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5300 Lincoln Way E Unit 5A
B- Composite 65.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.6/15.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,000

5300 Lincoln Way E Unit 5A · Greene, PA 17222
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 5 Days on market
Built 2000 6,534 sqft lot $48/sqft · 7% above area Est $51k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home has been renovated to provide a clean, modern aesthetic at a price that's affordable! The open-concept living area is anchored by a classic wood-burning fireplace, a unique feature of this property. New Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring and a neutral color palette are illuminated by modern LED wafer lighting. The kitchen has new, painted cabinetry, a deep workstation sink, new formica countertops and sleek stainless steel appliances including a dishwasher. The split-bedroom layout offers privacy; the primary suite offers a cozy carpeted retreat, while the two additional bedrooms and a second full bath sit on the opposite end of the home. There is a large laundry alcove, utility space off the kitchen/master bedroom and includes a washer and dryer. The home comes equipped with central AC and electric forced air heat, ensuring a perfect climate in every season. Exterior improvements include a covered patio with an aluminum awning, new skirting, deck and a storage shed. This property offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and efficient living. Most photos coming soon.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2000

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $54k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $859 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $54k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Chambersburg Area SD (other): math 26% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #383 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.92%
Cap rate
25.39%
Cash-on-cash
68.20%
DSCR
4.03
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$50,700
List price
$54,000
Delta
6.51%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.6%
Equity multiple
4.04×
Total profit
$46,008
Equity at exit
$8,052
10-year hold
IRR
71.8%
Equity multiple
8.32×
Total profit
$110,660
Equity at exit
$4,669

Cash invested: $15,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17222

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,576 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$283
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $959/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$859

Break-even live

Break-even rent $488
Max offer price $54,000
Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,500
Closing costs
$1,620
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 1089-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1089 chars)

    This home has been renovated to provide a clean, modern aesthetic at a price that's affordable! The open-concept living area is anchored by a classic wood-burning fireplace, a unique feature of this property. New Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring and a neutral color palette are illuminated by modern LED wafer lighting. The kitchen has new, painted cabinetry, a deep workstation sink, new formica countertops and sleek stainless steel appliances including a dishwasher. The split-bedroom layout offers privacy; the primary suite offers a cozy carpeted retreat, while the two additional bedrooms and a second full bath sit on the opposite end of the home. There is a large laundry alcove, utility space off the kitchen/master bedroom and includes a washer and dryer. The home comes equipped with central AC and electric forced air heat, ensuring a perfect climate in every season. Exterior improvements include a covered patio with an aluminum awning, new skirting, deck and a storage shed. This property offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and efficient living. Most photos coming soon.

  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $54,000 Active 1089-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1089 chars)

    This home has been renovated to provide a clean, modern aesthetic at a price that's affordable! The open-concept living area is anchored by a classic wood-burning fireplace, a unique feature of this property. New Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring and a neutral color palette are illuminated by modern LED wafer lighting. The kitchen has new, painted cabinetry, a deep workstation sink, new formica countertops and sleek stainless steel appliances including a dishwasher. The split-bedroom layout offers privacy; the primary suite offers a cozy carpeted retreat, while the two additional bedrooms and a second full bath sit on the opposite end of the home. There is a large laundry alcove, utility space off the kitchen/master bedroom and includes a washer and dryer. The home comes equipped with central AC and electric forced air heat, ensuring a perfect climate in every season. Exterior improvements include a covered patio with an aluminum awning, new skirting, deck and a storage shed. This property offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and efficient living. Most photos coming soon.

  3. 2026-04-16
    historical $54,000 1089-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1089 chars)

    This home has been renovated to provide a clean, modern aesthetic at a price that's affordable! The open-concept living area is anchored by a classic wood-burning fireplace, a unique feature of this property. New Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring and a neutral color palette are illuminated by modern LED wafer lighting. The kitchen has new, painted cabinetry, a deep workstation sink, new formica countertops and sleek stainless steel appliances including a dishwasher. The split-bedroom layout offers privacy; the primary suite offers a cozy carpeted retreat, while the two additional bedrooms and a second full bath sit on the opposite end of the home. There is a large laundry alcove, utility space off the kitchen/master bedroom and includes a washer and dryer. The home comes equipped with central AC and electric forced air heat, ensuring a perfect climate in every season. Exterior improvements include a covered patio with an aluminum awning, new skirting, deck and a storage shed. This property offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and efficient living. Most photos coming soon.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$959 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$959 · $80/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,910
− Mortgage interest
−$3,025
− Property taxes
−$959
− Insurance
−$270
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,513
− Management
−$1,513
− Depreciation
−$1,571
Taxable income
$10,059
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,414
After-tax cash flow
$7,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chambersburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4205550
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$52,666
Composite
32.17/100
National rank
#5787
State rank
#383 of 539 in PA

Livability — Greene

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,261

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
157,827 people
By 2030
158,933 · +0.7%
By 2040
159,060 · +0.8%
By 2050
155,132 · -1.7%
By 2075
138,545 · -12.2%
By 2100
112,321 · -28.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.58%
Current HPI
284.4035
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $54,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Coming Soon $54,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $959 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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