602 29th St SE #68 · Auburn, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering comfortable, modern living in a bright, open layout. The heart of the house is a spacious chef’s kitchen with generous counter and storage space—perfect for entertaining—flowing seamlessly into a large, open living room filled with natural light. Three well-proportioned bedrooms provide privacy and flexibility (ideal for a home office or guest room), and two full bathrooms add convenience for visitors. Thoughtful finishes, an efficient floor plan, and easy indoor-outdoor flow make this property a move-in-ready option for buyers seeking style and functionality.
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1999
- Listed 29 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Calculated building area: 1,344 square feet
- Financial info: Acceptable financing: Cash, Conventional
- HOA & community: Land lease in park: $1,096
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered parking
- Utilities: Electric power
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single level
- Construction: Composition roof; Mobile home remains on site
- Exterior features: Located in Auburn Green Estates (manufactured home park); Pets allowed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $180k implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.47%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,184
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602 29th St SE #39 | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-8%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $126 | 80 |
| 602 29th St SE #54 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-8%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $45 | 79 |
| 900 29th St SE Unit E-22 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $35 | 77 |
| 3225 M St SE #145 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,254 (-7%) | 7mo | $105,000 | $84 | 74 |
| 2304 A St SE #36 | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $89 | 73 |
| 3225 M St SE #144 | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $124 | 72 |
| 607 37th St SE #81 | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-4%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $89 | 70 |
| 401 37th St SE #104 | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-7%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $144 | 66 |
| 210 37th St SE #130 | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $120 | 64 |
| 707 37th St SE #71 | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $111 | 62 |
| 707 37th St SE #17 | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+12%) | 4mo | $147,500 | $98 | 61 |
| 2902 B St SE | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 4mo | $312,500 | $271 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-4,282
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $19,921
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98002
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,131 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $440
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $564 | -5% $502 | +0% $440 | +5% $377 | +10% $315 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $271 | -5% $355 | +0% $440 | +5% $524 | +10% $608 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $530 | -0.5pp $485 | base $440 | +0.5pp $393 | +1.0pp $346 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404 27th St SE Unit 19-1 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 13d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2455 F St SE Auburn, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 757 | $1,955 | $2.58 | 4d | 6 | 0.43mi |
| 1014 37th St SE Apt 4 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,780 | $1.77 | 6d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2952 O St SE Unit F Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1051 | $1,495 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1526 29th St SE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,595 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 418 17th St SE Unit 6C Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $2,200 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1910 N Ct SE Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1570 | $2,900 | $1.85 | 12d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4704 Mill Pond Dr SE #213 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $2,750 | $2.41 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4716 Mill Pond Dr SE Apt 1001 Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,900 | $1.73 | 12d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 703 47th St SE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 781 | $1,970 | $2.52 | 3d | 7 | 1.02mi |
| 102 Hawthorne Ave S Pacific, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1285 | $2,950 | $2.30 | 0d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $180,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$180,000 Active
-
2006-01-16soldstatus $53,500
-
2005-11-14$62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,574
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,700
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,046
- − Management
- −$2,046
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $2,563
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$615
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,661/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300300
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,048
- Composite
- 46.73/100
- National rank
- #5240
- State rank
- #125 of 291 in WA
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1371
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 74,969
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,509
- Household income
- $78,684
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2202.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -677.96%
- Current HPI
- 298.0849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.51%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+190.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $180,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-01-16 Sold (MLS) $53,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-14 Listed $62,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…