177 New Highland Rd · Springtown, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Like-new and move-in ready single story 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a beautiful 1-acre tract in desirable Springtown ISD. Built in 2020, this well-maintained single-story home features an open-concept floorplan with a spacious living area, large kitchen island, breakfast bar, abundant cabinetry, and split-bedroom arrangement for added privacy. Each bedroom offers a walk-in closet. Enjoy peaceful country living from the 7x6 front deck or the 15x10 rear deck overlooking the fenced acreage. The property is partially fenced with top-rail pipe fencing and no-climb horse wire, making it suitable for horses, pets, or hobby livestock. A decorative fenced front yard provides a safe and attrac
Key facts
- Large kitchen island
- Abundant cabinetry
- Move in ready
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Horse permitted on the property; Easements present; Parcel information on file
- Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Concrete parking pad; Side-by-side parking; RV access/parking
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Septic system; Well water; Co-op electric; Outside city limits; Asphalt road access
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story home; Property attached (yes)
- Construction: Built in 2020; Siding exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Rear porch; Gutters; Storage (including other on-site structures); Fenced yard with partial/perimeter pipe and wire fencing; Large backyard with grass, mostly cleared and level; Acreage setting (approximately 1 acre); Sandy loam soil
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island; Breakfast bar; Built-in cabinets; Dishwasher; Electric range; Vented exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with ensuite bath and walk-in closet; Two additional main-level bedrooms with walk-in closets (split bedroom layout)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Open floorplan with kitchen island and breakfast bar; Built-in features; High-speed internet available; Walk-in closets; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Separate utility room; Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Drip/dry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $229k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($318/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (16.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.4% in Springtown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#461 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Springtown ISD (town): math 36% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #435 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Springtown El (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 674 students, 60% FRL); Springtown Middle (math 33% / reading 45%, grade F, #690 of 1,662 statewide, top 42%, 628 students, 50% FRL); Springtown H S (math 38% / reading 47%, grade F, #721 of 1,632 statewide, top 45%, 1,182 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 528 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 437 units permitted in Parker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Parker County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.50%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $229,824
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 859 New Highland Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 8mo | $229,500 | $171 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-35,449
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-28,817
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76082
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Active inventory
- 528
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,914 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,269/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $27
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $156 | -5% $91 | +0% $27 | +5% $-38 | +10% $-103 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-125 | -5% $-49 | +0% $27 | +5% $102 | +10% $178 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $142 | -0.5pp $85 | base $27 | +0.5pp $-33 | +1.0pp $-93 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $229,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$229,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,269 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,191 · $349/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,922/yr (+$160/mo · 84.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,966
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$2,269
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,837
- − Management
- −$1,837
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable loss
- −$3,612
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$867
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,185/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
A well-maintained, move-in ready single-story home with a good condition score, ready for a fresh coat of paint and flooring upgrade to maximize its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Improves both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springtown ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841280
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,136
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5474
- State rank
- #435 of 826 in TX
Livability — Springtown
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #461
- US rank
- #9298
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Parker County · 144,797 people
- City population
- 24,880
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,880
- Household income
- $92,485
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 333.0
Population outlook (Parker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 147,426 people
- By 2030
- 157,863 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 177,519 · +20.4%
- By 2050
- 194,786 · +32.1%
- By 2075
- 238,799 · +62.0%
- By 2100
- 264,126 · +79.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Parker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.4) · D 16.4% · R 82.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -55.2pp · 2024: -66.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.4 2020: R+64.4 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+65.8 2008: R+55.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.65%
- Current HPI
- 262.1991
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $229,000 NTREIS
- 2021-09-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,269 · +20.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…