17340 Sargent Rd SW #8 · Rochester, WA 98579

$135,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,690 sqft · Manufactured public records · 9 Days on market

Built 2005

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.9/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully maintained manufactured home located in a quiet, well-cared-for community with no age restrictions. This move-in ready home features brand new flooring throughout and a fresh full interior paint job, giving the space a clean, modern feel. Pride of ownership is evident throughout this well cared for home. Enjoy peaceful community living with convenient access to nearby amenities, all while benefiting from affordable, low-maintenance living.

Key facts

• 2 parking spots
• Built 2005
• Listed 9 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Calculated living area 1690; Listed as residential manufactured home; Buyer brokerage compensation 2%
• Financial info: Accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA
• HOA & community: Located in Whispering Woods park; Park approved for sale; Land lease: $700

Exterior

• Parking: 2 open/uncovered parking spaces
• Utilities: Electric energy; Community water; Septic sewer; Power provided by PSE
• Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single level; Manufactured after 6/15/1976; Good condition; Vinyl skirting; Make: Carston
• Construction: Double wide manufactured construction
• Exterior features: Paved lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 bathtubs; 2 showers
• Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; No cooling
• Interior features: Dining room; Family room; Living room; Skylights; Walk-in closet; Bath off primary; Patio/porch/deck
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $771 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
• Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 2.1% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#327 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Rochester School District (rural): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #97 of 291 in WA (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Grand Mound Elementary (499 students, 66% FRL); Rochester High School (600 students, 51% FRL).
• Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 1,222 units permitted in Thurston County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Thurston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.54% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.15%
• Cash-on-cash: 24.48%
• DSCR: 2.09
• GRM: 5.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $425,880
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
17720 Irwin St SW	0.28mi	3/2.0	1,512 (-10%)	10mo	$399,500	$264	61
8638 173rd Ave SW	0.68mi	3/2.0	1,680 (-1%)	19mo	$422,875	$252	51
8804 176th Ave SW	0.73mi	3/2.0	1,848 (+9%)	18mo	$410,000	$222	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 17.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.72×
• Total profit: $27,238
• Equity at exit: $20,129

10-year hold

• IRR: 26.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.30×
• Total profit: $86,941
• Equity at exit: $11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Washington: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 98579

• Home prices YoY: -34.1%
• Active inventory: 107
• Price-to-rent: 5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,079 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$708
• Tax from tax record: −$107 /mo · $1,286/yr
• Insurance: −$56
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$437
• Net cashflow: $771

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,103

Max offer price $135,000

Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $848	-5% $809	+0% $771	+5% $733	+10% $695
Rent	-10% $607	-5% $689	+0% $771	+5% $853	+10% $935
Rate	-1.0pp $839	-0.5pp $806	base $771	+0.5pp $736	+1.0pp $701

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $33,750
• Closing costs: $4,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-20
   listed $135,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,286 · $107/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,323 · $110/mo
• Expected delta: +$37/yr (+$3/mo · 2.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 53% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,950
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,562
• − Property taxes: −$1,286
• − Insurance: −$675
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,996
• − Management: −$1,996
• − Depreciation: −$3,927
• Taxable income: $7,508
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,802
• After-tax cash flow: $7,453/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Rochester School District
• NCES district ID: 5307470
• Math proficiency: 53% ▲ 5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $56,231
• Composite: 49.33/100
• National rank: #4348
• State rank: #97 of 291 in WA

Livability — Rochester

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #327
• US rank: #12271

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 13,907

Population outlook (Thurston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 308,239 people
• By 2030: 326,483 · +5.9%
• By 2040: 359,890 · +16.8%
• By 2050: 391,800 · +27.1%
• By 2075: 468,024 · +51.8%
• By 2100: 519,890 · +68.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 9%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 4% Slovak 4% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Thurston

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+20.4) · D 58.5% · R 38.1% · Other 3.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: 20.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+20.4 2020: D+18.6 2016: D+15.4 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+21.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -197.25%
• Current HPI: 381.8969
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.65%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	2	$269B
▸Technology / Retail	1	$638B
▸Technology	1	$245B
▸Telecommunications	1	$38B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$36B
▸Automotive / Trucks	1	$34B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Listed $135,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,286 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.