2000 New River Inlet Rd Unit 3313 · North Topsail Beach, NC
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ATTENTION! PRICE REDUCTION!! This us a great deal!! Come and start enjoying life ''Island Style!'' This 2 bedroom 2 bath OCEANFRONT condo is calling your name!! If you are looking for a beach rental, a second home or fulltime living, this is the condo for you! No yard work! No pool cleaning! No driving for a work out! No driving for dinner! Going to the beach anytime without looking for and paying for a parking space! Going to sleep at night with roar of the ocean lulling you to sleep! You can have and enjoy all this and more! This condo has rental income, !
Key facts
- Oceanfront condo
- Peaceful views
- Beach access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $269k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-23k/yr) — negative.
- Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (28.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $192k (28.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate -0.3% vs local median 0.1% in North Topsail Beach — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#424 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Coastal Elementary (822 students, 31% FRL); Dixon Middle (math 49% / reading 53%, grade C, #106 of 475 statewide, top 22%, 948 students, 39% FRL); Dixon High (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B, #142 of 535 statewide, top 28%, 1,149 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Onslow County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 687 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 60% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- -0.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- -23.67%
- DSCR
- -0.05
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $330,754
- List price
- $269,000
- Delta
- -18.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 New River Inlet Rd Unit 1305 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,010 (0%) | 4mo | $217,000 | $215 | 97 |
| 2000 New River Inlet Rd Unit 3105 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,010 (0%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $223 | 97 |
| 2000 New River Inlet Road 1404 Unit 1404 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,010 (0%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $277 | 93 |
| 1983 New River Inlet Rd | 0.09mi | 2/1.5 | 1,014 (+0%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $380 | 92 |
| 1866 New River Inlet Rd Unit 3414c | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 961 (-5%) | 5mo | $417,500 | $434 | 73 |
| 1866 New River Inlet Rd Unit 3108c | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 904 (-10%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $326 | 66 |
| 2000 New River Inlet Rd Unit 1508 | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,222 (+21%) | 4mo | $500,000 | $409 | 66 |
| 1896 New River Inlet Inlt #1412 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,229 (+22%) | 0mo | $416,000 | $338 | 64 |
| 1840 New River Inlet Rd #2308 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 904 (-10%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $415 | 62 |
| 1436 New River Inlet Rd | 1.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,012 (+0%) | 4mo | $460,000 | $455 | 61 |
| 1822 New River Inlet Rd Unit 1305a | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 904 (-10%) | 5mo | $370,000 | $409 | 59 |
| 2210 New River Inlet Rd Unit 251 | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-17%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $190 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -80.4%
- Equity multiple
- -1.11×
- Total profit
- $-159,097
- Equity at exit
- $40,109
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -2.56×
- Total profit
- $-268,347
- Equity at exit
- $23,258
Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 2 under contract
- Median asking
- $338,000 ($335/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 84 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -2.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 28460
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 687
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,917 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,411
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$336 /mo · $4,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$1,141
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $-1,912
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,727 | -5% $-1,820 | +0% $-1,912 | +5% $-2,005 | +10% $-2,098 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,064 | -5% $-1,988 | +0% $-1,912 | +5% $-1,837 | +10% $-1,761 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,777 | -0.5pp $-1,844 | base $-1,912 | +0.5pp $-1,982 | +1.0pp $-2,053 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,250
- Closing costs
- $8,070
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 New River Inlet Rd Unit 1511 North Topsail Beach, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,600 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 202 Bayview Dr N Topsail Beach, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $2,200 | $2.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 177 Sea Gull Ln N Topsail Beach, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $2,300 | $2.27 | 116d | 1 | 0.47mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Community poolStreet lights
- HOA & community
- Homeowners associationAssociation amenities include barbecue, beach access/rights, cabana, elevators, fitness center, game room, grounds and structure maintenance, management, trash service, water, cable TV, and sport courtAssociation fee charged annually
Exterior
- Parking
- On-site paved parking lot
- Utilities
- Public waterSewer connectedWater connected
- Home design
- Condominium (Residential)One levelEntry on level 3Five total stories
- Construction
- Tile roofFoundation on pillars/posts/piersConstruction materials: see remarks
- Exterior features
- BalconyCovered patio/porchOceanfront with beach accessHas a viewNo fencing
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric ovenRefrigeratorDishwasher
- Bedrooms
- Total of 5 rooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Heat pumpElectric heatingForced air heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansWindow coveringsFurnished
- Laundry & utility
- Electric water heater
HOA detail $1,141/mo · $13,692/yr condo
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $269,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $269,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $269,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $269,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $269,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $269,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $269,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $269,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $269,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $269,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $269,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $269,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $269,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-09-03pricedays on market $269,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $279,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $279,999 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $279,999 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $279,999 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $279,999 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $279,999 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-25pricedays on market $279,999 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $300,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $300,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $300,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $300,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $300,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $300,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $300,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $300,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $300,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $300,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $300,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $300,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $300,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $300,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $300,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $300,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $300,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $300,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $300,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $300,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $300,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $300,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $300,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $300,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $300,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $300,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $300,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $300,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-21pricedays on market $300,000 Active 64 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,999
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,068
- − Property taxes
- −$4,035
- − Insurance
- −$6,464
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,840
- − Management
- −$1,840
- − HOA
- −$13,692
- − Depreciation
- −$7,825
- Taxable loss
- −$27,765
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,664
- After-tax cash flow
- $-16,286/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This oceanfront condo is in good condition with a good location and a good ROI. It has a good view and a good layout.
Value-add opportunities
- Both beachfront view — attracts both buyers and renters ↑
- Resale modern kitchen appliances — appeals to buyers ↑
- Both landscaping improvements — enhances curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Onslow County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703450
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,076
- Composite
- 38.66/100
- National rank
- #4148
- State rank
- #84 of 178 in NC
Livability — North Topsail Beach
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #424
- US rank
- #15770
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Topsail Beach, NC
- County
- Onslow County · 189,789 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,532
- Household income
- $88,908
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2% of renters
Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,789 people
- By 2030
- 194,463 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 193,629 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 193,248 · +1.8%
- By 2075
- 196,995 · +3.8%
- By 2100
- 201,513 · +6.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onslow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -162.21%
- Current HPI
- 176.3461
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.68%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
+28.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-20 Price Changed $300,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-05-16 Listed $320,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-07-27 Listed $340,000 Hive MLS
- 2020-12-31 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2020-09-19 Listed $249,000 Hive MLS
- 2020-05-15 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2019-05-13 Listed $234,000 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…