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142 Whitner Dr
D- Composite 38.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.9/30.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.7/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$311,150

142 Whitner Dr · Hazel Green, AL 35750
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,323 sqft · SingleFamily · 72 Days on market
Built 2026 $134/sqft · 8% below area Est $337k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This new two-story home features a secluded study off the foyer, perfect for concentrating on important tasks throughout the week, near an open-concept floorplan that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. On the second floor, a versatile and inviting loft is surrounded by four bedrooms, including a luxurious owner's suite with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

Key facts

  • Secluded study
  • Full bathroom
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

SECLUDED STUDYOPEN-CONCEPT FLOORPLANVERSATILE LOFTOWNER'S SUITEFULL BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $311k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-748 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (34.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (42.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $178k (42.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#54 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($292k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $177,532 (42.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.57%
Cap rate
3.41%
Cash-on-cash
-10.30%
DSCR
0.54
GRM
14.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$337,413
List price
$311,150
Delta
-7.78%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
109 Huffman St 0.27mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,209 (-5%) 3mo $324,900 $147 72
137 Sublett Dr 0.19mi 4/2.5 2,572 (+11%) 2mo $309,000 $120 72
112 Huffman St 0.28mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,209 (-5%) 8mo $339,900 $154 67
113 Huffman St 0.26mi 4/3.0 2,583 (+11%) 2mo $359,900 $139 66
101 Oliver Ct 0.21mi 4/2.5 2,050 (-12%) 6mo $254,900 $124 66
176 Keller Dr 0.24mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,092 (-10%) 1mo $309,310 $148 64
173 Keller Dr 0.21mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,092 (-10%) 4mo $301,900 $144 63
122 Hazel Pine Trl 0.45mi 4/3.0 2,136 (-8%) 1mo $302,890 $142 63
170 Keller Dr 0.22mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,092 (-10%) 6mo $309,310 $148 62
162 Keller Dr 0.19mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,092 (-10%) 9mo $300,900 $144 60
148 Hazel Pine Trl 0.59mi 4/3.0 2,136 (-8%) 2mo $330,000 $154 55
134 Twin Rivers Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,106 (-9%) 8mo $399,900 $190 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$121,860
Equity at exit
$280,309
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
5.55×
Total profit
$396,366
Equity at exit
$604,496

Cash invested: $87,122 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35750

Home prices YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
256
Price-to-rent
14.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,775 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,632
Tax est. 1.5%
$389 /mo · $4,667/yr
Insurance
$130
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$373
Net cashflow
$-748

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,722
Max offer price $202,944
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,788
Closing costs
$9,334
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
108 Karenlee Cir Hazel Green, AL 4.0 2.0 1666 $1,685 $1.01 23d 1 0.14mi
143 Havner Dr Hazel Green, AL 4.0 2.0 1667 $1,775 $1.06 13d 1 0.16mi
147 Tobin Ln Hazel Green, AL 4.0 2.0 1884 $1,700 $0.90 43d 1 0.16mi
189 Tobin Ln Hazel Green, AL 3.0 2.0 1685 $1,775 $1.05 13d 1 0.17mi
171 Keller Dr Hazel Green, AL 3.0 2.0 1683 $1,616 $0.96 43d 1 0.22mi
236 Cherry Laurel Dr Hazel Green, AL 4.0 3.0 1964 $1,750 $0.89 23d 1 0.27mi
206 Hailey May Ct Hazel Green, AL 4.0 2.5 1924 $1,745 $0.91 13d 1 1.14mi
202 Hailey May Ct Hazel Green, AL 4.0 2.5 1727 $1,645 $0.95 23d 1 1.17mi
203 Hailey May Ct Hazel Green, AL 4.0 2.0 1797 $1,695 $0.94 23d 1 1.18mi
127 London Calvin Way Hazel Green, AL 4.0 2.5 1727 $1,645 $0.95 13d 1 1.19mi
119 London Calvin Way Hazel Green, AL 4.0 2.5 1924 $1,745 $0.91 13d 1 1.21mi
106 London Calvin Way Hazel Green, AL 4.0 2.0 1797 $1,684 $0.94 43d 1 1.22mi
115 London Calvin Way Hazel Green, AL 4.0 2.5 1971 $1,734 $0.88 43d 1 1.22mi
104 London Calvin Way Hazel Green, AL 4.0 2.5 1971 $1,745 $0.89 23d 1 1.22mi
102 London Calvin Way Hazel Green, AL 4.0 2.5 1924 $1,745 $0.91 23d 1 1.23mi
149 Hazel Trce Hazel Green, AL 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,695 $1.04 13d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $311,150 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $311,150 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $311,150 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $311,150 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $311,150 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $311,150 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $311,150 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $311,150 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $311,150 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $311,150 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $311,150 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $311,150 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $311,150 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-04-23
    price $304,900 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new two-story home features a secluded study off the foyer, perfect for concentrating on important tasks throughout the week, near an open-concept floorplan that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. On the second floor, a versatile and inviting loft is surrounded by four bedrooms, including a luxurious owner's suite with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

  15. 2026-04-07
    listed $302,900 Active 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new two-story home features a secluded study off the foyer, perfect for concentrating on important tasks throughout the week, near an open-concept floorplan that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. On the second floor, a versatile and inviting loft is surrounded by four bedrooms, including a luxurious owner's suite with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,304
− Mortgage interest
−$17,429
− Property taxes
−$4,667
− Insurance
−$1,556
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,704
− Management
−$1,704
− Depreciation
−$9,052
Taxable loss
−$14,809
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,554
After-tax cash flow
$-5,419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Hazel Green

Score
69/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#8575

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazel Green, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
13,413
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
13,413
Household income
$68,389
Rent vs Own
14.7% rent · 85.3% own
Severe rent burden
162.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 19% Asian 5% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 33.59%
Current HPI
444.7418
Rent YoY
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $304,900 Zillow
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $302,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…