5733 Raven Gray Ln · Donalsonville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!
Key facts
- Outdoor use
- Expansion potential
- Customization
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is approximately 0.5 acre (level); Living/ building area recorded as 1,718 square feet
- Financial info: Listing available for cash or other terms
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water available; Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Manufactured home / Single-family residence; Manufactured house structure; Built in 2003
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Roof described as Other; Built in 2003
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Flooring described as Other
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heating present (type: Other); Cooling present (type: Other)
- Interior features: One-level layout; Fixer condition; No appliances included; Laundry area present; No fireplaces
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features indicated (details not specified)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $904 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#93 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Seminole County (rural): math 26% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #108 of 174 in GA (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Seminole County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 42.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 129.56%
- DSCR
- 6.76
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,709
- List price
- $29,900
- Delta
- -79.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.30×
- Total profit
- $52,728
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.34×
- Total profit
- $120,057
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39845
- Home prices YoY
- -6.8%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,369 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$9 /mo · $105/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $904
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $29,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $29,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $29,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $29,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $39,900 702-char remark
-
2026-05-01$55,000 New 702-char remark
-
2025-05-23soldstatus $93,000
-
2025-05-19soldstatus $93,000 Sold 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!
-
2025-04-03historical Active Under Contract 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!
-
2025-03-05price $92,000 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!
-
2025-02-10status Back On Market 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!
-
2025-01-31historical Active Under Contract 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!
-
2025-01-14price $95,000 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!
-
2024-12-20price $103,000 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!
-
2024-12-09price $110,000 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!
-
2024-11-27$139,900 New 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!
-
2023-03-07soldstatus $75,000
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2020-07-10soldstatus $21,000
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
3 bedroom 2 bath mobile home located in the country with storage building, and dog kennel. Needs a little work, but would make perfect starter home or investment property. Contact agent today to view this property.
-
2020-06-04$19,900
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
3 bedroom 2 bath mobile home located in the country with storage building, and dog kennel. Needs a little work, but would make perfect starter home or investment property. Contact agent today to view this property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $105 · $9/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $275 · $23/mo
- Expected delta
- +$171/yr (+$14/mo · 163.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,433
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$105
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,315
- − Management
- −$1,315
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $11,005
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,641
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,205/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seminole County
- NCES district ID
- 1304530
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,870
- Composite
- 23.31/100
- National rank
- #7918
- State rank
- #108 of 174 in GA
Livability — Donalsonville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #7445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,155
Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,106 people
- By 2030
- 7,748 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 6,975 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 6,198 · -23.5%
- By 2075
- 4,592 · -43.4%
- By 2100
- 2,953 · -63.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 35% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Seminole
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.4) · D 29.7% · R 70.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.4pp · 2024: -40.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.4 2020: R+34.9 2016: R+32.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+16.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.93%
- Current HPI
- 164.1565
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+50.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $29,900 GAMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $39,900 GAMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $55,000 GAMLS
- 2025-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
- 2025-05-19 Sold (MLS) $93,000 GAMLS
- 2025-04-03 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2025-03-05 Price Changed $92,000 GAMLS
- 2025-02-10 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-01-31 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2025-01-14 Price Changed $95,000 GAMLS
- 2024-12-20 Price Changed $103,000 GAMLS
- 2024-12-09 Price Changed $110,000 GAMLS
- 2024-11-27 Listed $139,900 GAMLS
- 2023-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-10 Sold (MLS) $21,000 SWGABOR
- 2020-06-04 Listed $19,900 SWGABOR
Property tax history
-8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $105 · -19.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…