2710 Pennsylvania Rd · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom 1 bathroom home that rents for $900 a month but is currently vacant
Key facts
- 7,492 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1924
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($943 rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
- Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 332 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 332 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.82%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $111,360
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2801 Sherman Rd | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 966 (+1%) | 16mo | $25,000 | $26 | 74 |
| 3010 Hollywood Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 944 (-2%) | 3mo | $117,500 | $124 | 63 |
| 3105 Grant St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (+3%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $116 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-1,795
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $31,214
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76309
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $943 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,360/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $122
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2809 Lebanon Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $800 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3706 Seymour Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1100 | $1,188 | $1.08 | 43d | 13 | 0.49mi |
| 2812 Avenue R Unit R Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $925 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2912 Avenue L Unit L Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2204 Tilden St Unit A Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $930 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1901 Wenonah Ave Unit B Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,000 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2500 Taylor St Unit 2500 Taylor A Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $800 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2003 Buchanan St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4110 Faith Rd Apt 11 Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $800 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4110 Faith Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $850 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3014 Seymour Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 686 | $825 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2304 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1710 Fillmore St Apt C Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $625 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1813 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,364 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 331 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 312 DOM
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2026-05-08price $1,150
-
2026-03-13price $950
-
2026-03-08price $850
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2026-02-25price $900
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2026-01-04
-
2025-07-22$90,000 Active 77-char remark
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
2 bedroom 1 bathroom home that rents for $900 a month but is currently vacant
-
2024-12-13historical
-
2024-10-24
-
2007-10-22soldstatus
-
2004-12-07soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,360 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,647 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$287/yr (+$24/mo · 21.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,318
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,360
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$905
- − Management
- −$905
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $38
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$9
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,459/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wichita Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,604
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7051
- State rank
- #585 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita Falls, TX
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,395
- Household income
- $54,159
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 469.0
Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,638 people
- By 2030
- 128,366 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 124,466 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 120,499 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 113,884 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 101,818 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 12% Black 6% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 15% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wichita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.35%
- Current HPI
- 137.2935
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.33%
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-98.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $1,150 BUILDIUM
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $950 BUILDIUM
- 2026-03-08 Price Changed $850 BUILDIUM
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $900 BUILDIUM
- 2026-01-04 Listed for Rent — BUILDIUM
- 2025-07-22 Listed $90,000 NTREIS
- 2024-12-13 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2024-10-24 Listed for Rent — BUILDIUM
- 2007-10-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-12-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,360 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…