9205 E Point O Woods Dr · Inverness, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
COMPLETELY UPDATED 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath INVERNESS HOME! NEW ROOF, NEW A/C, NEW ELECTRICAL PANEL, NEW WINDOWS, NEW FLOORING, NEW FIXTURES and NEW APPLIANCES! NEW DRAINFIELD BEING INSTALLED! What a GREAT VALUE! Come and SEE IT TODAY!!
Key facts
- 9,897 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Pool
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Driveway; Concrete surfaces; Total of 1 parking space
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Stucco construction; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Above-ground pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Freezer
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating
- Interior features: Security system; Has a view
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer stacked; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($525/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (9.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.9% in Inverness — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#564 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Inverness Primary School (math 54% / reading 55%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 683 students, 65% FRL); Inverness Middle School (math 52% / reading 48%, grade C, #254 of 571 statewide, top 45%, 1,017 students, 60% FRL); Citrus High School (math 34% / reading 51%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,503 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 427 active listings in the ZIP; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $125k; list at $190k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.99%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $225,720
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9104 E Aqua Vista Dr | 0.09mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,014 (-6%) | 5mo | $232,600 | $229 | 74 |
| 9529 E Village Green Cir | 0.36mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 982 (-9%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $173 | 58 |
| 28 N Edinburgh Dr | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,077 (-0%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $116 | 58 |
| 9402 E Southgate Dr | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,148 (+6%) | 11mo | $284,000 | $247 | 55 |
| 138 S Lunar Ter | 0.31mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 933 (-14%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $225 | 51 |
| 61 S Heron Creek Loop | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 973 (-10%) | 1mo | $130,650 | $134 | 50 |
| 9703 E Granada Ct | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,112 (+3%) | 11mo | $319,000 | $287 | 45 |
| 299 S Edinburgh Dr | 0.52mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,008 (-7%) | 16mo | $346,900 | $344 | 45 |
| 11 S Heron Creek Loop | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 986 (-9%) | 9mo | $162,000 | $164 | 45 |
| 9851 E Pebble Creek Ct | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,155 (+7%) | 15mo | $226,500 | $196 | 35 |
| 9866 E Pebble Creek Ct | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,162 (+8%) | 14mo | $168,400 | $145 | 35 |
| 178 N Golf Harbor Path | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,194 (+11%) | 11mo | $249,900 | $209 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-27,959
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-20,651
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34453
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Active inventory
- 427
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,717 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $44
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $175 | -5% $109 | +0% $44 | +5% $-22 | +10% $-87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-92 | -5% $-24 | +0% $44 | +5% $112 | +10% $179 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $139 | -0.5pp $92 | base $44 | +0.5pp $-5 | +1.0pp $-56 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $189,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $189,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-18status $189,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricestatus $189,900 Pending 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,990 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,990 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,990 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,990 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,990 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $199,990 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $199,990
-
2026-03-25$202,900 Active
-
2020-06-17soldstatus $125,000 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
COMPLETELY UPDATED 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath INVERNESS HOME! NEW ROOF, NEW A/C, NEW ELECTRICAL PANEL, NEW WINDOWS, NEW FLOORING, NEW FIXTURES and NEW APPLIANCES! NEW DRAINFIELD BEING INSTALLED! What a GREAT VALUE! Come and SEE IT TODAY!!
-
2020-05-04$129,900 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
COMPLETELY UPDATED 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath INVERNESS HOME! NEW ROOF, NEW A/C, NEW ELECTRICAL PANEL, NEW WINDOWS, NEW FLOORING, NEW FIXTURES and NEW APPLIANCES! NEW DRAINFIELD BEING INSTALLED! What a GREAT VALUE! Come and SEE IT TODAY!!
-
2016-03-06historical
-
2016-02-12$20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,599
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,848
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,648
- − Management
- −$1,648
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$2,656
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$638
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and enhance its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen countertops — wear
- Minor bathroom tiles — aged appearance
- Minor exterior fence — weathered
- Minor interior walls — faded paint
- Minor landscaping — lawn needs mowing
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace kitchen countertops — new countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale repair exterior fence — aesthetic improvement and safety
- Resale landscape lawn — improved curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen countertops · wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom tiles · aged appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior fence · weathered | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| interior walls · faded paint | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · lawn needs mowing | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $2,500–15,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace kitchen countertops — new countertops improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale repair exterior fence — aesthetic improvement and safety ↑
- Resale landscape lawn — improved curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Inverness
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #564
- US rank
- #10791
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- City population
- 10,621
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,621
- Household income
- $57,568
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 240.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.32%
- Current HPI
- 291.8965
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+899.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $199,990 RACC
- 2026-03-25 Listed $202,900 RACC
- 2020-06-17 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-04 Listed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-06 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-12 Listed $20,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…