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460 W Northside Dr
B- Composite 67.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

460 W Northside Dr · Jackson, MS 39206
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,987 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1950 0.41 ac lot $55/sqft · 61% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This well-maintained, move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a comfortable and inviting layout. Enjoy a spacious dining area, an eat-in kitchen, and a bright living space with large windows that fill the home with natural light. Outside, you'll find a generous yard and a detached two-car carport, perfect for everyday living and entertaining.

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Generous yard
  • Dining area

Tags

DINING AREAEAT-IN KITCHENLARGE WINDOWSGENEROUS YARDDETACHED TWO-CAR CARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $668 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,790/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1554% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 17 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,190 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
13.65%
Cash-on-cash
26.27%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$67,669
List price
$109,000
Delta
61.08%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3923 Azalea Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,694 (-15%) 1mo $99,900 $59 63
3916 Oakhill Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,766 (-11%) 10mo $44,900 $25 59
324 Stillwood Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,082 (+5%) 21mo $109,900 $53 58
910 Watkins Pl 0.71mi 4/2.0 2,071 (+4%) 4mo $169,900 $82 56
554 N North Park Dr 0.59mi 4/3.0 1,912 (-4%) 12mo $179,000 $94 52
262 Iris Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,768 (-11%) 5mo $59,900 $34 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$24,606
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
28.0%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$75,060
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39206

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,790 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,543/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$668

Break-even live

Break-even rent $944
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
815 Berwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,300 $1.04 43d 1 0.55mi
220 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1744 $1,350 $0.77 43d 1 0.67mi
4091 Pine Hill Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1551 $3,000 $1.93 23d 1 0.74mi
341 E Northside Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1732 $1,775 $1.02 23d 1 0.87mi
4220 Council Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 2.5 1780 $1,850 $1.04 23d 1 0.94mi
4056 Redwing Ave Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1678 $1,850 $1.10 43d 1 0.94mi
612 Heather Ln Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1642 $1,675 $1.02 23d 1 1.00mi
622 Naples Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.5 2210 $1,650 $0.75 23d 1 1.07mi
4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,550 $1.19 23d 1 1.12mi
724 Meadowbrook Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1593 $2,150 $1.35 43d 1 1.14mi
3611 N State St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.5 1540 $1,800 $1.17 43d 1 1.15mi
320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1270 $1,400 $1.10 13d 1 1.20mi
320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 1.5 1270 $1,400 $1.10 23d 1 1.20mi
521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1346 $1,423 $1.06 43d 1 1.21mi
2814 Smith Robinson St Jackson, MS 5.0 2.0 1899 $1,497 $0.79 23d 1 1.37mi
701 Cedarhurst Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1419 $1,250 $0.88 23d 1 1.37mi
4627 Estelle Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1489 $1,475 $0.99 23d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,000 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,000 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-03-20
    price $109,000 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    This well-maintained, move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a comfortable and inviting layout. Enjoy a spacious dining area, an eat-in kitchen, and a bright living space with large windows that fill the home with natural light. Outside, you'll find a generous yard and a detached two-car carport, perfect for everyday living and entertaining.

  4. 2026-02-09
    listed $111,000 Active 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    This well-maintained, move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a comfortable and inviting layout. Enjoy a spacious dining area, an eat-in kitchen, and a bright living space with large windows that fill the home with natural light. Outside, you'll find a generous yard and a detached two-car carport, perfect for everyday living and entertaining.

