107-109 E Main St · Hummelstown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$340,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Convenient Hummelstown location. Duplex Features: Unit 1 = range, washer/dryer, window treatments, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Unit 2= 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, washer/dryer , rent @ $625. Two Car Garage for additional rent. Contract W/ Terminex
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: One vacant unit and one leased unit; Income includes apartment rentals
- Financial info: Property is fee simple; Month-to-month lease(s) present; Total actual rent reported
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (rear entry) with additional storage — 2 garage spaces; On-street parking; Alley access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Municipal trash service; 200+ amp electric service; Natural gas hot water
- Home design: Multi-unit property with 2 units; Estimated year built
- Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Outbuilding(s); Above-grade other structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (natural gas); Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Unfinished basement with interior access; Estimated living area
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-443 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $262k (23.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (37.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $211k (37.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#528 in PA, #4,888 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lower Dauphin SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #130 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Lower Dauphin Ms (math 28% / reading 53%, grade F, #248 of 512 statewide, top 50%, 883 students, 27% FRL); Lower Dauphin Hs (math 82%, 1,085 students, 22% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 106 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $148k; list at $340k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.59%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 13.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $269,892
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 Division St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,340 (-3%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $172 | 68 |
| 218 N Railroad St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,463 (+6%) | 3mo | $340,000 | $232 | 59 |
| 32 N Duke St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,384 (+0%) | 19mo | $319,000 | $230 | 53 |
| 285 Dogwood Dr | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,474 (+7%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $227 | 51 |
| 1 Hickory Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,263 (-8%) | 13mo | $240,000 | $190 | 45 |
| 30 N Walnut St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,232 (-10%) | 6mo | $237,000 | $192 | 44 |
| 216 N Duke St | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-9%) | 9mo | $270,000 | $216 | 40 |
| 229 W 2nd St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,551 (+13%) | 18mo | $244,500 | $158 | 40 |
| 422 N Duke St | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,299 (-6%) | 16mo | $255,000 | $196 | 40 |
| 408 N Duke St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,525 (+11%) | 18mo | $283,000 | $186 | 32 |
| 102 N Duke St | 0.63mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,554 (+13%) | 14mo | $295,000 | $190 | 31 |
| 533 W High St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,512 (+10%) | 20mo | $310,000 | $205 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-88,541
- Equity at exit
- $50,695
- IRR
- -38.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.41×
- Total profit
- $-133,806
- Equity at exit
- $29,397
Cash invested: $95,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17036
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 13.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,114 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,783
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,267/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $-443
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-251 | -5% $-347 | +0% $-443 | +5% $-540 | +10% $-636 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-611 | -5% $-527 | +0% $-443 | +5% $-360 | +10% $-276 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-272 | -0.5pp $-357 | base $-443 | +0.5pp $-532 | +1.0pp $-621 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $85,000
- Closing costs
- $10,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 E 2nd St Hummelstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 295 E Main St Unit 2 Hummelstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 210 Division St Hummelstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $2,200 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 105 N Walnut St Hummelstown, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1496 | $1,700 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 670 Whitetail Dr Hummelstown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $2,000 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 861 Fawn Ln Hummelstown, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1726 | $2,300 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 861 Fawn Ln Hummelstown, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1726 | $1,995 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $340,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $340,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $340,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $340,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $340,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $340,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $340,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $340,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $340,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $340,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $340,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $350,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $350,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $350,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $350,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $350,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$350,000 Active
-
2026-05-21historical $350,000
-
2005-02-23soldstatus $148,500
-
2005-02-18soldstatus $148,500 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Convenient Hummelstown location. Duplex Features: Unit 1 = range, washer/dryer, window treatments, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Unit 2= 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, washer/dryer , rent @ $625. Two Car Garage for additional rent. Contract W/ Terminex
-
2004-11-21$149,900 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Convenient Hummelstown location. Duplex Features: Unit 1 = range, washer/dryer, window treatments, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Unit 2= 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, washer/dryer , rent @ $625. Two Car Garage for additional rent. Contract W/ Terminex
-
2004-11-21historical 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Convenient Hummelstown location. Duplex Features: Unit 1 = range, washer/dryer, window treatments, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Unit 2= 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, washer/dryer , rent @ $625. Two Car Garage for additional rent. Contract W/ Terminex
-
1984-04-25soldstatus $32,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,267 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,820 · $318/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,552/yr (+$129/mo · 68.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,045
- − Property taxes
- −$2,267
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,029
- − Management
- −$2,029
- − Depreciation
- −$9,891
- Taxable loss
- −$11,594
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,783
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,539/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lower Dauphin SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214100
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,760
- Composite
- 46.09/100
- National rank
- #2513
- State rank
- #130 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hummelstown
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #528
- US rank
- #4888
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hummelstown, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 23,520
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,520
- Household income
- $115,533
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 357.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Asian 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.37%
- Current HPI
- 245.2109
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.55%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+976.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $148,500 Public Records
- 2005-02-18 Sold (MLS) $148,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-11-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-11-21 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1984-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $2,267 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…