11770 Pacific Coast Hwy Unit D · Malibu, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
$1,750,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
FIXER ALERT!! BEACH FRONT COMMUNITY. PRICED TO SELL. Beach Front - Gated Community! 3-story w/ ELEVATOR. 4 bedrooms/3.5 baths! Incredible views and beach access. 3rd Floor has a living room, full kitchen, 1/2 bath, and outdoor terrace with beautiful ocean views. 2nd Floor has the primary suite with ensuite bath and two guest bedrooms with a shared hall bath. The bottom level can be used as a separate living area/ADU. .. boasts a bedroom, full bath, kitchenette, and its own private entrance!! Community amenities include a basketball court, tennis courts, and access to two fabulous beaches. Enjoy the quintessential beach lifestyle!
Key facts
- Gated community
- Outdoor terrace
- Beach front
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Available for lease; lease option possible
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA dues; Community amenities include basketball court, paddle tennis, and tennis courts; Community of 30 units; Association has pet rules (call for details)
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; 2 total parking spaces (2 covered)
- Security: Gated community; Community security features
- Utilities: Septic sewer
- Home design: Condominium, attached; Multi-level home with 3 total floors; Unit entry on first floor; Faces west
- Construction: Attached construction
- Exterior features: Beach access; Beachfront location; Close to clubhouse; Ocean view; Automatic gated community
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Freezer; Microwave; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Bedroom(s) located on entry floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Elevator; Built-in cabinetry
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry with washer and dryer; Laundry area inside unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath condo listed at $1.75M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.50M (14.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.35M (22.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.35M (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 0.7% in Malibu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#979 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, schools B; Watch: housing C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Oxnard Union High (urban): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #220 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 627 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $13,505/mo this rent would consume 82% of the median local household income ($197k/yr) (locally 420% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($12k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$112k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.70M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 20 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $150k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $1.35M; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.46%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.62% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-129,117
- Equity at exit
- $562,885
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-91,179
- Equity at exit
- $722,005
Cash invested: $490,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90265
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Rents YoY
- -3.4%
- Active inventory
- 627
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $13,505 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$9,177
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,349 /mo · $16,186/yr
- Insurance
- −$729
- HOA
- −$827
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,836
- Net cashflow
- $-1,413
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-422 | -5% $-918 | +0% $-1,413 | +5% $-1,908 | +10% $-2,404 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,480 | -5% $-1,946 | +0% $-1,413 | +5% $-880 | +10% $-346 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-532 | -0.5pp $-968 | base $-1,413 | +0.5pp $-1,866 | +1.0pp $-2,328 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $437,500
- Closing costs
- $52,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $827 · $9,924/yr
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $1,750,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,750,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,750,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,750,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,750,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,750,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $1,750,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,750,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,750,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 637-char remark
-
2026-06-08price $1,750,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,900,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,900,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $1,900,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,900,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,900,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,900,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,900,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $8,995
-
2026-05-11$1,900,000 Active
-
2026-04-03price
-
2026-04-02$6,995
-
2026-03-26price
-
2026-02-03historical $6,995
-
2026-01-20price
-
2026-01-20$6,995
-
2026-01-06status Active
-
2026-01-01historical $6,995
-
2025-12-28price $6,995
-
2025-12-26price
-
