16950 W Dixie Hwy A232 Hwy #232 · North Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.9%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 1 bed/1bath apartment in North Miami Beach across the street from the Monastery, minutes from Aventura Mall and beaches. Prime location with quick access to I-95 and 826 easy commuting. Unit shows very nice , no work needed.
Key facts
- $501 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1973
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $124 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.8% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fulford Elementary School (math 40% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,596 of 2,144 statewide, top 75%, 461 students, 64% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 47% / reading 55%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,074 students, 67% FRL); North Miami Beach Senior High (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #568 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 2152 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,556/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 17% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $738 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.87%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,404
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -6.29%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16851 NE 23rd Ave Unit A212 | 0.03mi | 1/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 0mo | $134,500 | $187 | 98 |
| 2025 NE 164th St #1015 | 0.37mi | 1/1.5 | 790 (+10%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $139 | 64 |
| 3010 Marcos Dr Unit R111 | 0.95mi | 1/1.0 | 768 (+7%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $156 | 52 |
| 2841 NE 163rd St #1211 | 0.83mi | 1/1.5 | 790 (+10%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $291 | 47 |
| 2841 NE 163 St #102 | 0.83mi | 1/1.5 | 785 (+9%) | 4mo | $169,000 | $215 | 44 |
| 3551 NE 169th St #105 | 1.20mi | 1/1.0 | 812 (+13%) | 0mo | $199,999 | $246 | 44 |
| 3600 NE 170th St #404 | 1.25mi | 1/1.5 | 812 (+13%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $222 | 42 |
| 1735 NE 164th St Unit A-302 | 0.68mi | 1/1.0 | 557 (-23%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $269 | 39 |
| 1554 NE 154th Ter | 1.25mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 812 (+13%) | 2mo | $329,000 | $405 | 37 |
| 3849 NE 169th St #302 | 1.40mi | 1/1.5 | 812 (+13%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $369 | 37 |
| 3703 NE 166th St #1009 | 1.27mi | 1/1.5 | 898 (+25%) | 6mo | $192,000 | $214 | 33 |
| 15770 NE 18th Ct | 0.85mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 830 (+15%) | 4mo | $365,000 | $440 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,748
- Equity at exit
- $44,379
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $17,043
- Equity at exit
- $56,419
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active · 2 under contract
- Median asking
- $125,000 ($158/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 355 d
- This list price
- 67% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +31.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 2152
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,556 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$501
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$537
- Net cashflow
- $124
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $221 | -5% $173 | +0% $124 | +5% $76 | +10% $28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-78 | -5% $23 | +0% $124 | +5% $225 | +10% $326 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $195 | -0.5pp $160 | base $124 | +0.5pp $88 | +1.0pp $51 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Lease consideredNo pets allowed
- HOA & community
- Monthly association fee of $501Association covers laundry, pest control, reserve fund, sewer, security and waterCommunity amenities include clubhouse and fitness center
Exterior
- Parking
- Detached garage (1 covered space)
- Security
- Key card entry
- Utilities
- Electric cooling
- Home design
- Mid-rise building (6 stories)Resale unitAttached propertyEntry on level 2
- Construction
- Block construction
- Exterior features
- BalconyOpen balcony/patio
Interior
- Kitchen
- Refrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Bedroom located on the main level
- Flooring
- Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Electric cooling
- Interior features
- Walk-in closet(s)Bedroom on main level
- Laundry & utility
- Common area laundry
HOA detail $501/mo · $6,012/yr condo
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $140,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $140,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $140,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $140,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $140,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $140,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $140,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $140,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $140,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $140,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $140,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $140,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $140,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $140,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $140,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $140,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $140,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $140,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $140,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $140,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $140,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $140,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $140,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $140,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $140,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $140,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $140,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $140,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $140,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $140,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $140,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $140,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $140,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $140,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $140,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $140,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $140,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $140,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 235-char remark
-
2026-06-08$140,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 90% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,675
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$5,818
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,454
- − Management
- −$2,454
- − HOA
- −$6,012
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$78
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$19
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,512/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 1-bedroom/1-bath condo in North Miami Beach is in good condition with minor repairs needed. Upgrades to the interior walls and countertops can significantly enhance its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint touch-ups — The paint appears to be in good condition, but touch-ups may be needed for a fresh look.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the appearance and appeal of the home, making it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Replace the kitchen countertops — Upgrading the countertops can add value and appeal to the home, especially for potential buyers who prefer modern finishes. ↑
- Both Upgrade the HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, which can benefit both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Miami Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #1177
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 3,126,439 people
- City population
- 34,147
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $140,000 MARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…