5300 Lincoln Way E Unit 5A · Greene, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has been renovated to provide a clean, modern aesthetic at a price that's affordable! The open-concept living area is anchored by a classic wood-burning fireplace, a unique feature of this property. New Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring and a neutral color palette are illuminated by modern LED wafer lighting. The kitchen has new, painted cabinetry, a deep workstation sink, new formica countertops and sleek stainless steel appliances including a dishwasher. The split-bedroom layout offers privacy; the primary suite offers a cozy carpeted retreat, while the two additional bedrooms and a second full bath sit on the opposite end of the home. There is a large laundry alcove, utility space off the kitchen/master bedroom and includes a washer and dryer. The home comes equipped with central AC and electric forced air heat, ensuring a perfect climate in every season. Exterior improvements include a covered patio with an aluminum awning, new skirting, deck and a storage shed. This property offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and efficient living. Most photos coming soon.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2000
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $54k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $859 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $54k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Chambersburg Area SD (other): math 26% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #383 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.20%
- DSCR
- 4.03
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $50,700
- List price
- $54,000
- Delta
- 6.51%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.04×
- Total profit
- $46,008
- Equity at exit
- $8,052
- IRR
- 71.8%
- Equity multiple
- 8.32×
- Total profit
- $110,660
- Equity at exit
- $4,669
Cash invested: $15,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17222
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,576 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$283
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $959/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $859
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,500
- Closing costs
- $1,620
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 1089-char remark
Show marketing remark (1089 chars)
This home has been renovated to provide a clean, modern aesthetic at a price that's affordable! The open-concept living area is anchored by a classic wood-burning fireplace, a unique feature of this property. New Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring and a neutral color palette are illuminated by modern LED wafer lighting. The kitchen has new, painted cabinetry, a deep workstation sink, new formica countertops and sleek stainless steel appliances including a dishwasher. The split-bedroom layout offers privacy; the primary suite offers a cozy carpeted retreat, while the two additional bedrooms and a second full bath sit on the opposite end of the home. There is a large laundry alcove, utility space off the kitchen/master bedroom and includes a washer and dryer. The home comes equipped with central AC and electric forced air heat, ensuring a perfect climate in every season. Exterior improvements include a covered patio with an aluminum awning, new skirting, deck and a storage shed. This property offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and efficient living. Most photos coming soon.
-
2026-04-30$54,000 Active 1089-char remark
Show marketing remark (1089 chars)
This home has been renovated to provide a clean, modern aesthetic at a price that's affordable! The open-concept living area is anchored by a classic wood-burning fireplace, a unique feature of this property. New Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring and a neutral color palette are illuminated by modern LED wafer lighting. The kitchen has new, painted cabinetry, a deep workstation sink, new formica countertops and sleek stainless steel appliances including a dishwasher. The split-bedroom layout offers privacy; the primary suite offers a cozy carpeted retreat, while the two additional bedrooms and a second full bath sit on the opposite end of the home. There is a large laundry alcove, utility space off the kitchen/master bedroom and includes a washer and dryer. The home comes equipped with central AC and electric forced air heat, ensuring a perfect climate in every season. Exterior improvements include a covered patio with an aluminum awning, new skirting, deck and a storage shed. This property offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and efficient living. Most photos coming soon.
-
2026-04-16historical $54,000 1089-char remark
Show marketing remark (1089 chars)
This home has been renovated to provide a clean, modern aesthetic at a price that's affordable! The open-concept living area is anchored by a classic wood-burning fireplace, a unique feature of this property. New Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring and a neutral color palette are illuminated by modern LED wafer lighting. The kitchen has new, painted cabinetry, a deep workstation sink, new formica countertops and sleek stainless steel appliances including a dishwasher. The split-bedroom layout offers privacy; the primary suite offers a cozy carpeted retreat, while the two additional bedrooms and a second full bath sit on the opposite end of the home. There is a large laundry alcove, utility space off the kitchen/master bedroom and includes a washer and dryer. The home comes equipped with central AC and electric forced air heat, ensuring a perfect climate in every season. Exterior improvements include a covered patio with an aluminum awning, new skirting, deck and a storage shed. This property offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and efficient living. Most photos coming soon.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $959 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $959 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,910
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,025
- − Property taxes
- −$959
- − Insurance
- −$270
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,513
- − Management
- −$1,513
- − Depreciation
- −$1,571
- Taxable income
- $10,059
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,414
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,897/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chambersburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205550
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,666
- Composite
- 32.17/100
- National rank
- #5787
- State rank
- #383 of 539 in PA
Livability — Greene
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,261
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,827 people
- By 2030
- 158,933 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 159,060 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 155,132 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 138,545 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 112,321 · -28.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.58%
- Current HPI
- 284.4035
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $54,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-16 Coming Soon $54,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2026): $959 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…