64625 Pierson Blvd Unit A9 · Desert Hot Springs, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AO
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $848 – $2,087
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Parking
- Community pool
- Built 2024
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Land lease amount: $800 (land lease applies)
- Financial info: Land lease applies
- HOA & community: Park West MHP community; Community features include valley views, street lighting, and a park; Pool use included in rent
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 covered space); Has parking
- Security: Fire sprinklers; Carbon monoxide detectors; Resident manager
- Utilities: Standard electric service; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-story mobile home; Estimated year built; Model: Living on a prayer; Entry at community entrance; Facing the street
- Construction: Mobile home remains on site; Total of 1 story
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Community pool; Stucco skirt; Fenced yard in excellent condition; Desert front and back landscaping; Sprinkler system
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island; Formica counters; Self-closing cabinet doors; Energy Star appliances; Refrigerator; Freezer; Range/stove hood; Gas & electric range; Tankless water heater
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with primary suite; All bedrooms on ground level; Walk-in closet
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Bathtub and shower in at least one bathroom; Shower in tub
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Energy Star cooling
- Interior features: Recessed lighting; Open floor plan; Energy Star doors; Energy Star windows; One-level living; Community spa
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Individual laundry room; 220V in laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $848 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 3.9% in Desert Hot Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,149 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 519 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,147/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 2095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.62%
- DSCR
- 2.76
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,521
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- 6.58%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64625 Pierson Blvd Unit B5 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 840 (0%) | 2mo | $109,000 | $130 | 93 |
| 64625 Pierson Blvd Unit A8 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 840 (0%) | 9mo | $109,000 | $130 | 92 |
| 64625 Pierson Blvd Blvd Unit A10 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 944 (+12%) | 2mo | $109,000 | $115 | 72 |
| 64625 Pierson Blvd Unit F4 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 938 (+12%) | 8mo | $100,000 | $107 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $38,568
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $109,576
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92240
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 519
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,147 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $848
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $921 | -5% $885 | +0% $848 | +5% $812 | +10% $776 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $679 | -5% $764 | +0% $848 | +5% $933 | +10% $1,018 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $901 | -0.5pp $875 | base $848 | +0.5pp $821 | +1.0pp $794 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13175 Little Morongo Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1056 | $1,995 | $1.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 66051 3rd St Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,675 | $2.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$105,000 Active
-
2026-04-02historical
-
2025-12-01price $99,000
-
2025-10-16price $105,000
-
2025-06-30price $109,000
-
2025-05-30price $119,999
-
2025-05-09$129,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AO · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥110°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,768
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$1,993
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,061
- − Management
- −$2,061
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $9,142
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,194
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,988/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home is in good condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good starting point for cosmetic upgrades to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A newer, more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters, boosting both resale and rental value.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, energy-efficient appliances can improve the home's functionality and appeal, increasing both resale and rental value.
- Both Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern, energy-efficient fixtures can improve the home's functionality and appeal, increasing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A newer, more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters, boosting both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, energy-efficient appliances can improve the home's functionality and appeal, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern, energy-efficient fixtures can improve the home's functionality and appeal, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Desert Hot Springs
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #1149
- US rank
- #25774
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,615
- Household income
- $54,023
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2095.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 27% White 23% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 53%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Spanish 50% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.10%
- Current HPI
- 418.4691
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.66%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-19.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $105,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $99,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $105,000 CRMLS
- 2025-06-30 Price Changed $109,000 CRMLS
- 2025-05-30 Price Changed $119,999 CRMLS
- 2025-05-09 Listed $129,999 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…