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530 Key Largo Ave
B- Composite 68.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,000

530 Key Largo Ave · Murrells Inlet, SC 29576
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured · 29 Days on market
Built 2015 Fair condition Est $139k · 7% under $520/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LOCATED IN THE HEART OF MURRELLS INLET! LOOKS NEW, RECENTLY UPDATED AND REFURNISHED! SALE INCLUDES: ALL FUNITURE, APPLIANCES, TV, DISHES, POTS, PANS EVEN A NEW VACUUM CLEANER. ! LOT LEASE INCLUDES WATER/SEWER AND TRASH SERVICE. IDEAL FULL TIME OR VACATION HOME. LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO: BROOKGREEN GARDENS, HUNTINGTON STATE PARK, MYRTLE BEACH, MARINAS, FINE RESTURANTS, GOLF, ENTERTAINMENT & MORE.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2015
  • Listed 29 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease of $520 per month
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $520 monthly fee; Association fee includes sewer and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; 2 parking spaces (total)
  • Home design: Single wide mobile home; Resale property
  • Exterior features: Lot zoning is RE

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Furnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.2% in Murrells Inlet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#25 in SC, #3,720 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Georgetown 01 (town): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #51 of 80 in SC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 287 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 323 units permitted in Georgetown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $129k implies a 565% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,065 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.71%
Cap rate
9.39%
Cash-on-cash
11.07%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,392
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
535 Eden Ave 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,120 (-3%) 16mo $45,000 $40 80
581 Lot #35 Eden Ave 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-8%) 10mo $100,000 $95 74
572 Gilmore Ave 0.34mi 2/2.0 1,152 (0%) 18mo $250,000 $217 69
522 Key Largo Ave 0.02mi 2/2.0 980 (-15%) 7mo $119,000 $121 68
528 Key Largo Ave 0.01mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (-8%) 18mo $127,500 $121 66
533 Lot 10 Key Largo Ave 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 990 (-14%) 9mo $121,000 $122 62
531 Lot 9 Key Largo Ave 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 990 (-14%) 8mo $129,900 $131 62
523 Key Largo Ave 0.03mi 3/2.0 (+1) 990 (-14%) 15mo $120,000 $121 58
3885 Murrells Inlet Rd 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,000 (-13%) 9mo $60,000 $60 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$4,428
Equity at exit
$19,234
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$48,543
Equity at exit
$11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29576

Home prices YoY
-18.8%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
287
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,209 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax est. 1.5%
$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$520
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$464
Net cashflow
$333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,787
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $422 -5% $378 +0% $333 +5% $289 +10% $244
Rent -10% $159 -5% $246 +0% $333 +5% $421 +10% $508
Rate -1.0pp $398 -0.5pp $366 base $333 +0.5pp $300 +1.0pp $266

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
587A Sunnyside Ave Unit 1308943P Murrells Inlet, SC 3.0 2.0 1173 $2,935 $2.50 15d 1 0.26mi
107 Gadwall Way Murrells Inlet, SC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 932 $2,126 $2.28 14d 23 0.41mi
824 Kittiwake Ln Murrells Inlet, SC 2.0 2.0 1237 $2,000 $1.62 24d 1 0.76mi
4429 Goldflower Loop Murrells Inlet, SC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 690 $1,750 $2.54 15d 2 1.12mi
4376 Crepe Myrtle Ct Murrells Inlet, SC 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,850 $1.23 24d 1 1.20mi
4430 Lady Banks Ln Unit D2 Murrells Inlet, SC 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,775 $1.27 24d 1 1.22mi
4384 Daphne Ln Murrells Inlet, SC 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,950 $1.34 22d 1 1.31mi
225 Cord Grass Loop Murrells Inlet, SC 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1302 $1,999 $1.54 15d 3 1.48mi
4323 Lotus Ct Unit F Murrells Inlet, SC 3.0 2.0 1319 $1,750 $1.33 24d 1 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$520 · $6,240/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrash

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    listed $129,000 Active
  16. 2009-03-04
    soldstatus $19,400 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    LOCATED IN THE HEART OF MURRELLS INLET! LOOKS NEW, RECENTLY UPDATED AND REFURNISHED! SALE INCLUDES: ALL FUNITURE, APPLIANCES, TV, DISHES, POTS, PANS EVEN A NEW VACUUM CLEANER. ! LOT LEASE INCLUDES WATER/SEWER AND TRASH SERVICE. IDEAL FULL TIME OR VACATION HOME. LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO: BROOKGREEN GARDENS, HUNTINGTON STATE PARK, MYRTLE BEACH, MARINAS, FINE RESTURANTS, GOLF, ENTERTAINMENT & MORE.

  17. 2008-11-18
    listed $23,500 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    LOCATED IN THE HEART OF MURRELLS INLET! LOOKS NEW, RECENTLY UPDATED AND REFURNISHED! SALE INCLUDES: ALL FUNITURE, APPLIANCES, TV, DISHES, POTS, PANS EVEN A NEW VACUUM CLEANER. ! LOT LEASE INCLUDES WATER/SEWER AND TRASH SERVICE. IDEAL FULL TIME OR VACATION HOME. LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO: BROOKGREEN GARDENS, HUNTINGTON STATE PARK, MYRTLE BEACH, MARINAS, FINE RESTURANTS, GOLF, ENTERTAINMENT & MORE.

  18. 2008-04-18
    soldstatus $22,250 51-char remark
    Show marketing remark (51 chars)

    Lovely 2 bed 2 bath home in the heart of the inlet.

  19. 2007-12-19
    listed $26,000 51-char remark
    Show marketing remark (51 chars)

    Lovely 2 bed 2 bath home in the heart of the inlet.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,503
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$1,935
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,120
− Management
−$2,120
− HOA
−$6,240
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable income
$2,464
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$591
After-tax cash flow
$3,408/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Key areas for attention include the exterior, flooring, and structural framing.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed wooden framing — Structural integrity compromised
  • Major Incomplete deck — Safety hazard
  • Major Debris — Aesthetic and safety concerns

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace worn flooring — Improves comfort and aesthetics
  • Both Replace exposed wooden framing — Ensures structural integrity and safety

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exposed wooden framing · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Incomplete deck · Safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Debris · Aesthetic and safety concerns Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace worn flooring — Improves comfort and aesthetics
  • Both Replace exposed wooden framing — Ensures structural integrity and safety

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Georgetown 01
NCES district ID
4502280
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,045
Composite
27.15/100
National rank
#7030
State rank
#51 of 80 in SC

Livability — Murrells Inlet

Score
76/100
State rank
#25
US rank
#3720

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Murrells Inlet, SC
County
Horry County · 356,152 people
City population
34,695
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
Population (ZIP)
34,695
Household income
$70,691
Rent vs Own
10.7% rent · 89.3% own
Severe rent burden
309.0

Population outlook (Georgetown County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,275 people
By 2030
63,630 · +0.6%
By 2040
63,130 · -0.2%
By 2050
61,904 · -2.2%
By 2075
59,305 · -6.3%
By 2100
53,852 · -14.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Georgetown

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.6% · R 59.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+12.7 2016: R+13.0 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+5.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.53%
Current HPI
248.5102
Rent YoY
▲ 4.66%
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+396.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $129,000 CCAR
  • 2009-03-04 Sold (MLS) $19,400 CCAR
  • 2008-11-18 Listed $23,500 CCAR
  • 2008-04-18 Sold (MLS) $22,250 CCAR
  • 2007-12-19 Listed $26,000 CCAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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