2 Sarah Ln · Wright, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 2 Sarah Lane in Fort Walton Beach, a move in ready home that combines comfort, functionality, and major updates that give buyers peace of mind. Recent improvements include a new roof, updated plumbing, and a new HVAC system installed in 2024. Inside, you'll find a bright and inviting layout with an open living area that flows naturally into the updated kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances and plenty of cabinet space. The spacious primary suite offers a private bathroom with a separate soaking tub and shower along with a generously sized closet. Additional rooms provide flexibility for guests, family or a home office setup. Outside, the private backyard creates the perfect
Key facts
- Storage building
- Metal workshop
- Mature shade trees
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned for mobile home; Lot is level, irregular and interior on a dead-end paved county road
- HOA & community: Subdivision: NONESUCH WAY
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Carport
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service; TV cable
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
- Construction: Built in 1991; Vinyl siding and trim; Pitched roof; Flat roof listed (property includes flat roof detail)
- Exterior features: Outdoor grill; Private yard; Lawn pump; Yard building; Rain gutters; Partially fenced lot; Covered and enclosed deck; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Freezer; Pantry
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (master bedroom on first floor with carpet, separate shower, and double vanity)
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Bookcases; Vaulted ceilings; Handicap provisions; Pantry; Split bedroom layout; Washer/dryer hookup; Storm doors; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.2% in Wright — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#117 in FL, #1,790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Kenwood Elementary School (math 68% / reading 64%, grade B+, #492 of 2,144 statewide, top 23%, 545 students, 58% FRL); Choctawhatchee Senior High School (math 42% / reading 50%, grade D-, #220 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 1,677 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 36% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.38%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,620
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -12.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,348
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $22,437
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32547
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,834 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,159/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $503
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1705 Conservation Trl Unit 104 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,900 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1004 McLaren Cir Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1537 | $2,500 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1008 Pineview Blvd Unit D Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1839 Sod Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,925 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 913 Landry St #5 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1319 Greendale Ave Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 713 N Park Blvd Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1363 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 699 Woodlawn Ave NW Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1567 | $2,240 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 984 Scenic Oak Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 976 Scenic Oak Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $1,675 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 977 Scenic Oak Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1128 Sweetbriar Station Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1329 White Blossom Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1735 | $1,900 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 216 Cloverdale Blvd Unit C Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,700 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 954 Scenic Oak Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 905 Piedmont Pl Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,695 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 309 Union St Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2800 Bradford Pl NW Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 13d | 5 | 0.49mi |
| 537 Schneider Dr Unit A Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2809 Bradford Pl NW Unit 4 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2809 Bradford Pl NW Unit 3 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 702 Terrance Ct Unit A Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1009 | $1,700 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2812 Bradford Pl NW Unit 4 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1917 Heartland Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $2,200 | $1.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 964 Southern Oaks Ct Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $2,000 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 507 Landview St Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2813 Bradford Pl NW Unit 2 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2814 Bradford Pl NW Unit 3 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1112 Green Tree Ct Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1181 | $1,900 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1867 Heartland Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,095 | $1.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 915 Emily Cir Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1358 | $2,195 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 818 Fairview Dr #4 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $2,000 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 838 Fairview Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1608 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1916 Squirrel Path Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,795 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1825 Hunters Path Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,825 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 806 Fairview Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 862 Fairview Dr Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1568 | $1,750 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2113 Wilderness Path Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $2,095 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2113 Wilderness Path Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $2,095 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2132 Wilderness Path Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,675 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $150,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-07$170,000 Active 1109-char remark
-
2025-09-21historical
-
2025-07-24price $175,000
-
2025-04-18status Active
-
2025-03-06status Pending
-
2025-01-26historical Contingent
-
2025-01-09price $185,000
-
2024-09-19$175,000 Active
-
2024-09-17$195,000 Active
-
2022-01-28soldstatus $145,000
-
2022-01-25soldstatus $145,000 Sold
-
2022-01-25soldstatus $145,000
-
2022-01-15status Pending
-
2022-01-11price $150,000
-
2022-01-11status Active
-
2021-12-21status Pending
-
2021-12-10status Active
-
2021-10-09status Pending
-
2021-09-18$165,000 Active
-
2021-09-17$150,000
-
1992-03-01soldstatus $13,400
-
1977-01-01soldstatus $7,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,159 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,245 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$86/yr (+$7/mo · 7.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,011
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,159
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,761
- − Management
- −$1,761
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $3,814
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$915
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wright
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #1790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wright, FL
- County
- Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
- City population
- 35,522
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,527
- Household income
- $70,711
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1203.0
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.28%
- Current HPI
- 268.6497
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.13%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1983.3% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $150,000 ECAR
- 2026-06-09 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2026-06-07 Listed $160,000 ECAR
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $160,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $165,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $170,000 CPARMLS
- 2025-09-21 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $175,000 PARMLS
- 2025-04-18 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2025-03-06 Pending — PARMLS
- 2025-01-26 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2025-01-09 Price Changed $185,000 PARMLS
- 2024-09-19 Listed $175,000 ECAR
- 2024-09-17 Listed $195,000 PARMLS
- 2022-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-25 Sold (MLS) $145,000 NAMLS
- 2022-01-25 Sold (MLS) $145,000 ECAR
- 2022-01-15 Pending — ECAR
- 2022-01-11 Price Changed $150,000 ECAR
- 2022-01-11 Relisted — ECAR
- 2021-12-21 Pending — ECAR
- 2021-12-10 Relisted — ECAR
- 2021-10-09 Pending — ECAR
- 2021-09-18 Listed $165,000 ECAR
- 2021-09-17 Listed $150,000 NAMLS
- 1992-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,400 Public Records
- 1977-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+27.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,159 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…