3005 Hanchett St · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Carrollton Schools! Built in the 1940s, this home has been cared for over the years and offers a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own personal touches and updates. Inside, you'll find a functional layout, an unfinished basement for additional storage or future possibilities, and a unique walk-up attic space measuring approximately 27x10. Whether you need extra storage, a hobby room, office space, or a future finished area, this bonus space offers plenty of flexibility. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a 2-car detached garage featuring newer doors and a roof that are approximately 1.5 years old. Plus, the lot directly behind the property is state-owned, providing added privacy with no immediate neighbors behind you. If you've been looking for a solid home with good bones, room to grow, and the chance to build equity through cosmetic updates, this may be the one. Come take a closer look and see how this house could become your next home, Homie.
Key facts
- Unfinished basement
- Walk-up attic space
- 6,970 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.16 acres (60 x 120)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Carrollton Public Schools (suburban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #485 of 540 in MI (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.82%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $130,923
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 626 Stoker Dr | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (-10%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $64 | 77 |
| 3035 Schaeffer St | 0.07mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,186 (+6%) | 6mo | $78,500 | $66 | 75 |
| 2391 Shattuck Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,114 (-0%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $144 | 73 |
| 723 Pioneer Trl | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,194 (+7%) | 2mo | $109,000 | $91 | 69 |
| 2355 Plainview Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-5%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $160 | 63 |
| 2454 Durand St | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,142 (+2%) | 2mo | $33,500 | $29 | 61 |
| 2241 Moonglow Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $188 | 60 |
| 904 Oakview Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-2%) | 3mo | $159,000 | $145 | 59 |
| 3459 Church St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-8%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $117 | 51 |
| 3385 Church St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,234 (+10%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $81 | 47 |
| 3120 Barnard Rd | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+12%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $140 | 40 |
| 3356 Winter St | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,263 (+13%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $95 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-4,251
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $18,803
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48604
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $294/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4070 Green Isle Way Saginaw, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 44d | 15 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-05$135,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $294 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,186 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$893/yr (+$74/mo · 303.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$294
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,296
- − Management
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,150
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$276
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,058/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carrollton Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2608070
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,147
- Composite
- 14.74/100
- National rank
- #9395
- State rank
- #485 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 54,884
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,284
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 6% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.55%
- Current HPI
- 210.5278
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-04 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $294 · -80.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…