2559 Washington St · Dubuque, IA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.95%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Curb appeal and charm throughout this 3 bedroom home with main floor laundry, main floor living and main floor bath! Large deck, partially fenced yard, and detached two-car garage. Connecting alleyway has been converted to Green Alleyway by City of Dubuque. Charming home that won't last long. Call your agent today! Seller has Iowa Real Estate License.
Key facts
- Large deck
- Main floor laundry
- Main floor living
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.5% in Dubuque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 89/100 on livability (#7 in IA, #119 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-.
- Dubuque Community School District (urban): math 63% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #205 of 289 in IA (top 71%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 473 units permitted in Dubuque County in 2024 (319 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dubuque County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.73%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,248
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655 Regent St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+1%) | 0mo | $64,000 | $54 | 82 |
| 2417 Jackson St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+7%) | 1mo | $63,000 | $50 | 77 |
| 2687 Central Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (+8%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $16 | 76 |
| 2501 Windsor Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (+8%) | 3mo | $197,000 | $157 | 70 |
| 328 Chappel Ct | 0.54mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,176 (+1%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $128 | 66 |
| 2418 White St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,317 (+13%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $114 | 65 |
| 700 Kaufmann Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-1%) | 1mo | $212,000 | $184 | 62 |
| 615 E 24th St | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,304 (+12%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $54 | 59 |
| 660 Kaufmann Ave | 0.63mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,176 (+1%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $128 | 57 |
| 2641 Fulton St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,318 (+13%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $152 | 56 |
| 2243 White St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,312 (+12%) | 1mo | $143,000 | $109 | 56 |
| 1901 Ann St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+3%) | 0mo | $163,300 | $136 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-7,547
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $19,185
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52001
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,251 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,446/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $201 | -5% $167 | +0% $133 | +5% $99 | +10% $65 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $34 | -5% $84 | +0% $133 | +5% $182 | +10% $232 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $193 | -0.5pp $163 | base $133 | +0.5pp $102 | +1.0pp $70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2418 Central Ave Unit 2 Dubuque, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 253 W 17th St Dubuque, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1651 White St Unit 5 Dubuque, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1602 Central Ave Unit 202 Dubuque, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,200 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1501 Central Ave Unit 1513-1 Dubuque, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1374 | $1,175 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 823 Hawkeye Dr Dubuque, IA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1228 | $1,550 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 333 E 10th St Dubuque, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $1,750 | $1.14 | 45d | 3 | 1.21mi |
| 571 Jefferson St Unit 3 Dubuque, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-19remarks 300-char remark
-
2026-06-19$120,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,446 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,665 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- +$219/yr (+$18/mo · 15.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 95% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,012
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,446
- − Insurance
- −$1,266
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,201
- − Management
- −$1,201
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$316
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$76
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,671/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dubuque Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1909480
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,237
- Composite
- 54.51/100
- National rank
- #1345
- State rank
- #205 of 289 in IA
Livability — Dubuque
- Score
- 89/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #119
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dubuque, IA
- County
- Dubuque County · 60,106 people
- City population
- 60,106
- Metro
- Dubuque, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,101
- Household income
- $61,643
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1940.0
Population outlook (Dubuque County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 103,359 people
- By 2030
- 106,472 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 112,043 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 116,553 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 128,014 · +23.9%
- By 2100
- 132,892 · +28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dubuque
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.6) · D 45.1% · R 53.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.4pp toward R · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: -8.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.6 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+20.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.36%
- Current HPI
- 173.5536
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.63%
- Metro
- Dubuque, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+83.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Listed $120,000 FSBO.com
- 2023-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-17 Sold (MLS) $118,000 ECIMLS
- 2023-03-13 Pending — ECIMLS
- 2023-03-10 Price Changed $119,900 ECIMLS
- 2023-02-28 Listed $123,000 ECIMLS
- 2020-10-12 Listed $65,000 ECIMLS
- 2017-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $2,760,131 Public Records
- 2004-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $65,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,446 · +28.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…