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406-408 N County Rd Unit 406-408 Duplex
D Composite 42.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

406-408 N County Rd Unit 406-408 · Mascoutah, IL 62258
None bd · 4884.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · MultiFamily · 65 Days on market
Built 1991 Fair condition 9,147 sqft lot $157/sqft · 33% above area Est $185k · 33% over ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Great Investment opportunity. Fully rented, townhouse-style duplex, with long term tenants, located in the heart of Mascoutah. Professionally managed and well maintained. Seller also owns 2 other duplexes nearby and would like to sell in a package.

Key facts

  • Long term tenants
  • Well maintained
  • Heart of mascoutah

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYTOWNHOUSE STYLE DUPLEXLONG TERM TENANTSPROFESSIONALLY MANAGEDWELL MAINTAINEDHEART OF MASCOUTAH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area reported from public records
  • Financial info: Two total units, both currently leased; One building; Gross income reported: $23,625; Net operating income reported: $11,034; Owner pays insurance, management, and taxes

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking for 4 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Residential income property (2–4 units); Townhouse style; Two levels; Private ownership
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Concrete road access; City street frontage

Interior

  • Bedrooms: No main or upper level bedrooms reported
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: No main or upper level bathrooms reported
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Carpet flooring; Crawl space basement; No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $245k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $135/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $245k).
  • Recommended offer: $230k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.2% in Mascoutah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#471 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Mascoutah CUD 19 (town): math 42% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #80 of 620 in IL (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Mascoutah Elem School (math 42% / reading 49%, grade D-, #255 of 2,056 statewide, top 13%, 776 students, 0% FRL); Mascoutah Middle School (math 44% / reading 48%, grade D+, #85 of 665 statewide, top 13%, 897 students, 0% FRL); Mascoutah High School (math 39% / reading 46%, grade F, #73 of 693 statewide, top 11%, 1,227 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 16% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $230,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.62%
Cash-on-cash
4.74%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$184,858
List price
$245,000
Delta
32.53%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-22,416
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$2,842
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62258

Home prices YoY
-27.2%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
16.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,486 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax est. 1.5%
$306 /mo · $3,675/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$522
Net cashflow
$271

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,143
Max offer price $245,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $440 -5% $355 +0% $271 +5% $186 +10% $101
Rent -10% $74 -5% $173 +0% $271 +5% $369 +10% $467
Rate -1.0pp $394 -0.5pp $333 base $271 +0.5pp $207 +1.0pp $143

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,486

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1215 W Main St Mascoutah, IL 2.0 2.0 1475 $1,695 $1.15 18d 1 0.58mi
1320 McKinley St Mascoutah, IL 3.0 4.0 1800 $1,895 $1.05 0d 1 0.67mi
1416 McKinley St Mascoutah, IL 2.0 2.5 1216 $1,450 $1.19 16d 1 0.67mi
1410 Eisenhower Rd Apt A Mascoutah, IL 2.0 2.0 1500 $1,395 $0.93 12d 1 0.73mi
101 Copper Oaks Ct Mascoutah, IL 3.0 2.5 1582 $2,100 $1.33 19d 1 0.77mi
1963 Nathan Ave Mascoutah, IL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,650 $1.38 0d 1 0.91mi
1963 Nathan Ave Mascoutah, IL 3.0 3.0 1200 $1,650 $1.38 24d 1 0.91mi
207 E Main St Unit A Mascoutah, IL 2.0 1.0 1200 $975 $0.81 18d 1 1.46mi
122 E State St Mascoutah, IL 2.0 1.0 1112 $1,225 $1.10 0d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $245,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $245,000 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $275,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $275,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $275,000 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-04-17
    listed $275,000 Active 248-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,832
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$3,675
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,387
− Management
−$2,387
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$692
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$166
After-tax cash flow
$3,416/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

A well-maintained but slightly dated multi-family property with potential for cosmetic updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Landscaping — Some areas of the lawn and shrubs could be trimmed and improved for a more polished appearance.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Painting the exterior can improve the curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can enhance the property's curb appeal and attract more tenants or buyers.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Landscaping · Some areas of the lawn and shrubs could be trimmed and improved for a more polished appearance. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 1 items $500–3,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Painting the exterior can improve the curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can enhance the property's curb appeal and attract more tenants or buyers.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mascoutah CUD 19
NCES district ID
1724940
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$69,922
Composite
40.52/100
National rank
#3708
State rank
#80 of 620 in IL

Livability — Mascoutah

Score
68/100
State rank
#471
US rank
#9746

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mascoutah, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
10,437
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
10,437
Household income
$94,655
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
209.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.21%
Current HPI
182.8448
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $245,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $275,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…