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3079 Mount Troy Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
C- Composite 52.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

3079 Mount Troy Rd · Reserve, PA 15212
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,523 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1950 6,250 sqft lot $131/sqft · 22% below area Est $255k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Must call day/nite before. Good investment opportunity. Current tenant has lived here 10 years. Nice w/ good rm sizes. Above-ground pool. Possibility of putting in driveway.

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • Large yard
  • Bonus room

Tags

UPDATED HOMELARGE YARDRENOVATED KITCHENBONUS ROOMPRIVATE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story home; Resale property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $200,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$255,229) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (4.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $192k (4.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Shaler Area SD (suburban): math 36% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #208 of 539 in PA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 11 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $73k; list at $200k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $191,972 (4.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
2.00%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$255,229
List price
$200,000
Delta
-21.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3057 Mount Troy Rd 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,440 (-5%) 17mo $215,000 $149 71
419 Kinkura Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,616 (+6%) 15mo $270,000 $167 66
413 Kinkura Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-13%) 8mo $247,450 $187 61
833 Reserve St 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,632 (+7%) 8mo $317,900 $195 59
841 Stanton Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,648 (+8%) 11mo $235,000 $143 54
3226 Spring Gdn 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,710 (+12%) 8mo $149,000 $87 51
2375 E Beckert Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,715 (+13%) 1mo $265,000 $155 46
824 Stanton Ave 0.49mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,370 (-10%) 13mo $272,000 $199 45
104 Bonita Ter 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,675 (+10%) 8mo $272,500 $163 42
114 Biscayne 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+12%) 13mo $305,000 $179 37
9 Spring St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,750 (+15%) 16mo $150,000 $86 35
204 William St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-15%) 7mo $63,000 $49 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-24,435
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-5,144
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15212

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,920 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$291 /mo · $3,492/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,801
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 Shoup St #2 Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 2064 $2,000 $0.97 44d 1 1.01mi
212 Hugel Dr Unit 1 Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 24d 1 1.30mi
1304 Firth St Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1893 $2,399 $1.27 17d 1 1.32mi
4107 Willow St Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 917 $3,334 $3.63 2d 28 1.43mi
147 39th St Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0–2.0 934 $3,463 $3.71 2d 44 1.48mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    status Active 1138-char remark
  15. 2026-05-13
    listed $200,000 Active 1138-char remark
  16. 2006-09-14
    soldstatus $73,000 173-char remark
    Show marketing remark (173 chars)

    Must call day/nite before. Good investment opportunity. Current tenant has lived here 10 years. Nice w/ good rm sizes. Above-ground pool. Possibility of putting in driveway.

  17. 2006-09-14
    soldstatus $73,000
    Show marketing remark (173 chars)

    Must call day/nite before. Good investment opportunity. Current tenant has lived here 10 years. Nice w/ good rm sizes. Above-ground pool. Possibility of putting in driveway.

  18. 2006-07-15
    listed $69,900 173-char remark
    Show marketing remark (173 chars)

    Must call day/nite before. Good investment opportunity. Current tenant has lived here 10 years. Nice w/ good rm sizes. Above-ground pool. Possibility of putting in driveway.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,492 · $291/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,492 · $291/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,037
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$3,492
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,843
− Management
−$1,843
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$2,163
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$519
After-tax cash flow
$1,640/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shaler Area SD
NCES district ID
4221200
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$57,411
Composite
41.33/100
National rank
#3506
State rank
#208 of 539 in PA

Livability — Reserve

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
27,652
Household income
$64,077
Rent vs Own
49.9% rent · 50.1% own
Severe rent burden
1584.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 25% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -120.40%
Current HPI
260.4262
Rent YoY
▲ 4.01%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+186.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $200,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2006-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 2006-09-14 Sold (MLS) $73,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2006-07-15 Listed $69,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,492 · +25.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…