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931 18th Ave
B- Composite 66.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,000

931 18th Ave · East Moline, IL 61244
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1920 3,484 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well kept home in downtown area of East Moline. New dishwasher, electrical updated, hi-efficiency furnace. 1 bedroom on main level and 2 rooms up; must walk through one to get to the other. Garage and carport.

Key facts

  • One car garage
  • Large eat in kitchen
  • One car carport

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHFENCED IN YARDONE CAR GARAGEONE CAR CARPORTLARGE EAT IN KITCHENDEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property not currently leased; Built prior to 1978
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached owned garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built over 100 years ago; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Foundation: Other
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Fenced yard; Lot dimensions approximately 41 x 81 x 43 x 94; Less than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level) — carpeted; Bedroom 2 (second level) — 10 x 15, carpeted; Bedroom 3 (second level); Bedroom 4
  • Flooring: Carpet in living areas, kitchen, and bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $54k).
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 3.5% in East Moline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#870 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools F.
  • United Twp Hsd 30 (suburban): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #536 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 116 units permitted in Rock Island County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rock Island County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 4220% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.84%
Cap rate
13.30%
Cash-on-cash
25.01%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,824
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1136 20th Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 886 (-3%) 6mo $133,000 $150 79
539 15th Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,013 (+11%) 1mo $90,000 $89 54
1026 13th St 0.67mi 2/1.0 904 (-1%) 23mo $93,600 $104 48
2340 6th Street Ct 0.58mi 2/1.0 980 (+8%) 20mo $98,000 $100 44
1509 Kennedy Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 816 (-10%) 6mo $57,100 $70 40
2187 18th St 0.64mi 2/2.0 864 (-5%) 22mo $117,500 $136 39
2526 7 1/2 St 0.64mi 2/1.0 998 (+9%) 21mo $127,000 $127 37
1316 23rd Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,044 (+14%) 23mo $140,000 $134 26
507 23rd Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (+14%) 16mo $235,000 $226 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$11,396
Equity at exit
$8,052
10-year hold
IRR
27.0%
Equity multiple
3.39×
Total profit
$36,068
Equity at exit
$4,669

Cash invested: $15,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61244

Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$992 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$283
Tax from tax record
$163 /mo · $1,951/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$315

Break-even live

Break-even rent $593
Max offer price $54,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,500
Closing costs
$1,620
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
777 20th Ave Unit 1 East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 1030 $1,090 $1.06 21d 1 0.20mi
735 20th Ave Unit 3 East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 690 $790 $1.14 21d 1 0.22mi
625 25th Ave Unit 625 East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 888 $900 $1.01 21d 1 0.63mi
1454 18th St East Moline, IL 2.0 1.5 650 $995 $1.53 21d 1 0.70mi
123 3rd St Unit House Silvis, IL 2.0 1.0 1017 $1,150 $1.13 21d 1 0.89mi
801 Bend Blvd East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 600 $1,599 $2.67 13d 1 1.00mi
1842 28th Ave East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 914 $1,100 $1.20 13d 1 1.07mi
3341 5th St Unit 1 East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 21d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    listed $1,250
  2. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  3. 2026-05-02
    listed $54,000 Active
  4. 2016-08-05
    soldstatus $58,500 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Well kept home in downtown area of East Moline. New dishwasher, electrical updated, hi-efficiency furnace. 1 bedroom on main level and 2 rooms up; must walk through one to get to the other. Garage and carport.

  5. 2016-08-05
    soldstatus $58,500 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Well kept home in downtown area of East Moline. New dishwasher, electrical updated, hi-efficiency furnace. 1 bedroom on main level and 2 rooms up; must walk through one to get to the other. Garage and carport.

  6. 2016-08-05
    soldstatus $58,500
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Well kept home in downtown area of East Moline. New dishwasher, electrical updated, hi-efficiency furnace. 1 bedroom on main level and 2 rooms up; must walk through one to get to the other. Garage and carport.

  7. 2016-06-15
    listed $62,500 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Well kept home in downtown area of East Moline. New dishwasher, electrical updated, hi-efficiency furnace. 1 bedroom on main level and 2 rooms up; must walk through one to get to the other. Garage and carport.

  8. 2016-06-15
    listed $62,500 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Well kept home in downtown area of East Moline. New dishwasher, electrical updated, hi-efficiency furnace. 1 bedroom on main level and 2 rooms up; must walk through one to get to the other. Garage and carport.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,951 · $163/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,951 · $163/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,901
− Mortgage interest
−$3,025
− Property taxes
−$1,951
− Insurance
−$270
− Repairs & maintenance
−$952
− Management
−$952
− Depreciation
−$1,571
Taxable income
$3,179
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$763
After-tax cash flow
$3,019/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
United Twp Hsd 30
NCES district ID
1739870
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,647
Composite
11.91/100
National rank
#9670
State rank
#536 of 620 in IL

Livability — East Moline

Score
62/100
State rank
#870
US rank
#16964

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Moline, IL
County
Rock Island County · 103,822 people
City population
23,308
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
Population (ZIP)
23,308
Household income
$63,819
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
746.0

Population outlook (Rock Island County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
140,982 people
By 2030
137,705 · -2.3%
By 2040
130,512 · -7.4%
By 2050
123,841 · -12.2%
By 2075
109,851 · -22.1%
By 2100
90,922 · -35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 18% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
English 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, United Kingdom, Philippines
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Rock Island

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.6) · D 53.9% · R 44.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 9.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.6 2020: D+12.1 2016: D+8.4 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.05%
Current HPI
154.4012
Rent YoY
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed for Rent $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $54,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
  • 2016-08-05 Sold (MLS) $58,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-05 Sold (MLS) $58,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-15 Listed $62,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-15 Listed $62,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,951 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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