460 W Northside Dr · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well-maintained, move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a comfortable and inviting layout. Enjoy a spacious dining area, an eat-in kitchen, and a bright living space with large windows that fill the home with natural light. Outside, you'll find a generous yard and a detached two-car carport, perfect for everyday living and entertaining.
Key facts
- Large windows
- Generous yard
- Dining area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $668 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,790/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1554% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 17 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.27%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,669
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- 61.08%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3923 Azalea Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,694 (-15%) | 1mo | $99,900 | $59 | 63 |
| 3916 Oakhill Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,766 (-11%) | 10mo | $44,900 | $25 | 59 |
| 324 Stillwood Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,082 (+5%) | 21mo | $109,900 | $53 | 58 |
| 910 Watkins Pl | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 2,071 (+4%) | 4mo | $169,900 | $82 | 56 |
| 554 N North Park Dr | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 | 1,912 (-4%) | 12mo | $179,000 | $94 | 52 |
| 262 Iris Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,768 (-11%) | 5mo | $59,900 | $34 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $24,606
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $75,060
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39206
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,790 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,543/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $668
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 815 Berwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 220 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1744 | $1,350 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4091 Pine Hill Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $3,000 | $1.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 341 E Northside Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $1,775 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4220 Council Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $1,850 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4056 Redwing Ave Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1678 | $1,850 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 612 Heather Ln Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1642 | $1,675 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 622 Naples Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2210 | $1,650 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 724 Meadowbrook Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $2,150 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3611 N State St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $1,423 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2814 Smith Robinson St Jackson, MS | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1899 | $1,497 | $0.79 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 701 Cedarhurst Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,250 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4627 Estelle Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,475 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-03-20price $109,000 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
This well-maintained, move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a comfortable and inviting layout. Enjoy a spacious dining area, an eat-in kitchen, and a bright living space with large windows that fill the home with natural light. Outside, you'll find a generous yard and a detached two-car carport, perfect for everyday living and entertaining.
-
2026-02-09$111,000 Active 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
This well-maintained, move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a comfortable and inviting layout. Enjoy a spacious dining area, an eat-in kitchen, and a bright living space with large windows that fill the home with natural light. Outside, you'll find a generous yard and a detached two-car carport, perfect for everyday living and entertaining.
-
2025-11-08price $125,000
-
2025-10-16status Active
-
2025-10-15status Pending
-
2025-10-15historical
-
2025-10-08$130,000 Active
-
2025-08-23historical
-
2025-04-28price $135,000
-
2025-04-02price $140,000
-
2025-03-17$145,000 Active
-
2024-04-26soldstatus Closed
-
2024-04-22soldstatus
-
2024-04-12status Pending
-
2024-03-28price $57,900
-
2024-03-18price $60,900
-
2024-03-06price $64,900
-
2024-02-26price $67,900
-
2024-02-15price $70,900
-
2024-02-05price $74,900
-
2024-01-25price $77,900
-
2024-01-15price $80,900
-
2024-01-03price $83,900
-
2023-12-11price $86,900
-
2023-11-28$89,900 Active
-
2021-10-28soldstatus
-
2021-10-02historical
-
2021-10-02historical
-
2021-10-02historical
-
2021-10-02historical
-
2021-10-01historical
-
2021-10-01historical
-
2021-10-01historical
-
2021-10-01historical
-
2013-06-11soldstatus
-
2013-06-11soldstatus
-
2013-04-18$19,000
-
2012-12-10soldstatus
-
2010-10-26$71,040
-
2010-04-18$35,000
-
2008-03-18$80,000
-
2007-07-02$80,000
-
2007-06-01historical
-
2007-04-24$99,000
-
2005-11-27$95,000
-
2005-03-29$86,500
-
2003-06-02soldstatus
-
2003-01-08$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,543 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,543 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,474
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,543
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,718
- − Management
- −$1,718
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $6,674
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,602
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,416/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,257
- Household income
- $42,686
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.38%
- Current HPI
- 194.5873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.83%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+252.4% since first listed55 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $109,000 MLSU
- 2026-02-09 Listed $111,000 MLSU
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $125,000 MLSU
- 2025-10-16 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-10-15 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-10-15 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-10-08 Listed $130,000 MLSU
- 2025-08-23 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-04-28 Price Changed $135,000 MLSU
- 2025-04-02 Price Changed $140,000 MLSU
- 2025-03-17 Listed $145,000 MLSU
- 2024-04-26 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2024-04-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-04-12 Pending — MLSU
- 2024-03-28 Price Changed $57,900 MLSU
- 2024-03-18 Price Changed $60,900 MLSU
- 2024-03-06 Price Changed $64,900 MLSU
- 2024-02-26 Price Changed $67,900 MLSU
- 2024-02-15 Price Changed $70,900 MLSU
- 2024-02-05 Price Changed $74,900 MLSU
- 2024-01-25 Price Changed $77,900 MLSU
- 2024-01-15 Price Changed $80,900 MLSU
- 2024-01-03 Price Changed $83,900 MLSU
- 2023-12-11 Price Changed $86,900 MLSU
- 2023-11-28 Listed $89,900 MLSU
- 2021-10-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-10-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-10-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-10-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-10-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2013-06-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-06-11 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2013-04-18 Listed $19,000 MLSU
- 2012-12-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-10-26 Listed $71,040 MLSU
- 2010-04-18 Listed $35,000 MLSU
- 2008-03-18 Listed $80,000 MLSU
- 2007-07-02 Listed $80,000 MLSU
- 2007-06-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2007-04-24 Listed $99,000 MLSU
- 2005-11-27 Listed $95,000 MLSU
- 2005-03-29 Listed $86,500 MLSU
- 2003-06-02 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2003-01-08 Listed $74,900 MLSU
- 2002-12-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-06-27 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2002-05-24 Listed $25,775 MLSU
- 2002-04-12 Listed $30,930 MLSU
- 2001-06-01 Listed $30,930 MLSU
- 1987-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1986-07-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,543 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…