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5733 Raven Gray Ln
D Composite 43.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

5733 Raven Gray Ln · Donalsonville, GA 39845
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,718 sqft · Other · 48 Days on market
Built 2003 0.50 ac lot $17/sqft · 79% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!

Key facts

  • Outdoor use
  • Expansion potential
  • Customization

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTOUTDOOR USEEXPANSION POTENTIALCUSTOMIZATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is approximately 0.5 acre (level); Living/ building area recorded as 1,718 square feet
  • Financial info: Listing available for cash or other terms
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water available; Public sewer; Water available
  • Home design: Manufactured home / Single-family residence; Manufactured house structure; Built in 2003
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Roof described as Other; Built in 2003
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Flooring described as Other
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present (type: Other); Cooling present (type: Other)
  • Interior features: One-level layout; Fixer condition; No appliances included; Laundry area present; No fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry features indicated (details not specified)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $904 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#93 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Seminole County (rural): math 26% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #108 of 174 in GA (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Seminole County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $29,003 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.58%
Cap rate
42.57%
Cash-on-cash
129.56%
DSCR
6.76
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$144,709
List price
$29,900
Delta
-79.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.30×
Total profit
$52,728
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.34×
Total profit
$120,057
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 39845

Home prices YoY
-6.8%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,369 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$9 /mo · $105/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$904

Break-even live

Break-even rent $225
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,900 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,900 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,900 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,900 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $29,900 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $29,900 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,900 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,900 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,900 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,900 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $29,900 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,900 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,900 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    price $39,900 702-char remark
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $55,000 New 702-char remark
  18. 2025-05-23
    soldstatus $93,000
  19. 2025-05-19
    soldstatus $93,000 Sold 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!

  20. 2025-04-03
    historical Active Under Contract 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!

  21. 2025-03-05
    price $92,000 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!

  22. 2025-02-10
    status Back On Market 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!

  23. 2025-01-31
    historical Active Under Contract 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!

  24. 2025-01-14
    price $95,000 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!

  25. 2024-12-20
    price $103,000 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!

  26. 2024-12-09
    price $110,000 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!

  27. 2024-11-27
    listed $139,900 New 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Ultimate privacy, enjoy the country setting of this 3-bedroom manufactured home surrounded by farms and fields. Great purchase for a first-time homebuyer or investment opportunity! The traditional floorplan features a living room, separate dining room, and family room with fireplace. Central HVAC. Positioned on 1/2 acre of property, there is a lot of potential and freedom for creating your own space. Home is being sold AS-IS with a motivated seller. Schedule your showing and make us an offer today!

  28. 2023-03-07
    soldstatus $75,000
  29. 2020-07-10
    soldstatus $21,000
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath mobile home located in the country with storage building, and dog kennel. Needs a little work, but would make perfect starter home or investment property. Contact agent today to view this property.

  30. 2020-06-04
    listed $19,900
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath mobile home located in the country with storage building, and dog kennel. Needs a little work, but would make perfect starter home or investment property. Contact agent today to view this property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$105 · $9/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$275 · $23/mo
Expected delta
+$171/yr (+$14/mo · 163.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,433
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$105
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,315
− Management
−$1,315
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$11,005
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,641
After-tax cash flow
$8,205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seminole County
NCES district ID
1304530
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$32,870
Composite
23.31/100
National rank
#7918
State rank
#108 of 174 in GA

Livability — Donalsonville

Score
70/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#7445

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,155

Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,106 people
By 2030
7,748 · -4.4%
By 2040
6,975 · -14.0%
By 2050
6,198 · -23.5%
By 2075
4,592 · -43.4%
By 2100
2,953 · -63.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (59%)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 35% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Seminole

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.4) · D 29.7% · R 70.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.4pp · 2024: -40.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.4 2020: R+34.9 2016: R+32.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+16.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.93%
Current HPI
164.1565
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $29,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $39,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $55,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
  • 2025-05-19 Sold (MLS) $93,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-04-03 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2025-03-05 Price Changed $92,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-02-10 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2025-01-31 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2025-01-14 Price Changed $95,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-12-20 Price Changed $103,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-12-09 Price Changed $110,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-11-27 Listed $139,900 GAMLS
  • 2023-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-10 Sold (MLS) $21,000 SWGABOR
  • 2020-06-04 Listed $19,900 SWGABOR

Property tax history

-8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $105 · -19.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…