  5. 2025-11-08
    price $125,000
  6. 2025-10-16
    status Active
  7. 2025-10-15
    status Pending
  8. 2025-10-15
    historical
  9. 2025-10-08
    listed $130,000 Active
  10. 2025-08-23
    historical
  11. 2025-04-28
    price $135,000
  12. 2025-04-02
    price $140,000
  13. 2025-03-17
    listed $145,000 Active
  14. 2024-04-26
    soldstatus Closed
  15. 2024-04-22
    soldstatus
  16. 2024-04-12
    status Pending
  17. 2024-03-28
    price $57,900
  18. 2024-03-18
    price $60,900
  19. 2024-03-06
    price $64,900
  20. 2024-02-26
    price $67,900
  21. 2024-02-15
    price $70,900
  22. 2024-02-05
    price $74,900
  23. 2024-01-25
    price $77,900
  24. 2024-01-15
    price $80,900
  25. 2024-01-03
    price $83,900
  26. 2023-12-11
    price $86,900
  27. 2023-11-28
    listed $89,900 Active
  28. 2021-10-28
    soldstatus
  29. 2021-10-02
    historical
  30. 2021-10-02
    historical
  31. 2021-10-02
    historical
  32. 2021-10-02
    historical
  33. 2021-10-01
    historical
  34. 2021-10-01
    historical
  35. 2021-10-01
    historical
  36. 2021-10-01
    historical
  37. 2013-06-11
    soldstatus
  38. 2013-06-11
    soldstatus
  39. 2013-04-18
    listed $19,000
  40. 2012-12-10
    soldstatus
  41. 2010-10-26
    listed $71,040
  42. 2010-04-18
    listed $35,000
  43. 2008-03-18
    listed $80,000
  44. 2007-07-02
    listed $80,000
  45. 2007-06-01
    historical
  46. 2007-04-24
    listed $99,000
  47. 2005-11-27
    listed $95,000
  48. 2005-03-29
    listed $86,500
  49. 2003-06-02
    soldstatus
  50. 2003-01-08
    listed $74,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,543 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,543 · $129/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,474
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$1,543
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,718
− Management
−$1,718
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$6,674
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,602
After-tax cash flow
$6,416/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,257
Household income
$42,686
Rent vs Own
54.0% rent · 46.0% own
Severe rent burden
1554.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.38%
Current HPI
194.5873
Rent YoY
▲ 2.83%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+252.4% since first listed
55 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $109,000 MLSU
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $111,000 MLSU
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $125,000 MLSU
  • 2025-10-16 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-10-15 Pending MLSU
  • 2025-10-15 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-10-08 Listed $130,000 MLSU
  • 2025-08-23 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-04-28 Price Changed $135,000 MLSU
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $140,000 MLSU
  • 2025-03-17 Listed $145,000 MLSU
  • 2024-04-26 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2024-04-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-04-12 Pending MLSU
  • 2024-03-28 Price Changed $57,900 MLSU
  • 2024-03-18 Price Changed $60,900 MLSU
  • 2024-03-06 Price Changed $64,900 MLSU
  • 2024-02-26 Price Changed $67,900 MLSU
  • 2024-02-15 Price Changed $70,900 MLSU
  • 2024-02-05 Price Changed $74,900 MLSU
  • 2024-01-25 Price Changed $77,900 MLSU
  • 2024-01-15 Price Changed $80,900 MLSU
  • 2024-01-03 Price Changed $83,900 MLSU
  • 2023-12-11 Price Changed $86,900 MLSU
  • 2023-11-28 Listed $89,900 MLSU
  • 2021-10-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-10-02 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-10-02 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-10-02 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-10-02 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-10-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-10-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-10-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-10-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2013-06-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-06-11 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2013-04-18 Listed $19,000 MLSU
  • 2012-12-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-10-26 Listed $71,040 MLSU
  • 2010-04-18 Listed $35,000 MLSU
  • 2008-03-18 Listed $80,000 MLSU
  • 2007-07-02 Listed $80,000 MLSU
  • 2007-06-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2007-04-24 Listed $99,000 MLSU
  • 2005-11-27 Listed $95,000 MLSU
  • 2005-03-29 Listed $86,500 MLSU
  • 2003-06-02 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2003-01-08 Listed $74,900 MLSU
  • 2002-12-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-06-27 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2002-05-24 Listed $25,775 MLSU
  • 2002-04-12 Listed $30,930 MLSU
  • 2001-06-01 Listed $30,930 MLSU
  • 1987-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1986-07-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,543 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…