10323 W 20th St · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Convenient Rock Home that needs your touch to shine again! Located on a large half acre lot so plenty of room to expand or play! 2 bedroom , 1 bath but Rock extra room/ laundry could be a third bedroom. Living/ Dining room combo has a Rock fireplace and galley kitchen has a breakfast bar. Shop out back for storage to go with the big yard for entertaining or play! Agents see remarks
Key facts
- Galley kitchen
- Rock fireplace
- Large half acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (20.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $144k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.08%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $214,064
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -15.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1604 Marlyn Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+2%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $126 | 67 |
| 2101 Romine Rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,380 (+1%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $83 | 65 |
| 1606 Nichols Rd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,479 (+8%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $125 | 64 |
| 11209 Hickory Hill Rd | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,372 (0%) | 8mo | $208,500 | $152 | 58 |
| 2104 Junior Deputy Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,529 (+11%) | 4mo | $271,650 | $178 | 57 |
| 9320 Tanya | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,375 (+0%) | 5mo | $189,900 | $138 | 56 |
| 9909 Labette Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,170 (-15%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $85 | 53 |
| 1423 Marlyn | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,458 (+6%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $120 | 53 |
| 9318 Monique Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+2%) | 7mo | $164,900 | $118 | 52 |
| 9425 Labette Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-5%) | 8mo | $169,000 | $130 | 51 |
| 2807 Dorset Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,493 (+9%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $117 | 44 |
| 1813 Lynette Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,263 (-8%) | 7mo | $144,500 | $114 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.4% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-24,555
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-18,104
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72205
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,439 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $367/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $88
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $189 | -5% $138 | +0% $88 | +5% $-169 | +10% $-231 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-26 | -5% $31 | +0% $88 | +5% $144 | +10% $201 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $178 | -0.5pp $133 | base $88 | +0.5pp $41 | +1.0pp $-7 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10103 W 20th St Unit A Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,575 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 10101 W 20th St Unit B Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,395 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 10005 W 20th St Unit a Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1545 | $1,565 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1310 Aldersgate Rd Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,352 | $1.18 | 19d | 7 | 0.35mi |
| 9409 Cerelle Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1432 | $1,375 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 9416 Covenant Ln Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,029 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1801 Labette Manor Dr Unit 1 Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1801 Labette Manor Dr Unit 7 Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 991 | $995 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2900 Lehigh Dr Unit 2900 Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,029 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2823 Covenant Cv Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,029 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 9401 Courtney Cv Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,029 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 9012 Tanya Dr Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1036 | $1,045 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 319 Oak Ln Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $1,481 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2706 Longcoy St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 11423 Birchwood Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1834 | $1,911 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9007 Cloverhill Rd Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,395 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 320 Nebling Rd Unit B Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $995 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 101 Ellis Dr Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 904 | $925 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 101 Ellis Dr Unit D Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $925 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9105 W 36th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3724 Holt St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 10006 Raymond Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 9910 Brooks Ln Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $180,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-04-04$180,000 New Listing 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
Convenient Rock Home that needs your touch to shine again! Located on a large half acre lot so plenty of room to expand or play! 2 bedroom , 1 bath but Rock extra room/ laundry could be a third bedroom. Living/ Dining room combo has a Rock fireplace and galley kitchen has a breakfast bar. Shop out back for storage to go with the big yard for entertaining or play! Agents see remarks
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $367 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,152 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$785/yr (+$65/mo · 213.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,271
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$367
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,382
- − Management
- −$1,382
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$2,078
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$499
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,549/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,043
- Household income
- $68,415
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1073.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 26% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -243.61%
- Current HPI
- 215.0083
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Listed $180,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $367 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…