428 Kelker St · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Package Opportunity: 428 Kelker Street (with Adjoined 426 Kelker Street & Adjacent Corner Lot at 424 Kelker Street), Harrisburg, PA 17102 Attention investors and rehabbers! This semi-detached brick twin home (sharing one common wall with 426 Kelker St) in vibrant Midtown Harrisburg presents significant value-add potential for experienced buyers. Built in 1900 with approximately 1,878 sq ft of living space (per public records; some sources note variations around 1,702–2,230 sq ft) on a compact 1,123 sq ft lot, the property at 428 Kelker St is currently condemned and placarded by the Harrisburg Bureau of Fire for demolition due to structural concerns and safety issues. It is offered strictly as-is and requires substantial rehabilitation to bring it up to code. The interior is cluttered with personal belongings and debris, making navigation challenging—buyers should exercise extreme caution during any showings, and access may be limited. Estimated repairs could total around $100,000 (or more, depending on scope and contractor bids, similar to the adjoined property). With the right plan, this could transform into a desirable rental or resale, with comparable renovated homes in the area suggesting an after-repair value (ARV) of approximately $190,000 to $200,000. Seller prefers to sell as a package including the subject property at 428 Kelker St (listed at $24,900), the adjoined property at 426 Kelker St (listed at $44,900), and the adjacent corner lot at 424 Kelker St (listed at $9,900), for a combined total of $79,700. This creates an attractive opportunity for investors to acquire a larger contiguous footprint—potentially for side-by-side rehabs, expanded development, added parking/yard value, or multi-unit potential—subject to city approvals and zoning. Prospective buyers are strongly encouraged to consult directly with the City of Harrisburg Codes Bureau regarding any potential for rehabilitation, condemnation removal, or demolition avoidance. A structural engineer's report or detailed rehab plan may be required. No representations are made about the city's approval process, timelines, or feasibility—due diligence is essential, including verification of all listings, parcel details, and current status. Priced aggressively for a quick sale. Cash or hard money financing recommended; conventional loans unlikely due to condition. Contact listing agent for details on safely accessing the properties or discussing the package. All information provided is deemed reliable but not guaranteed—verify independently. Sold as-is, where-is, with no warranties expressed or implied.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 94 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $23k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 69.6% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 60 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 69.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 226.03%
- DSCR
- 11.06
- GRM
- 1.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $216,475
- List price
- $24,900
- Delta
- -88.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 427 Muench St | 0.08mi | 5/1.0 | 1,612 (-14%) | 2mo | $112,000 | $69 | 71 |
| 1330 Susquehanna St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,872 (-0%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $101 | 71 |
| 215 Muench St | 0.27mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,776 (-5%) | 3mo | $214,900 | $121 | 69 |
| 518 Emerald St | 0.51mi | 5/1.5 | 1,946 (+4%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $75 | 64 |
| 1212 Susquehanna St | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,980 (+5%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $91 | 59 |
| 2224 Green St | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,824 (-3%) | 4mo | $177,550 | $97 | 58 |
| 542 Seneca St | 0.63mi | 5/1.5 | 1,722 (-8%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $99 | 53 |
| 544 Schuylkill St | 0.75mi | 5/1.0 | 2,018 (+8%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $62 | 52 |
| 2008 Green St | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,124 (+13%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $139 | 51 |
| 540 Schuylkill St | 0.75mi | 5/1.0 | 2,046 (+9%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $61 | 50 |
| 233 Boas St | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,975 (+5%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $149 | 47 |
| 2119 Green St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-15%) | 2mo | $176,000 | $110 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.78×
- Total profit
- $82,104
- Equity at exit
- $3,713
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 28.21×
- Total profit
- $189,721
- Equity at exit
- $2,153
Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17102
- Home prices YoY
- -3.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 1.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,880 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $374/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $1,313
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,330 | -5% $1,322 | +0% $1,313 | +5% $1,305 | +10% $1,296 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,165 | -5% $1,239 | +0% $1,313 | +5% $1,387 | +10% $1,462 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,326 | -0.5pp $1,320 | base $1,313 | +0.5pp $1,307 | +1.0pp $1,300 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,225
- Closing costs
- $747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1716 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $2,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1716 N 6th St Unit NA Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2400 | $2,000 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1834 Green St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1792 | $1,495 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2032 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2118 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1383 | $1,595 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1330 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2280 | $1,895 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2153 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,995 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1706 | $1,495 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 652 Emerald St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,740 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2406 Reel St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,395 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 514 Radnor St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1498 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2715 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1620 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2728 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,750 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1423 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $3,000 | $2.09 | 15d | 10 | 1.27mi |
| 1708 State St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2320 | $1,745 | $0.75 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 111 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 66 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $2,195 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 29 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1285 | $1,895 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 14 S 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2136 | $1,695 | $0.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $24,900 Pending 94 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $24,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $24,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $24,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $24,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $24,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $24,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $24,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $24,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $24,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-03-10$24,900 Active 2663-char remark
Show marketing remark (2663 chars)
Investor Package Opportunity: 428 Kelker Street (with Adjoined 426 Kelker Street & Adjacent Corner Lot at 424 Kelker Street), Harrisburg, PA 17102 Attention investors and rehabbers! This semi-detached brick twin home (sharing one common wall with 426 Kelker St) in vibrant Midtown Harrisburg presents significant value-add potential for experienced buyers. Built in 1900 with approximately 1,878 sq ft of living space (per public records; some sources note variations around 1,702–2,230 sq ft) on a compact 1,123 sq ft lot, the property at 428 Kelker St is currently condemned and placarded by the Harrisburg Bureau of Fire for demolition due to structural concerns and safety issues. It is offered strictly as-is and requires substantial rehabilitation to bring it up to code. The interior is cluttered with personal belongings and debris, making navigation challenging—buyers should exercise extreme caution during any showings, and access may be limited. Estimated repairs could total around $100,000 (or more, depending on scope and contractor bids, similar to the adjoined property). With the right plan, this could transform into a desirable rental or resale, with comparable renovated homes in the area suggesting an after-repair value (ARV) of approximately $190,000 to $200,000. Seller prefers to sell as a package including the subject property at 428 Kelker St (listed at $24,900), the adjoined property at 426 Kelker St (listed at $44,900), and the adjacent corner lot at 424 Kelker St (listed at $9,900), for a combined total of $79,700. This creates an attractive opportunity for investors to acquire a larger contiguous footprint—potentially for side-by-side rehabs, expanded development, added parking/yard value, or multi-unit potential—subject to city approvals and zoning. Prospective buyers are strongly encouraged to consult directly with the City of Harrisburg Codes Bureau regarding any potential for rehabilitation, condemnation removal, or demolition avoidance. A structural engineer's report or detailed rehab plan may be required. No representations are made about the city's approval process, timelines, or feasibility—due diligence is essential, including verification of all listings, parcel details, and current status. Priced aggressively for a quick sale. Cash or hard money financing recommended; conventional loans unlikely due to condition. Contact listing agent for details on safely accessing the properties or discussing the package. All information provided is deemed reliable but not guaranteed—verify independently. Sold as-is, where-is, with no warranties expressed or implied.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,561
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,395
- − Property taxes
- −$374
- − Insurance
- −$124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,805
- − Management
- −$1,805
- − Depreciation
- −$724
- Taxable income
- $16,334
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,920
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,118
- Household income
- $54,573
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 720.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.43%
- Current HPI
- 451.4739
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.29%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Listed $24,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2026): $1,531 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…