214 S 2nd Ave · Rockaway Beach, OR
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 76°F)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$379,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Own a piece of the Oregon Coast! This charming single-level 3-bedroom, 2-bath with split living layout home. Features an open kitchen/dining/living room combo, vaulted ceilings, wood-burning fireplace for cozy coastal nights. Relax or entertain on the huge wraparound deck with added privacy, all set on two tax lots in a great neighborhood—just steps from the beach, dining, and local shops. The layout is ideal for both daily living and weekend escapes. Enjoy 7 miles of sandy shoreline in Rockaway Beach, a community known for its peaceful vibe and easy access to amenities. Take a ride on the local Oregon Coast Scenic Railroad, enjoy walking paths, hiking and biking. It's truly a great place to be.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1997
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Land is not leased
- HOA & community: Not a senior community; Zoning: RK R-2
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Driveway parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water and electric fuel
- Home design: Manufactured home on real property; Single-level living (main floor primary and main-level bedrooms); Facing direction: not specified; Resale condition
- Construction: Built in 1997; Composition roof; Block and pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; RV parking and RV/boat storage; Fenced/yard space; Vinyl siding; Paved road access; Level lot; Short walk to ocean beach, shopping and restaurants; Ocean, seasonal and trees/woods views
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Eat bar; Kitchen and dining room combined
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with suite, soaking tub, walk-in shower and walk-in closet; Second bedroom on main level with vaulted ceiling and sliding doors; Third bedroom on main level with bay window and vaulted ceiling
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl; Wall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; No built-in cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Laundry area; Soaking tub; Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet; Washer and dryer included; Walk-in shower; Double pane windows; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry with sink and washer/dryer hookups; Utility room on main
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $380k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $380k).
- Recommended offer: $374k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 6.6% in Rockaway Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#94 in OR, #4,777 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Neah-Kah-Nie SD 56 (rural): math 39% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #62 of 183 in OR (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Garibaldi Elementary School (math 24% / reading 30%, grade F, #288 of 412 statewide, top 73%, 120 students, 52% FRL); Neah-Kah-Nie Middle School (math 24% / reading 57%, grade F, #41 of 128 statewide, top 32%, 177 students, 44% FRL); Neah-Kah-Nie High School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #32 of 143 statewide, top 34%, 280 students, 35% FRL).
- Market conditions: 130 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 86 units permitted in Tillamook County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tillamook County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($374k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $380k implies a 153% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.56%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $310,487
- List price
- $379,950
- Delta
- 22.37%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 S Palisades St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-8%) | 4mo | $370,000 | $285 | 62 |
| 605 S Easy St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-8%) | 10mo | $319,000 | $246 | 58 |
| 346 N Falcon St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+8%) | 15mo | $390,000 | $258 | 57 |
| 350 N Falcon St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+8%) | 17mo | $375,000 | $248 | 55 |
| 132 S Palisades St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-10%) | 9mo | $355,000 | $282 | 53 |
| 348 N Falcon St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+8%) | 23mo | $575,000 | $380 | 50 |
| 635 S Falcon St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+8%) | 17mo | $385,000 | $255 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $89,757
- Equity at exit
- $56,652
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $272,816
- Equity at exit
- $32,851
Cash invested: $106,386 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97136
- Home prices YoY
- -34.6%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,992
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,748/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,260
- Net cashflow
- $2,377
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,592 | -5% $2,485 | +0% $2,377 | +5% $2,270 | +10% $2,162 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,903 | -5% $2,140 | +0% $2,377 | +5% $2,614 | +10% $2,851 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,568 | -0.5pp $2,474 | base $2,377 | +0.5pp $2,279 | +1.0pp $2,178 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,988
- Closing costs
- $11,398
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 N Dolphin St Rockaway Beach, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $6,000 | $5.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-07$379,950 Active 710-char remark
Show marketing remark (710 chars)
Own a piece of the Oregon Coast! This charming single-level 3-bedroom, 2-bath with split living layout home. Features an open kitchen/dining/living room combo, vaulted ceilings, wood-burning fireplace for cozy coastal nights. Relax or entertain on the huge wraparound deck with added privacy, all set on two tax lots in a great neighborhood—just steps from the beach, dining, and local shops. The layout is ideal for both daily living and weekend escapes. Enjoy 7 miles of sandy shoreline in Rockaway Beach, a community known for its peaceful vibe and easy access to amenities. Take a ride on the local Oregon Coast Scenic Railroad, enjoy walking paths, hiking and biking. It's truly a great place to be.
-
2026-05-07$379,950 Active 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (710 chars)
Own a piece of the Oregon Coast! This charming single-level 3-bedroom, 2-bath with split living layout home. Features an open kitchen/dining/living room combo, vaulted ceilings, wood-burning fireplace for cozy coastal nights. Relax or entertain on the huge wraparound deck with added privacy, all set on two tax lots in a great neighborhood—just steps from the beach, dining, and local shops. The layout is ideal for both daily living and weekend escapes. Enjoy 7 miles of sandy shoreline in Rockaway Beach, a community known for its peaceful vibe and easy access to amenities. Take a ride on the local Oregon Coast Scenic Railroad, enjoy walking paths, hiking and biking. It's truly a great place to be.
-
2009-08-24soldstatus $150,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,748 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,686 · $307/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,937/yr (+$161/mo · 110.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 9 d/yr ≥76°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $72,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,283
- − Property taxes
- −$1,748
- − Insurance
- −$2,697
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,760
- − Management
- −$5,760
- − Depreciation
- −$11,053
- Taxable income
- $23,698
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,688
- After-tax cash flow
- $22,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Neah-Kah-Nie SD 56
- NCES district ID
- 4108650
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,437
- Composite
- 41.68/100
- National rank
- #7205
- State rank
- #62 of 183 in OR
Livability — Rockaway Beach
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #4777
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rockaway Beach, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,422
Population outlook (Tillamook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,318 people
- By 2030
- 26,603 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 26,898 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 27,129 · +3.1%
- By 2075
- 27,858 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 26,212 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Iranian 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tillamook
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 49.2% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.9pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: R+1.7 2016: R+5.9 2012: D+4.7 2008: D+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.02%
- Current HPI
- 228.3227
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+153.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Pending — OCMLS
- 2026-05-27 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $379,950 RMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $379,950 OCMLS
- 2009-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,748 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…