5101 E County Rd 75 · Midland, TX 79705

$70,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 152 Days on market

Built 2018 Good condition ↓ 12% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Single-wide 16x76 manufactured home, 2018, offering 1,216 sq. ft. of living space. The home is very well maintained and in great condition, with everything needed for comfortable everyday living. A great option for anyone looking for an affordable, practical home. Mobile Home Only, Buyer is responsible for moving the mobile home after closing.

Key facts

• Built 2018
• Listed 151 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
• Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 26.0% vs local median 4.7% in Midland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#57 in TX, #2,192 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, commute D+.
• Greenwood ISD (rural): math 45% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #220 of 826 in TX (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 452 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,504 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Midland County population projected at +83% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.95% ✓
• Cap rate: 26.01%
• Cash-on-cash: 70.41%
• DSCR: 4.13
• GRM: 2.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 69.5%
• Equity multiple: 4.11×
• Total profit: $61,020
• Equity at exit: $10,437

10-year hold

• IRR: 73.4%
• Equity multiple: 8.34×
• Total profit: $143,867
• Equity at exit: $6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79705

• Rents YoY: 2.6%
• Active inventory: 452
• Price-to-rent: 2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,068 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$434
• Net cashflow: $1,150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612

Max offer price $70,000

Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,500
• Closing costs: $2,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $70,000 Active 152 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $70,000 Active 151 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $70,000 Active 150 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $70,000 Active 149 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $70,000 Active 148 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $70,000 Active 146 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $70,000 Active 145 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $70,000 Active 143 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $70,000 Active 142 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 141 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 140 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 135 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 134 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 133 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $70,000 Active 132 DOM
16. 2026-02-20
    price $70,000 345-char remark

    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Single-wide 16x76 manufactured home, 2018, offering 1,216 sq. ft. of living space. The home is very well maintained and in great condition, with everything needed for comfortable everyday living. A great option for anyone looking for an affordable, practical home. Mobile Home Only, Buyer is responsible for moving the mobile home after closing.

17. 2026-01-18
    listed $80,000 Active 345-char remark

    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Single-wide 16x76 manufactured home, 2018, offering 1,216 sq. ft. of living space. The home is very well maintained and in great condition, with everything needed for comfortable everyday living. A great option for anyone looking for an affordable, practical home. Mobile Home Only, Buyer is responsible for moving the mobile home after closing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,816
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,921
• − Property taxes: −$1,050
• − Insurance: −$350
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,985
• − Management: −$1,985
• − Depreciation: −$2,036
• Taxable income: $13,488
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,237
• After-tax cash flow: $10,563/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-wide manufactured home is in excellent condition with modern appliances and a clean interior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping improvements to enhance its curb appeal and resale value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
• Both Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and enhances curb appeal
• Both Install a new front door — Enhances curb appeal and security

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
• Both Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and enhances curb appeal ↑
• Both Install a new front door — Enhances curb appeal and security ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Greenwood ISD
• NCES district ID: 4821750
• Math proficiency: 45% ▲ 4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $74,012
• Composite: 40.54/100
• National rank: #3701
• State rank: #220 of 826 in TX

Livability — Midland

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #57
• US rank: #2192

Category grades

Amenities D Commute D+ Cost of living A Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Midland County · 168,494 people
• City population: 168,494
• Metro: Midland, TX
• Population (ZIP): 46,653
• Household income: $105,310
• Rent vs Own: 28.8% rent · 71.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1557.0

Population outlook (Midland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 220,895 people
• By 2030: 253,667 · +14.8%
• By 2040: 325,498 · +47.4%
• By 2050: 404,168 · +83.0%
• By 2075: 609,802 · +176.1%
• By 2100: 760,172 · +244.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: White 46% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 20% Black 8%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 35%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 72% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Midland

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+60.5) · D 19.3% · R 79.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.3pp · 2024: -60.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+60.5 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+61.5 2008: R+57.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -300.44%
• Current HPI: 207.2904
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.56%
• Metro: Midland, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-12.5% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-20 Price Changed $70,000 PBBOR
• 2026-01-18 Listed $80,000 PBBOR