2025-12-04price $7,995
-
2025-12-03price
-
2025-12-01status Active
-
2025-10-30$8,999
-
2025-10-29price
-
2025-10-11historical $6,900
-
2025-08-29price $6,900
-
2025-06-13$7,500
-
2025-03-27price
-
2025-03-18price
-
2025-03-07price
-
2025-02-05historical $7,600
-
2025-01-10price $15,000
-
2025-01-10price $6,950
-
2025-01-10price $15,000
-
2025-01-09price
-
2025-01-08status Active
-
2024-12-01price $6,950
-
2024-11-18price
-
2024-11-01price $7,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $16,186 · $1,349/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $16,186 · $1,349/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥85°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $162,063
- − Mortgage interest
- −$98,027
- − Property taxes
- −$16,186
- − Insurance
- −$8,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$12,965
- − Management
- −$12,965
- − HOA
- −$9,924
- − Depreciation
- −$50,909
- Taxable loss
- −$47,663
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$11,439
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,517/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oxnard Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0629270
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▲ 7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,770
- Composite
- 35.79/100
- National rank
- #4835
- State rank
- #220 of 517 in CA
Livability — Malibu
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #979
- US rank
- #24630
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 15,918
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,918
- Household income
- $196,742
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 420.0
Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 895,754 people
- By 2030
- 912,134 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 931,454 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 934,609 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 924,899 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 864,712 · -3.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ventura
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Current HPI
- 498.5117
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.39%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-97.0% since first listed74 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $8,995 CLAW
- 2026-05-11 Listed $1,900,000 TheMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed for Rent $6,995 CLAW
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2026-02-03 Rental Removed $6,995 CLAW
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed for Rent $6,995 CLAW
- 2026-01-06 Relisted — TheMLS
- 2026-01-01 Rental Removed $6,995 CLAW
- 2025-12-28 Price Changed $6,995 CLAW
- 2025-12-26 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $7,995 CLAW
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2025-12-01 Relisted — TheMLS
- 2025-10-30 Listed for Rent $8,999 CLAW
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2025-10-11 Rental Removed $6,900 CLAW
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $6,900 CLAW
- 2025-06-13 Listed for Rent $7,500 CLAW
- 2025-03-27 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2025-03-18 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2025-02-05 Rental Removed $7,600 CLAW
- 2025-01-10 Price Changed $15,000 CLAW
- 2025-01-10 Price Changed $6,950 CLAW
- 2025-01-10 Price Changed $15,000 CLAW
- 2025-01-09 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2025-01-08 Relisted — TheMLS
- 2024-12-01 Price Changed $6,950 CLAW
- 2024-11-18 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2024-11-01 Price Changed $7,000 CLAW
- 2024-10-31 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2024-10-23 Price Changed $7,500 CLAW
- 2024-10-17 Price Changed $7,850 CLAW
- 2024-10-16 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2024-10-10 Price Changed $8,900 CLAW
- 2024-09-23 Listed for Rent $9,500 CLAW
- 2024-09-23 Listed — TheMLS
- 2024-09-04 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-07-15 Listed $2,100,000 CRMLS
- 2024-07-13 Rental Removed $9,000 CLAW
- 2024-06-01 Price Changed $9,000 CLAW
- 2024-05-04 Price Changed $9,900 CLAW
- 2024-04-23 Listed for Rent $11,000 CLAW
- 2023-11-28 Rental Removed $9,900 CRMLS
- 2023-11-17 Price Changed $9,900 CRMLS
- 2023-11-11 Price Changed $11,000 CRMLS
- 2023-10-31 Price Changed $11,900 CRMLS
- 2023-10-21 Listed for Rent $14,750 CRMLS
- 2023-09-30 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2023-07-31 Price Changed $2,475,000 CRMLS
- 2023-06-06 Price Changed $2,500,000 CRMLS
- 2023-01-04 Price Changed $2,050,000 CRMLS
- 2022-11-28 Listed $2,100,000 CRMLS
- 2022-10-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2022-10-13 Price Changed $2,100,000 CRMLS
- 2022-07-12 Listed $2,199,000 CRMLS
- 2022-07-06 Price Changed $2,199,000 CRMLS
- 2022-05-26 Price Changed $1,900,000 CRMLS
- 2022-05-03 Listed $2,500,000 CRMLS
- 2021-05-17 Delisted — TheMLS
- 2021-05-17 Sold (MLS) $1,350,000 TheMLS
- 2021-04-12 Pending — TheMLS
- 2021-04-03 Price Changed $1,590,000 TheMLS
- 2021-03-15 Listed $1,690,000 TheMLS
- 2020-01-10 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2019-12-06 Listed $1,449,500 CRMLS
- 2019-11-25 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2019-10-12 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2019-10-09 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2019-07-26 Listed $1,495,900 CRMLS
- 1990-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $360,000 Public Records
- 1988-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $298,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $16,186 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…