 $3,200 $2.91 25d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-02-03
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-06
    listed $349,900 Active
  3. 2009-07-08
    soldstatus $245,000
  4. 2009-07-08
    soldstatus $480,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,385 · $282/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,649 · $387/mo
Expected delta
+$1,264/yr (+$105/mo · 37.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,480
− Mortgage interest
−$19,600
− Property taxes
−$3,385
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,238
− Management
−$3,238
− Depreciation
−$10,179
Taxable loss
−$909
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$218
After-tax cash flow
$5,045/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
37,884
Household income
$77,519
Rent vs Own
52.6% rent · 47.4% own
Severe rent burden
1701.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% Asian 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 5% White 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2%
Foreign-born
42% · Canada, China, United Kingdom
Languages at home
69% English-only · Other Indo-European 13% Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -250.63%
Current HPI
383.7055
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-03 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $349,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $480,000 Public Records
  • 2009-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,385 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…