1706 Searay Ln · Kure Beach, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$969,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Gorgeous 4 Bedroom / 4 Bath Home in Kure Beach is a builder's home with all the special touches. Welcoming hardwood foyer leads to bright, open Living Room with gas fireplace, Breakfast Area, spacious Kitchen, and Guest Bedroom. Upstairs includes amazing landing leading to 2 bedrooms, including Master Suite. Basement level offers wonderful Rec Room with outside entrance along with fourth bedroom and full bath. On top of the beautiful indoors, the outdoors completes the package with huge front and back porches and a Crow's Nest to enjoy the surrounding views. This is the perfect beach home in which to relax with family or enjoy guests with space for everyone!NO HOA!
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2004
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present (annual fee); association reports no listed amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (garage faces front); One garage space; Off-street parking; Total of 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (sewer connected); Cable available; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Three or more levels; Entry level: 2; RA-2T zoning
- Construction: Built with fiber cement and frame construction; Slab foundation; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Outdoor shower; Balcony; Covered, screened patio; Front and rear porches; See remarks (additional exterior details); Landscaped, level lot; Paved road frontage on city street and state road; Irrigation equipment; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric cooktop / Cooktop; Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Ice maker; Vented exhaust fan; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Bedroom count not specified
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms; Accessible full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating and cooling; Electric heating; Forced air
- Interior features: Master suite on the main level; Central vacuum; Walk-in closets; Vaulted and high ceilings; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings; Furnished; Gas log fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $970k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10k ($114k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($21k rent vs $970k).
- Recommended offer: $941k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 2.1% in Kure Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#303 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- New Hanover County Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #61 of 178 in NC (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Carolina Beach Elementary (math 55% / reading 59%, grade C+, #249 of 1,410 statewide, top 20%, 431 students, 32% FRL); Charles P Murray Middle (math 59% / reading 59%, grade B, #54 of 475 statewide, top 12%, 882 students, 34% FRL); Eugene Ashley High (math 48% / reading 68%, grade C, #243 of 535 statewide, top 46%, 1,975 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,581 units permitted in New Hanover County in 2024 (1,185 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Hanover County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $272k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($941k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $380k; list at $970k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.00%
- DSCR
- 2.87
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,069,404
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1725 Spot Ln | 0.05mi | 4/3.5 | 2,603 (-1%) | 3mo | $928,750 | $357 | 91 |
| 1615 Bonito Ln | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 | 2,506 (-5%) | 2mo | $990,000 | $395 | 77 |
| 1613 Bowfin Ln | 0.33mi | 4/5.0 | 2,973 (+13%) | 2mo | $1,195,000 | $402 | 57 |
| 465 Fort Fisher Blvd N | 0.69mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,600 (-1%) | 2mo | $1,057,777 | $407 | 55 |
| 1224 Croaker Ln | 0.59mi | 4/3.5 | 2,856 (+8%) | 3mo | $1,265,000 | $443 | 54 |
| 1225 Pinfish Ln | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 | 2,449 (-7%) | 3mo | $950,000 | $388 | 54 |
| 1503 Snapper Ln | 0.37mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,974 (+13%) | 3mo | $1,520,000 | $511 | 52 |
| 249 Seawatch Way | 0.49mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,913 (+11%) | 3mo | $1,325,000 | $455 | 52 |
| 114 Heather Ln | 0.45mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 3,005 (+14%) | 4mo | $1,160,000 | $386 | 43 |
| 1225 Searay Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,341 (-11%) | 2mo | $1,032,000 | $441 | 42 |
| 929 Salt Water Ln | 0.74mi | 4/3.5 | 2,290 (-13%) | 1mo | $810,000 | $354 | 41 |
| 425 Sandman Dr | 0.69mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,313 (-12%) | 2mo | $940,000 | $406 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $448,550
- Equity at exit
- $144,630
- IRR
- 45.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.31×
- Total profit
- $1,171,424
- Equity at exit
- $83,868
Cash invested: $271,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28449
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $20,518 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,087
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,212 /mo · $14,550/yr
- Insurance
- −$404
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,309
- Net cashflow
- $9,506
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $10,176 | -5% $9,841 | +0% $9,506 | +5% $9,171 | +10% $8,835 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $7,885 | -5% $8,695 | +0% $9,506 | +5% $10,316 | +10% $11,127 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $9,994 | -0.5pp $9,752 | base $9,506 | +0.5pp $9,254 | +1.0pp $8,999 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $242,500
- Closing costs
