3111 S Pershing Dr · Muncie, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$83,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * This property features 3 beds/1 bath, a front sunroom, a laundry room, and a detached 1 car garage. Now vacant.
Key facts
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1925
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($985 rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 6.0% in Muncie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#18 in IN, #1,654 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Muncie Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #275 of 301 in IN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 171 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $580 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 314 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $84k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 314 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.53%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $86,941
- List price
- $83,900
- Delta
- 2.25%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2710 S Hackley St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 876 (-8%) | 2mo | $109,900 | $125 | 72 |
| 226 E 16th St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+1%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $52 | 61 |
| 1401 E 24th St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 884 (-7%) | 8mo | $92,500 | $105 | 60 |
| 2310 S Hackley St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (-4%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $66 | 60 |
| 3201 S Elm St | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 | 1,073 (+13%) | 6mo | $61,000 | $57 | 59 |
| 3404 S Penn St | 0.40mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+6%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $104 | 59 |
| 2316 S Walnut St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 956 (+1%) | 5mo | $35,000 | $37 | 57 |
| 3812 S Ebright St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+6%) | 10mo | $12,900 | $13 | 54 |
| 1503 E 20th St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 1,035 (+9%) | 10mo | $32,000 | $31 | 49 |
| 2210 S Penn St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-11%) | 6mo | $108,000 | $129 | 43 |
| 2203 S Vine St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,048 (+10%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $110 | 38 |
| 2306 S Mulberry St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,052 (+11%) | 10mo | $22,000 | $21 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $3,951
- Equity at exit
- $12,510
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $35,837
- Equity at exit
- $7,254
Cash invested: $23,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47302
- Home prices YoY
- -12.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $985 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$440
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $930/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $226
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,975
- Closing costs
- $2,517
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3106 S Vine St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 3013 S Pershing Dr Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $850 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2815 S Elm St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $875 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2302 S Hackley St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,199 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2316 S Walnut St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2105 S Vine St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,365 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2808 S Brotherton St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $825 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1901 E 26th St Unit 5 Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $865 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1806 E 18th St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 301 W 13th St Muncie, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $844 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 206 W 13th St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $900 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1703 E 14th St Apt 15 Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $777 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1721 S Elm St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $925 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1311 E 11th St Unit 2 Muncie, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $715 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4609 S Madison St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4613 S Madison St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $975 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 319 W 10th St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 869 | $885 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1525 S Walnut St Unit 11 Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 415 W 9th St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $925 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 421 W 9th St Muncie, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $525 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 815 W Memorial Dr Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1307 S Ebright St Unit 2 Muncie, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $695 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2213 E Memorial Dr Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 997 | $1,078 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 509 W 8th St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,325 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1609 S Gharkey St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $750 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1310 E 5th St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1804 S Wall Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $899 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $83,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $83,900 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $83,900 Active 312 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $88,900 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,900 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,900 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $88,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $88,900 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $88,900 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $88,900 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $88,900 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $88,900 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $88,900 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $88,900 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $88,900 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $88,900 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $88,900 Active 294 DOM
-
2025-10-09status Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
*This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details.* This property features 3 beds/1 bath, a front sunroom, a laundry room, and a detached 1 car garage. Now vacant.
-
2025-10-09status Active 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
*This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details.* This property features 3 beds/1 bath, a front sunroom, a laundry room, and a detached 1 car garage. Now vacant.
-
2025-09-24status Pending 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
* This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * This property features 3 beds/1 bath, a front sunroom, a laundry room, and a detached 1 car garage. Now vacant.
-
2025-09-24status Pending 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
* This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * This property features 3 beds/1 bath, a front sunroom, a laundry room, and a detached 1 car garage. Now vacant.
-
2025-09-07price $88,900 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
* This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * This property features 3 beds/1 bath, a front sunroom, a laundry room, and a detached 1 car garage. Now vacant.
-
2025-09-07price $88,900 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
* This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * This property features 3 beds/1 bath, a front sunroom, a laundry room, and a detached 1 car garage. Now vacant.
-
2025-07-25$89,900 Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
*This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details.* This property features 3 beds/1 bath, a front sunroom, a laundry room, and a detached 1 car garage. Now vacant.
-
2025-07-25$89,900 Active 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
*This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details.* This property features 3 beds/1 bath, a front sunroom, a laundry room, and a detached 1 car garage. Now vacant.
-
2019-02-07historical
-
2018-12-21soldstatus $33,900
-
2018-02-07$35,000
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2018-02-07$33,900
-
2017-11-26historical
-
2017-05-30$34,000
-
2017-05-26$34,000
-
2016-09-22historical
-
2016-06-28$35,000
-
2016-06-28$35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $930 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $930 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,819
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,700
- − Property taxes
- −$930
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$945
- − Management
- −$945
- − Depreciation
- −$2,441
- Taxable income
- $1,438
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$345
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,362/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muncie Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1807320
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,052
- Composite
- 17.22/100
- National rank
- #9099
- State rank
- #275 of 301 in IN
Livability — Muncie
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1654
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muncie, IN
- County
- Delaware County · 84,658 people
- City population
- 84,658
- Metro
- Muncie, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,473
- Household income
- $47,837
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1150.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 113,036 people
- By 2030
- 111,313 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 106,432 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 100,747 · -10.9%
- By 2075
- 91,000 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 80,687 · -28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.8) · D 41.2% · R 57.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.8pp toward R · 2008: 15.0pp · 2024: -15.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.8 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+15.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.32%
- Current HPI
- 210.431
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.11%
- Metro
- Muncie, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+154.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-09 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2025-10-09 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-24 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-24 Pending — IRMLS
- 2025-09-07 Price Changed $88,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-07 Price Changed $88,900 IRMLS
- 2025-07-25 Listed $89,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-25 Listed $89,900 IRMLS
- 2019-02-07 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $33,900 Public Records
- 2018-02-07 Listed $33,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-07 Listed $35,000 IRMLS
- 2017-11-26 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-30 Listed $34,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-26 Listed $34,000 IRMLS
- 2016-09-22 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-28 Listed $35,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-28 Listed $35,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2024): $930 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…