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65109 Union St
B+ Composite 76.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$48,900

65109 Union St · Neffs, OH 43940
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,794 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1914 3,497 sqft lot ↓ 50% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious 4-bedroom home with endless potential! Bring your vision to this generously sized home featuring large bedrooms, a spacious kitchen, covered patio, and plenty of room to make it your own. Whether you're looking for your next investment project or a property to customize, this home offers solid square footage and tons of possibilities. Conveniently located and ready for its next chapter!

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Covered patio
  • 3,497 sq ft lot

Tags

COVERED PATIOSPACIOUS KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story property; Above-grade finished area reported by assessor
  • Construction: Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Property listed as fixer
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Chain link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Common basement; Basement present
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#938 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bellaire Local (rural): math 73% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #430 of 802 in OH (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Belmont County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($338 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Belmont County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.46%
Cap rate
20.57%
Cash-on-cash
51.01%
DSCR
3.27
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$13,953
Equity at exit
$21,988
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$39,269
Equity at exit
$33,885

Cash invested: $13,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43940

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,204 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$256
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,105/yr
Insurance
$20
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$122

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $48,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,225
Closing costs
$1,467
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $48,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $48,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $48,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $48,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $48,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $48,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 399-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $48,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,105 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,105 · $92/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,444
− Mortgage interest
−$2,739
− Property taxes
−$1,105
− Insurance
−$5,770
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,155
− Management
−$1,155
− Depreciation
−$1,423
Taxable income
$1,096
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$263
After-tax cash flow
$1,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bellaire Local
NCES district ID
3904357
Math proficiency
73% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,307
Composite
55.05/100
National rank
#2773
State rank
#430 of 802 in OH

Livability — Neffs

Score
61/100
State rank
#938
US rank
#18083

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Neffs, OH
City population
378
Population (ZIP)
378

Population outlook (Belmont County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,568 people
By 2030
64,818 · -2.6%
By 2040
60,702 · -8.8%
By 2050
56,427 · -15.2%
By 2075
46,222 · -30.6%
By 2100
34,611 · -48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Romanian 9% Iranian 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Belmont

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.3) · D 26.0% · R 73.3%
2008→2024 swing
-50.0pp toward R · 2008: 2.7pp · 2024: -47.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.3 2020: R+43.6 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+8.4 2008: D+2.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-49.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $48,900 MLSNOW
  • 2002-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $97,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,105 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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