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9205 E Point O Woods Dr
D+ Composite 49.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

9205 E Point O Woods Dr · Inverness, FL 34453
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily · 76 Days on market
Built 1965 Fair condition 9,897 sqft lot Est $226k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

COMPLETELY UPDATED 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath INVERNESS HOME! NEW ROOF, NEW A/C, NEW ELECTRICAL PANEL, NEW WINDOWS, NEW FLOORING, NEW FIXTURES and NEW APPLIANCES! NEW DRAINFIELD BEING INSTALLED! What a GREAT VALUE! Come and SEE IT TODAY!!

Key facts

  • 9,897 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Pool

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Driveway; Concrete surfaces; Total of 1 parking space
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Above-ground pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Freezer
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating
  • Interior features: Security system; Has a view
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer stacked; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($525/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (9.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.9% in Inverness — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#564 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Inverness Primary School (math 54% / reading 55%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 683 students, 65% FRL); Inverness Middle School (math 52% / reading 48%, grade C, #254 of 571 statewide, top 45%, 1,017 students, 60% FRL); Citrus High School (math 34% / reading 51%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,503 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 427 active listings in the ZIP; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $125k; list at $190k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,661 (9.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.57%
Cash-on-cash
0.99%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$225,720
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9104 E Aqua Vista Dr 0.09mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,014 (-6%) 5mo $232,600 $229 74
9529 E Village Green Cir 0.36mi 2/1.5 (-1) 982 (-9%) 4mo $170,000 $173 58
28 N Edinburgh Dr 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,077 (-0%) 3mo $125,000 $116 58
9402 E Southgate Dr 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,148 (+6%) 11mo $284,000 $247 55
138 S Lunar Ter 0.31mi 2/1.5 (-1) 933 (-14%) 6mo $210,000 $225 51
61 S Heron Creek Loop 0.51mi 2/2.0 (-1) 973 (-10%) 1mo $130,650 $134 50
9703 E Granada Ct 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,112 (+3%) 11mo $319,000 $287 45
299 S Edinburgh Dr 0.52mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,008 (-7%) 16mo $346,900 $344 45
11 S Heron Creek Loop 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 986 (-9%) 9mo $162,000 $164 45
9851 E Pebble Creek Ct 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,155 (+7%) 15mo $226,500 $196 35
9866 E Pebble Creek Ct 0.69mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,162 (+8%) 14mo $168,400 $145 35
178 N Golf Harbor Path 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,194 (+11%) 11mo $249,900 $209 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-27,959
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-20,651
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34453

Home prices YoY
-26.1%
Active inventory
427
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,717 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax est. 1.5%
$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$44

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,661
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $175 -5% $109 +0% $44 +5% $-22 +10% $-87
Rent -10% $-92 -5% $-24 +0% $44 +5% $112 +10% $179
Rate -1.0pp $139 -0.5pp $92 base $44 +0.5pp $-5 +1.0pp $-56

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $189,900 Active 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $189,900 Active 74 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    status $189,900 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    pricestatus $189,900 Pending 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,990 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,990 Active 69 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,990 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,990 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,990 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,990 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-04-10
    price $199,990
  12. 2026-03-25
    listed $202,900 Active
  13. 2020-06-17
    soldstatus $125,000 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    COMPLETELY UPDATED 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath INVERNESS HOME! NEW ROOF, NEW A/C, NEW ELECTRICAL PANEL, NEW WINDOWS, NEW FLOORING, NEW FIXTURES and NEW APPLIANCES! NEW DRAINFIELD BEING INSTALLED! What a GREAT VALUE! Come and SEE IT TODAY!!

  14. 2020-05-04
    listed $129,900 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    COMPLETELY UPDATED 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath INVERNESS HOME! NEW ROOF, NEW A/C, NEW ELECTRICAL PANEL, NEW WINDOWS, NEW FLOORING, NEW FIXTURES and NEW APPLIANCES! NEW DRAINFIELD BEING INSTALLED! What a GREAT VALUE! Come and SEE IT TODAY!!

  15. 2016-03-06
    historical
  16. 2016-02-12
    listed $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,599
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$2,848
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,648
− Management
−$1,648
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$2,656
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$638
After-tax cash flow
$1,163/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and enhance its resale value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen countertops — wear
  • Minor bathroom tiles — aged appearance
  • Minor exterior fence — weathered
  • Minor interior walls — faded paint
  • Minor landscaping — lawn needs mowing

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale replace kitchen countertops — new countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale repair exterior fence — aesthetic improvement and safety
  • Resale landscape lawn — improved curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen countertops · wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom tiles · aged appearance Minor $500–3,000
exterior fence · weathered Minor $500–3,000
interior walls · faded paint Minor $500–3,000
landscaping · lawn needs mowing Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $2,500–15,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale replace kitchen countertops — new countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale repair exterior fence — aesthetic improvement and safety
  • Resale landscape lawn — improved curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Citrus
NCES district ID
1200270
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,618
Composite
41.28/100
National rank
#3519
State rank
#44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Inverness

Score
67/100
State rank
#564
US rank
#10791

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Citrus County · 111,314 people
City population
10,621
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
Population (ZIP)
10,621
Household income
$57,568
Rent vs Own
19.3% rent · 80.7% own
Severe rent burden
240.0

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,622 people
By 2030
136,886 · -1.3%
By 2040
132,009 · -4.8%
By 2050
125,196 · -9.7%
By 2075
108,570 · -21.7%
By 2100
84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.32%
Current HPI
291.8965
Rent YoY
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+899.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $199,990 RACC
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $202,900 RACC
  • 2020-06-17 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-04 Listed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-06 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-02-12 Listed $20,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…