5827 Sandra · McBride, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rare find! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in McBride comes with a side carport and is located in a quiet neighborhood near Lake Texoma. It’s perfect for a weekend getaway or full-time living. A propane tank is included with the property, and with a little updating, it could be absolutely charming. Don’t miss out—homes in this area rarely hit the market. Plus, there’s a shed in the backyard that stays with the property.
Key facts
- 0.27 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1962
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; Carport; Storage
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water available (rural); Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Metal roof; Aluminum siding; Wood frame; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck; Porch; Shed(s); Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Space heater; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceramic counters; Ceiling fan(s); Electric range connection; Aluminum-framed windows with storm windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Kingston (rural): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #70 of 270 in OK (top 26%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 435 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Marshall County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $119k implies a 358% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.15%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,400
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5896 Kickapoo Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,072 (+12%) | 10mo | $96,000 | $90 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.39×
- Total profit
- $112,855
- Equity at exit
- $107,205
- IRR
- 38.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.84×
- Total profit
- $294,642
- Equity at exit
- $231,191
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73439
- Home prices YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 435
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $754
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $119,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $129,000
-
2026-04-29$139,000 Active
-
2024-07-17status Pending
-
2024-07-17historical
-
2024-07-02$99,900 Active
-
2004-12-27soldstatus $26,000
-
2000-10-18soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,943
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,785
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,915
- − Management
- −$1,915
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $7,605
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,825
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,221/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingston
- NCES district ID
- 4016590
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,655
- Composite
- 24.88/100
- National rank
- #7585
- State rank
- #70 of 270 in OK
Livability — McBride
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McBride, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,011
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,405 people
- By 2030
- 18,038 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 19,513 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 21,283 · +22.3%
- By 2075
- 27,884 · +60.2%
- By 2100
- 35,435 · +103.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 16% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.4) · D 17.7% · R 81.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.6pp toward R · 2008: -38.8pp · 2024: -63.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.4 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+45.7 2008: R+38.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.96%
- Current HPI
- 246.2253
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+330.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $129,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-29 Listed $139,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-07-17 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-07-17 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-07-02 Listed $99,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2004-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 2000-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $228 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…