11492 Summer Creek Dr · Lovejoy, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sellers are not accepting offers or showings at this time.
Key facts
- 0.72 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1989
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number: 06160B A005; Located in Clayton County, GA; Address: 11492 Summer Creek Drive, Hampton, GA 30228
- Financial info: Investor owned
- HOA & community: Has an association; no association fee (fee listed as 0) and no association fee inclusions
Exterior
- Parking: Garage parking (2 total spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); Resale property; Two-story; Located in the Summer Creek subdivision
- Construction: Built in 1989; Stucco exterior; Slab foundation; Other roof type
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Breakfast room; Dining area that seats 12+
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (total 3 bathrooms)
- Heating & cooling: No listed heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open living area with appraiser-measured 2448 finished square feet; Two levels; Bonus room; No shared/common walls; Fireplace in family room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $294k (5.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $266k (14.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $266k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.4% in Lovejoy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#317 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 547 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 13611% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $265k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.29%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $346,159
- List price
- $310,000
- Delta
- -10.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1478 Farrell Ln | 0.34mi | 5/3.0 | 2,511 (+0%) | 2mo | $332,000 | $132 | 78 |
| 1526 Woodvale St | 0.21mi | 5/3.0 | 2,644 (+6%) | 4mo | $327,500 | $124 | 74 |
| 1538 Woodvale St | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,644 (+6%) | 1mo | $306,200 | $116 | 72 |
| 345 Panhandle Pl | 0.22mi | 5/3.0 | 2,486 (-1%) | 15mo | $385,000 | $155 | 72 |
| 10736 Southwood Dr | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,504 (+0%) | 10mo | $310,000 | $124 | 63 |
| 1234 England Ter | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,688 (+7%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $115 | 53 |
| 1695 Beckworth Ln | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,644 (+6%) | 13mo | $339,900 | $129 | 52 |
| 1090 Lehavre Ct | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,672 (+7%) | 1mo | $312,000 | $117 | 51 |
| 11028 Southwood Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,398 (-4%) | 9mo | $313,700 | $131 | 45 |
| 1762 Wood Stork Dr | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,727 (+9%) | 9mo | $305,000 | $112 | 44 |
| 1127 Lehavre Ct | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,426 (-3%) | 12mo | $358,000 | $148 | 43 |
| 1909 Sawgrass Dr | 0.58mi | 5/3.0 | 2,763 (+10%) | 11mo | $320,000 | $116 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-58,232
- Equity at exit
- $46,222
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-66,646
- Equity at exit
- $26,803
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30228
- Home prices YoY
- -24.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 547
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,658 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$438 /mo · $5,258/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$558
- Net cashflow
- $-93
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1494 Townsend Ct Lovejoy, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3044 | $3,200 | $1.05 | 19d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 10950 Southwood Dr Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2116 | $2,095 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1241 England Ter Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2672 | $2,700 | $1.01 | 18d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 11086 Shadow Ct #60 Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2253 | $2,300 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 11657 Kades Trl Lovejoy, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3328 | $2,546 | $0.77 | 5d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1511 Mine Run Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2590 | $2,345 | $0.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1306 Pebble Beach Ln Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2610 | $2,375 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 10988 Mansura Pl Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2590 | $2,000 | $0.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11768 Registry Blvd Lovejoy, GA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3118 | $2,581 | $0.83 | 2d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2051 Registry Ct Lovejoy, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2188 | $1,940 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 865 McDonough Rd Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $2,275 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2195 Bridgewater Pass Lovejoy, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2430 | $2,800 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1135 Misty Meadows Way Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1942 | $2,245 | $1.16 | 5d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2275 Nicole Dr Lovejoy, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,835 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-04days on market $310,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $310,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $310,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $310,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $310,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$310,000 New 58-char remark
-
2026-04-30$310,000 Active
-
2025-01-03historical $2,195
-
2024-12-19historical
-
2024-12-19historical
-
2024-12-14$2,195
-
2024-12-04price $315,000
-
2024-12-04price $315,000
-
2024-11-21price $320,000
-
2024-11-21price $320,000
-
2024-11-06price $325,000
-
2024-11-06price $325,000
-
2024-10-25price $329,900
-
2024-10-25price $329,900
-
2024-10-10price $335,000
-
2024-10-10price $335,000
-
2024-09-26$340,000 New
-
2024-09-25$340,000 Active
-
2021-07-15soldstatus $265,000
-
2021-07-14soldstatus $265,000 Closed
-
2021-07-14soldstatus $265,000 Sold
-
2021-06-28status Under Contract
-
2021-06-28status Pending
-
2021-06-16$247,000 Active
-
2021-06-16$247,000 New
-
2021-05-07soldstatus $220,200
-
1992-04-01soldstatus $116,900
-
1992-04-01soldstatus $116,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,258 · $438/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,258 · $438/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,893
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$5,258
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,551
- − Management
- −$2,551
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$6,401
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,536
- After-tax cash flow
- $416/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clayton County
- NCES district ID
- 1301230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,266
- Composite
- 13.41/100
- National rank
- #9527
- State rank
- #155 of 174 in GA
Livability — Lovejoy
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #317
- US rank
- #17071
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Henry County · 316,359 people
- City population
- 606
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,402
- Household income
- $82,619
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1285.0
Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 310,777 people
- By 2030
- 329,762 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 368,052 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 401,196 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 472,488 · +52.0%
- By 2100
- 500,446 · +61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clayton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.11%
- Current HPI
- 222.0357
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-98.1% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-06-02 Rental Removed $2,261 RENTLY
- 2026-05-28 Listed for Rent $2,261 RENTLY
- 2026-04-30 Listed $310,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $310,000 FMLS
- 2025-01-03 Rental Removed $2,195 RENTLY
- 2024-12-19 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-12-19 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2024-12-14 Listed for Rent $2,195 RENTLY
- 2024-12-04 Price Changed $315,000 GAMLS
- 2024-12-04 Price Changed $315,000 FMLS
- 2024-11-21 Price Changed $320,000 FMLS
- 2024-11-21 Price Changed $320,000 GAMLS
- 2024-11-06 Price Changed $325,000 GAMLS
- 2024-11-06 Price Changed $325,000 FMLS
- 2024-10-25 Price Changed $329,900 GAMLS
- 2024-10-25 Price Changed $329,900 FMLS
- 2024-10-10 Price Changed $335,000 GAMLS
- 2024-10-10 Price Changed $335,000 FMLS
- 2024-09-26 Listed $340,000 GAMLS
- 2024-09-25 Listed $340,000 FMLS
- 2021-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-14 Sold (MLS) $265,000 GAMLS
- 2021-07-14 Sold (MLS) $265,000 FMLS
- 2021-06-28 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-06-28 Pending — FMLS
- 2021-06-16 Listed $247,000 GAMLS
- 2021-06-16 Listed $247,000 FMLS
- 2021-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $220,200 Public Records
- 1992-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $116,900 Public Records
- 1992-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $116,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,258 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…