CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
64625 Pierson Blvd Unit A9
B- Composite 67.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

64625 Pierson Blvd Unit A9 · Desert Hot Springs, CA 92240
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured · 40 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition $125/sqft · 7% above area Est $99k · 7% over ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Community pool
  • Built 2024

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Land lease amount: $800 (land lease applies)
  • Financial info: Land lease applies
  • HOA & community: Park West MHP community; Community features include valley views, street lighting, and a park; Pool use included in rent

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (1 covered space); Has parking
  • Security: Fire sprinklers; Carbon monoxide detectors; Resident manager
  • Utilities: Standard electric service; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home; Estimated year built; Model: Living on a prayer; Entry at community entrance; Facing the street
  • Construction: Mobile home remains on site; Total of 1 story
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Community pool; Stucco skirt; Fenced yard in excellent condition; Desert front and back landscaping; Sprinkler system

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Formica counters; Self-closing cabinet doors; Energy Star appliances; Refrigerator; Freezer; Range/stove hood; Gas & electric range; Tankless water heater
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with primary suite; All bedrooms on ground level; Walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Bathtub and shower in at least one bathroom; Shower in tub
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Energy Star cooling
  • Interior features: Recessed lighting; Open floor plan; Energy Star doors; Energy Star windows; One-level living; Community spa
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Individual laundry room; 220V in laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $848 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 3.9% in Desert Hot Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,149 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 519 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,147/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 2095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.05%
Cap rate
17.39%
Cash-on-cash
39.62%
DSCR
2.76
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$98,521
List price
$105,000
Delta
6.58%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
64625 Pierson Blvd Unit B5 0.13mi 3/2.0 840 (0%) 2mo $109,000 $130 93
64625 Pierson Blvd Unit A8 0.00mi 3/2.0 840 (0%) 9mo $109,000 $130 92
64625 Pierson Blvd Blvd Unit A10 0.13mi 3/2.0 944 (+12%) 2mo $109,000 $115 72
64625 Pierson Blvd Unit F4 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 938 (+12%) 8mo $100,000 $107 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.0%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$38,568
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$109,576
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92240

Home prices YoY
-19.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
519
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,147 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
Flood insurance flood zone
−$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$451
Net cashflow
$848

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,073
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $921 -5% $885 +0% $848 +5% $812 +10% $776
Rent -10% $679 -5% $764 +0% $848 +5% $933 +10% $1,018
Rate -1.0pp $901 -0.5pp $875 base $848 +0.5pp $821 +1.0pp $794

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13175 Little Morongo Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA 4.0 2.5 1056 $1,995 $1.89 45d 1 0.66mi
66051 3rd St Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 1.0 760 $1,675 $2.20 25d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $105,000 Active
  17. 2026-04-02
    historical
  18. 2025-12-01
    price $99,000
  19. 2025-10-16
    price $105,000
  20. 2025-06-30
    price $109,000
  21. 2025-05-30
    price $119,999
  22. 2025-05-09
    listed $129,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AO · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥110°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,768
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$1,993
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,061
− Management
−$2,061
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$9,142
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,194
After-tax cash flow
$7,988/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good starting point for cosmetic upgrades to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A newer, more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters, boosting both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, energy-efficient appliances can improve the home's functionality and appeal, increasing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern, energy-efficient fixtures can improve the home's functionality and appeal, increasing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A newer, more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters, boosting both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, energy-efficient appliances can improve the home's functionality and appeal, increasing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern, energy-efficient fixtures can improve the home's functionality and appeal, increasing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Desert Hot Springs

Score
49/100
State rank
#1149
US rank
#25774

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
41,615
Household income
$54,023
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
2095.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 27% White 23% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 53%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 50% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.10%
Current HPI
418.4691
Rent YoY
▲ 3.66%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $105,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $99,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $105,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Price Changed $109,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-05-30 Price Changed $119,999 CRMLS
  • 2025-05-09 Listed $129,999 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…