5389 Treetops Dr · Naples Manor, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1 Bedroom / 1 Bath residence featuring a updated kitchen, granite countertops, and stainless steel appliances. Tile flooring runs throughout, complemented by a renovated bathroom and a convenient in-unit laundry room with washer and dryer. Enjoy a screened lanai with private porch entry—perfect for relaxing in the Florida breeze. Located in The Treetops at Naples, this community offers a prime location just minutes from Downtown Naples, world-class beaches, and Marco Island. An excellent opportunity for a rental investment or an ideal first home.
Key facts
- Renovated bathroom
- In-unit laundry room
- Screened lanai
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Part of a complex with 120 units and 5 units in the building; One unit per floor; building has 1 floor
- Financial info: Information not provided
- HOA & community: Quarterly condo fee of $1,926; Total annual recurring HOA fees $7,704; One-time fees $100; Community pool; Professional management; Community type: Non-gated; HOA maintenance covers irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, manager, exterior pest control, reserves, sewer, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Information not provided
- Security: Information not provided
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential low-rise building (1–3 stories); Single-story unit; Rear exposure facing south; Located in Treetops of Naples
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Built in 1980
- Exterior features: Stucco and wood siding exterior; Double hung windows; Rolled roof; Restrictions: Architectural, Deeded; Total area listed as 660 (unit)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator/ice maker
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Master bathroom has shower only
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Cable prewire; See remarks; Great room floor plan; Dining area in living room; Screened lanai/porch
- Laundry & utility: Washer in residence; Laundry in residence
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $94k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $94k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#615 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 597 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.60%
- DSCR
- 2.76
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $20,929
- Equity at exit
- $14,016
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.38×
- Total profit
- $88,946
- Equity at exit
- $8,127
Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34113
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 597
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,734 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$493
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$118 /mo · $1,410/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$642
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$574
- Net cashflow
- $442
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,500
- Closing costs
- $2,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5222 Treetops Dr Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,800 | $3.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5314 Gilchrist St Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 636 | $2,000 | $3.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $642 · $7,704/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $94,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $94,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $94,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-01status Active
-
2026-04-01status Pending With Contingencies
-
2026-03-25price $94,000
-
2026-03-19$99,000 Active
-
2026-03-12price $1,395
-
2026-01-24$1,495
-
2025-03-29historical $1,495
-
2025-03-12price $1,495
-
2025-03-08$1,595
-
2025-02-16historical $1,595
-
2025-01-07$1,595
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,813
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,265
- − Property taxes
- −$1,410
- − Insurance
- −$5,588
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,625
- − Management
- −$2,625
- − HOA
- −$7,704
- − Depreciation
- −$2,735
- Taxable income
- $4,860
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,167
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,138/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This condo is in good condition with a recently updated kitchen and bathroom. It offers a screened lanai and is located in a prime location. Minor updates to the interior and exterior could further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Neutral paint color is standard but could be refreshed for a fresh look
- Both Replace ceiling fan — Ceiling fan is functional but could be updated for a more modern look
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Adding outdoor lighting would enhance curb appeal and safety
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Neutral paint color is standard but could be refreshed for a fresh look ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fan — Ceiling fan is functional but could be updated for a more modern look ↑
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Adding outdoor lighting would enhance curb appeal and safety ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Naples Manor
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #615
- US rank
- #11875
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,056
- Household income
- $81,674
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.86%
- Current HPI
- 279.4232
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+5793.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-01 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $94,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $99,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $1,395 APPFOLIO
- 2026-01-24 Listed for Rent $1,495 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-29 Rental Removed $1,495 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-12 Price Changed $1,495 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-08 Listed for Rent $1,595 APPFOLIO
- 2025-02-16 Rental Removed $1,595 APPFOLIO
- 2025-01-07 Listed for Rent $1,595 APPFOLIO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…