530 Key Largo Ave · Murrells Inlet, SC
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOCATED IN THE HEART OF MURRELLS INLET! LOOKS NEW, RECENTLY UPDATED AND REFURNISHED! SALE INCLUDES: ALL FUNITURE, APPLIANCES, TV, DISHES, POTS, PANS EVEN A NEW VACUUM CLEANER. ! LOT LEASE INCLUDES WATER/SEWER AND TRASH SERVICE. IDEAL FULL TIME OR VACATION HOME. LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO: BROOKGREEN GARDENS, HUNTINGTON STATE PARK, MYRTLE BEACH, MARINAS, FINE RESTURANTS, GOLF, ENTERTAINMENT & MORE.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2015
- Listed 29 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease of $520 per month
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $520 monthly fee; Association fee includes sewer and water
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 2 parking spaces (total)
- Home design: Single wide mobile home; Resale property
- Exterior features: Lot zoning is RE
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Furnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.2% in Murrells Inlet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#25 in SC, #3,720 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Georgetown 01 (town): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #51 of 80 in SC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 287 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 323 units permitted in Georgetown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $129k implies a 565% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.07%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,392
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535 Eden Ave | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-3%) | 16mo | $45,000 | $40 | 80 |
| 581 Lot #35 Eden Ave | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-8%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $95 | 74 |
| 572 Gilmore Ave | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (0%) | 18mo | $250,000 | $217 | 69 |
| 522 Key Largo Ave | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (-15%) | 7mo | $119,000 | $121 | 68 |
| 528 Key Largo Ave | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-8%) | 18mo | $127,500 | $121 | 66 |
| 533 Lot 10 Key Largo Ave | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 990 (-14%) | 9mo | $121,000 | $122 | 62 |
| 531 Lot 9 Key Largo Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 990 (-14%) | 8mo | $129,900 | $131 | 62 |
| 523 Key Largo Ave | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 990 (-14%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $121 | 58 |
| 3885 Murrells Inlet Rd | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (-13%) | 9mo | $60,000 | $60 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $4,428
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $48,543
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29576
- Home prices YoY
- -18.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 287
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,209 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$520
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$464
- Net cashflow
- $333
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $422 | -5% $378 | +0% $333 | +5% $289 | +10% $244 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $159 | -5% $246 | +0% $333 | +5% $421 | +10% $508 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $398 | -0.5pp $366 | base $333 | +0.5pp $300 | +1.0pp $266 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 587A Sunnyside Ave Unit 1308943P Murrells Inlet, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1173 | $2,935 | $2.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 107 Gadwall Way Murrells Inlet, SC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $2,126 | $2.28 | 14d | 23 | 0.41mi |
| 824 Kittiwake Ln Murrells Inlet, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $2,000 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4429 Goldflower Loop Murrells Inlet, SC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 690 | $1,750 | $2.54 | 15d | 2 | 1.12mi |
| 4376 Crepe Myrtle Ct Murrells Inlet, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4430 Lady Banks Ln Unit D2 Murrells Inlet, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,775 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4384 Daphne Ln Murrells Inlet, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,950 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 225 Cord Grass Loop Murrells Inlet, SC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1302 | $1,999 | $1.54 | 15d | 3 | 1.48mi |
| 4323 Lotus Ct Unit F Murrells Inlet, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,750 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $520 · $6,240/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$129,000 Active
-
2009-03-04soldstatus $19,400 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
LOCATED IN THE HEART OF MURRELLS INLET! LOOKS NEW, RECENTLY UPDATED AND REFURNISHED! SALE INCLUDES: ALL FUNITURE, APPLIANCES, TV, DISHES, POTS, PANS EVEN A NEW VACUUM CLEANER. ! LOT LEASE INCLUDES WATER/SEWER AND TRASH SERVICE. IDEAL FULL TIME OR VACATION HOME. LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO: BROOKGREEN GARDENS, HUNTINGTON STATE PARK, MYRTLE BEACH, MARINAS, FINE RESTURANTS, GOLF, ENTERTAINMENT & MORE.
-
2008-11-18$23,500 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
LOCATED IN THE HEART OF MURRELLS INLET! LOOKS NEW, RECENTLY UPDATED AND REFURNISHED! SALE INCLUDES: ALL FUNITURE, APPLIANCES, TV, DISHES, POTS, PANS EVEN A NEW VACUUM CLEANER. ! LOT LEASE INCLUDES WATER/SEWER AND TRASH SERVICE. IDEAL FULL TIME OR VACATION HOME. LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO: BROOKGREEN GARDENS, HUNTINGTON STATE PARK, MYRTLE BEACH, MARINAS, FINE RESTURANTS, GOLF, ENTERTAINMENT & MORE.
-
2008-04-18soldstatus $22,250 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
Lovely 2 bed 2 bath home in the heart of the inlet.
-
2007-12-19$26,000 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
Lovely 2 bed 2 bath home in the heart of the inlet.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,503
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,935
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,120
- − Management
- −$2,120
- − HOA
- −$6,240
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $2,464
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$591
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,408/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Key areas for attention include the exterior, flooring, and structural framing.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exposed wooden framing — Structural integrity compromised
- Major Incomplete deck — Safety hazard
- Major Debris — Aesthetic and safety concerns
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace worn flooring — Improves comfort and aesthetics
- Both Replace exposed wooden framing — Ensures structural integrity and safety
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exposed wooden framing · Structural integrity compromised | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Incomplete deck · Safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Debris · Aesthetic and safety concerns | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace worn flooring — Improves comfort and aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace exposed wooden framing — Ensures structural integrity and safety ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Georgetown 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502280
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,045
- Composite
- 27.15/100
- National rank
- #7030
- State rank
- #51 of 80 in SC
Livability — Murrells Inlet
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #25
- US rank
- #3720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Murrells Inlet, SC
- County
- Horry County · 356,152 people
- City population
- 34,695
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,695
- Household income
- $70,691
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 309.0
Population outlook (Georgetown County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,275 people
- By 2030
- 63,630 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 63,130 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 61,904 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 59,305 · -6.3%
- By 2100
- 53,852 · -14.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Georgetown
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.6% · R 59.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+12.7 2016: R+13.0 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+5.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.53%
- Current HPI
- 248.5102
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.66%
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+396.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $129,000 CCAR
- 2009-03-04 Sold (MLS) $19,400 CCAR
- 2008-11-18 Listed $23,500 CCAR
- 2008-04-18 Sold (MLS) $22,250 CCAR
- 2007-12-19 Listed $26,000 CCAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…