🏷️ Likely Rental
3079 Mount Troy Rd · Reserve, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Must call day/nite before. Good investment opportunity. Current tenant has lived here 10 years. Nice w/ good rm sizes. Above-ground pool. Possibility of putting in driveway.
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Large yard
- Bonus room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (4.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $192k (4.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Shaler Area SD (suburban): math 36% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #208 of 539 in PA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 11 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $73k; list at $200k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.00%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $255,229
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -21.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3057 Mount Troy Rd | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (-5%) | 17mo | $215,000 | $149 | 71 |
| 419 Kinkura Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,616 (+6%) | 15mo | $270,000 | $167 | 66 |
| 413 Kinkura Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-13%) | 8mo | $247,450 | $187 | 61 |
| 833 Reserve St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,632 (+7%) | 8mo | $317,900 | $195 | 59 |
| 841 Stanton Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,648 (+8%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $143 | 54 |
| 3226 Spring Gdn | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,710 (+12%) | 8mo | $149,000 | $87 | 51 |
| 2375 E Beckert Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,715 (+13%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $155 | 46 |
| 824 Stanton Ave | 0.49mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,370 (-10%) | 13mo | $272,000 | $199 | 45 |
| 104 Bonita Ter | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,675 (+10%) | 8mo | $272,500 | $163 | 42 |
| 114 Biscayne | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+12%) | 13mo | $305,000 | $179 | 37 |
| 9 Spring St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,750 (+15%) | 16mo | $150,000 | $86 | 35 |
| 204 William St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-15%) | 7mo | $63,000 | $49 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-24,435
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-5,144
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15212
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,920 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$291 /mo · $3,492/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $93
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Shoup St #2 Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2064 | $2,000 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 212 Hugel Dr Unit 1 Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1304 Firth St Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1893 | $2,399 | $1.27 | 17d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4107 Willow St Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 917 | $3,334 | $3.63 | 2d | 28 | 1.43mi |
| 147 39th St Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 934 | $3,463 | $3.71 | 2d | 44 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Active 1138-char remark
-
2026-05-13$200,000 Active 1138-char remark
-
2006-09-14soldstatus $73,000 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Must call day/nite before. Good investment opportunity. Current tenant has lived here 10 years. Nice w/ good rm sizes. Above-ground pool. Possibility of putting in driveway.
-
2006-09-14soldstatus $73,000
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Must call day/nite before. Good investment opportunity. Current tenant has lived here 10 years. Nice w/ good rm sizes. Above-ground pool. Possibility of putting in driveway.
-
2006-07-15$69,900 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Must call day/nite before. Good investment opportunity. Current tenant has lived here 10 years. Nice w/ good rm sizes. Above-ground pool. Possibility of putting in driveway.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,492 · $291/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,492 · $291/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,037
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,492
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,843
- − Management
- −$1,843
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$2,163
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$519
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,640/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shaler Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221200
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,411
- Composite
- 41.33/100
- National rank
- #3506
- State rank
- #208 of 539 in PA
Livability — Reserve
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,652
- Household income
- $64,077
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1584.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 25% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.40%
- Current HPI
- 260.4262
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.01%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+186.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $200,000 West Penn MLS
- 2006-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-14 Sold (MLS) $73,000 West Penn MLS
- 2006-07-15 Listed $69,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2026): $3,492 · +25.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…