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3633 Oak Ave SW
B Composite 71.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$38,500

3633 Oak Ave SW · Birmingham, AL 35221
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1952 1,263 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3-bedroom, 1-bath home with lots of potential! This home offers a good amount of space and a layout that can work well for a owner-occupants, a rental, or investment property. There is a yard with room to enjoy the outdoors and space for parking. The home does need repairs and updates, but it could be a great opportunity for someone ready to put in some work and make it their own. Perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with potential.

Key facts

  • Space for parking
  • 1,263 sq ft lot
  • Built 1952

Tags

SPACE FOR PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property in the Trevellick subdivision; Parcel ID: 29-00-19-3-034-008.000; Lot size approximately 0.029 acres
  • Financial info: No financial rental/investor income or expense details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA/community information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Electric water heater; Internet service available
  • Home design: Existing property; Siding vinyl exterior
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillar/support foundation
  • Exterior features: No pool, patio, deck, or garden listed; Not waterfront; Flood plain: No; Lot has no notable view

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: No heat; No air conditioning
  • Interior features: Smooth ceilings; No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room with washer hookup and electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Wenonah High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools at 85% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $266 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $507 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $37,922 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.81%
Cap rate
23.50%
Cash-on-cash
61.45%
DSCR
3.73
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$77,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4011 Walnut Ave SW 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,372 (+6%) 10mo $80,000 $58 68
2812 32nd Way SW 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,205 (-7%) 4mo $35,000 $29 65
3208 Cedar Ave SW 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,232 (-5%) 11mo $82,000 $67 57
4100 Park Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,125 (-13%) 10mo $82,500 $73 52
3329 Park Ave SW 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-9%) 6mo $59,900 $51 50
4008 Grasselli Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,153 (-11%) 8mo $85,000 $74 50
3008 Elmyra Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,104 (-15%) 13mo $88,000 $80 42
3304 Spaulding St SW 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,140 (-12%) 8mo $40,000 $35 41
3433 Park Ave SW 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,476 (+14%) 10mo $44,100 $30 40
4628 SW Hillman Dr 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,166 (-10%) 1mo $69,900 $60 39
3112 Wenonah Dr SW 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,154 (-11%) 14mo $69,900 $61 38
3245 Balsam Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,114 (-14%) 15mo $13,000 $12 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.0%
Equity multiple
3.95×
Total profit
$31,748
Equity at exit
$8,710
10-year hold
IRR
65.2%
Equity multiple
8.02×
Total profit
$75,650
Equity at exit
$8,657

Cash invested: $10,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35221

Home prices YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,080 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$202
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $999/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$552

Break-even live

Break-even rent $381
Max offer price $38,500
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,625
Closing costs
$1,155
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3616 Maple Ave SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1488 $950 $0.64 44d 1 0.10mi
3729 Pine Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1067 $1,100 $1.03 21d 1 0.13mi
3729 Maple Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,200 $1.19 44d 1 0.14mi
3736 Oak Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 984 $1,050 $1.07 24d 1 0.15mi
4029 Walnut Ave SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,369 $1.05 3d 1 0.32mi
3720 Howard Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,200 $1.10 24d 1 0.41mi
3400 Walnut Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1133 $1,200 $1.06 44d 1 0.42mi
4120 George Ave SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 944 $850 $0.90 24d 1 0.46mi
3332 Walnut Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1339 $750 $0.56 19d 1 0.49mi
4009 Grasselli Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 875 $900 $1.03 24d 1 0.55mi
3417 Park Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1402 $900 $0.64 44d 1 0.55mi
3515 Carver Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1584 $1,075 $0.68 24d 1 0.60mi
3515 Carver Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1580 $1,100 $0.70 3d 1 0.60mi
3640 Wenonah Rd SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 12d 1 0.85mi
3640 Wenonah Rd SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 24d 1 0.85mi
1441 Creel St Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1319 $1,275 $0.97 3d 1 0.85mi
2548 28th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1762 $1,000 $0.57 2d 1 0.88mi
1112 S Gale Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1053 $1,175 $1.12 44d 1 0.92mi
408 Midway St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1301 $1,075 $0.83 19d 1 0.96mi
913 Daniel Cir Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1317 $1,300 $0.99 44d 1 0.99mi
1433 Rayfield Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1064 $950 $0.89 44d 1 1.00mi
1376 Creel Ct Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,000 $0.99 44d 1 1.02mi
1417 Brighton Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1048 $1,200 $1.15 44d 1 1.03mi
1412 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1220 $1,203 $0.99 16d 1 1.07mi
1838 31st St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,223 $0.87 16d 1 1.08mi
3000 Dawson Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1092 $925 $0.85 44d 1 1.11mi
1721 Collier Dr Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 925 $800 $0.86 44d 1 1.14mi
537 Grant St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,200 $0.83 24d 1 1.17mi
830 Burwell St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1011 $1,200 $1.19 44d 1 1.17mi
336 McPherson Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1094 $1,100 $1.01 24d 1 1.19mi
340 McPherson Ave Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 924 $910 $0.98 44d 1 1.19mi
517 Grant St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 912 $850 $0.93 24d 1 1.22mi
373 Belcher Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1255 $1,100 $0.88 44d 1 1.23mi
120 Parkwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,150 $0.94 16d 1 1.25mi
1633 29th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1658 $1,200 $0.72 44d 1 1.31mi
2709 Powderly Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1056 $950 $0.90 24d 1 1.39mi
1012 33rd St SW Birmingham, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $750 $0.94 3d 1 1.44mi
2516 Powderly Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1236 $1,050 $0.85 44d 1 1.45mi
3116 Steiner Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1362 $1,200 $0.88 44d 1 1.47mi
1341 Pineview Rd Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1409 $1,300 $0.92 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $38,500 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $38,500 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $38,500 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $38,500 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $38,500 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $38,500 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $38,500 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $38,500 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $38,500 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $38,500 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $38,500 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $38,500 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $38,500 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-28
    listed $38,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$999 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$999 · $83/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,960
− Mortgage interest
−$2,157
− Property taxes
−$999
− Insurance
−$192
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,037
− Management
−$1,037
− Depreciation
−$1,120
Taxable income
$6,418
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,540
After-tax cash flow
$5,084/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
City population
210,422
Population (ZIP)
3,127

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% White 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.32%
Current HPI
121.0566
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $38,500 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $999 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…