- $29,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1622 Swordfish Ln #1 Carolina Beach, NC | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2476 | $24,000 | $9.69 | 22d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 613 Clarendon Ave Carolina Beach, NC | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3630 | $4,500 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 321 Cape Fear Blvd Carolina Beach, NC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1845 | $4,500 | $2.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $969,999 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $969,999 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $969,999 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $969,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $969,999 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $969,999 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $969,999 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $969,999 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $969,999 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $969,999 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $969,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $969,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $969,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $969,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $969,999 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-29$969,999 Active
-
2015-08-07soldstatus $380,000 673-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
Gorgeous 4 Bedroom / 4 Bath Home in Kure Beach is a builder's home with all the special touches. Welcoming hardwood foyer leads to bright, open Living Room with gas fireplace, Breakfast Area, spacious Kitchen, and Guest Bedroom. Upstairs includes amazing landing leading to 2 bedrooms, including Master Suite. Basement level offers wonderful Rec Room with outside entrance along with fourth bedroom and full bath. On top of the beautiful indoors, the outdoors completes the package with huge front and back porches and a Crow's Nest to enjoy the surrounding views. This is the perfect beach home in which to relax with family or enjoy guests with space for everyone!NO HOA!
-
2015-02-24$400,000 673-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
Gorgeous 4 Bedroom / 4 Bath Home in Kure Beach is a builder's home with all the special touches. Welcoming hardwood foyer leads to bright, open Living Room with gas fireplace, Breakfast Area, spacious Kitchen, and Guest Bedroom. Upstairs includes amazing landing leading to 2 bedrooms, including Master Suite. Basement level offers wonderful Rec Room with outside entrance along with fourth bedroom and full bath. On top of the beautiful indoors, the outdoors completes the package with huge front and back porches and a Crow's Nest to enjoy the surrounding views. This is the perfect beach home in which to relax with family or enjoy guests with space for everyone!NO HOA!
-
2014-03-12historical
-
2013-10-29$425,000
-
2009-10-15historical
-
2009-04-07$480,000
-
2008-03-28historical
-
2008-01-21$518,900
-
2008-01-16historical
-
2007-07-17$499,000
-
2007-06-07historical
-
2007-01-31$699,000
-
2007-01-31historical
-
2007-01-31$738,000
-
2004-08-12historical
-
2004-03-31$449,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $246,215
- − Mortgage interest
- −$54,335
- − Property taxes
- −$14,550
- − Insurance
- −$4,850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$19,697
- − Management
- −$19,697
- − Depreciation
- −$28,218
- Taxable income
- $104,867
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$25,168
- After-tax cash flow
- $88,900/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This well-maintained, beach-style home in Kure Beach is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Resale paint trim — enhances curb appeal
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale paint trim — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Hanover County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703330
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,406
- Composite
- 43.13/100
- National rank
- #3081
- State rank
- #61 of 178 in NC
Livability — Kure Beach
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #303
- US rank
- #12563
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kure Beach, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,017
Population outlook (New Hanover County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,517 people
- By 2030
- 279,586 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 318,223 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 354,831 · +36.7%
- By 2075
- 437,158 · +68.5%
- By 2100
- 486,769 · +87.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Hanover
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: 0.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.1 2016: R+4.1 2012: R+4.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.31%
- Current HPI
- 246.571
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+116.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $969,999 Hive MLS
- 2015-08-07 Sold (MLS) $380,000 Hive MLS
- 2015-02-24 Listed $400,000 Hive MLS
- 2014-03-12 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2013-10-29 Listed $425,000 Hive MLS
- 2009-10-15 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2009-04-07 Listed $480,000 Hive MLS
- 2008-03-28 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2008-01-21 Listed $518,900 Hive MLS
- 2008-01-16 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2007-07-17 Listed $499,000 Hive MLS
- 2007-06-07 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2007-01-31 Listed $738,000 Hive MLS
- 2007-01-31 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2007-01-31 Listed $699,000 Hive MLS
- 2004-08-12 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2004-03-31 Listed $449,000 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…