931 18th Ave · East Moline, IL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well kept home in downtown area of East Moline. New dishwasher, electrical updated, hi-efficiency furnace. 1 bedroom on main level and 2 rooms up; must walk through one to get to the other. Garage and carport.
Key facts
- One car garage
- Large eat in kitchen
- One car carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property not currently leased; Built prior to 1978
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached owned garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built over 100 years ago; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Foundation: Other
- Exterior features: Level lot; Fenced yard; Lot dimensions approximately 41 x 81 x 43 x 94; Less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level) — carpeted; Bedroom 2 (second level) — 10 x 15, carpeted; Bedroom 3 (second level); Bedroom 4
- Flooring: Carpet in living areas, kitchen, and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $54k).
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 3.5% in East Moline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#870 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools F.
- United Twp Hsd 30 (suburban): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #536 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 116 units permitted in Rock Island County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rock Island County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 4220% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.01%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,824
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1136 20th Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 886 (-3%) | 6mo | $133,000 | $150 | 79 |
| 539 15th Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,013 (+11%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $89 | 54 |
| 1026 13th St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 904 (-1%) | 23mo | $93,600 | $104 | 48 |
| 2340 6th Street Ct | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (+8%) | 20mo | $98,000 | $100 | 44 |
| 1509 Kennedy Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (-10%) | 6mo | $57,100 | $70 | 40 |
| 2187 18th St | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 864 (-5%) | 22mo | $117,500 | $136 | 39 |
| 2526 7 1/2 St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 998 (+9%) | 21mo | $127,000 | $127 | 37 |
| 1316 23rd Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,044 (+14%) | 23mo | $140,000 | $134 | 26 |
| 507 23rd Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+14%) | 16mo | $235,000 | $226 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $11,396
- Equity at exit
- $8,052
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $36,068
- Equity at exit
- $4,669
Cash invested: $15,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61244
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $992 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$283
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,951/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,500
- Closing costs
- $1,620
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 777 20th Ave Unit 1 East Moline, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,090 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 735 20th Ave Unit 3 East Moline, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $790 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 625 25th Ave Unit 625 East Moline, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $900 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1454 18th St East Moline, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 650 | $995 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 123 3rd St Unit House Silvis, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,150 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 801 Bend Blvd East Moline, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,599 | $2.67 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1842 28th Ave East Moline, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3341 5th St Unit 1 East Moline, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-13$1,250
-
2026-05-11status Pending
-
2026-05-02$54,000 Active
-
2016-08-05soldstatus $58,500 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Well kept home in downtown area of East Moline. New dishwasher, electrical updated, hi-efficiency furnace. 1 bedroom on main level and 2 rooms up; must walk through one to get to the other. Garage and carport.
-
2016-08-05soldstatus $58,500 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Well kept home in downtown area of East Moline. New dishwasher, electrical updated, hi-efficiency furnace. 1 bedroom on main level and 2 rooms up; must walk through one to get to the other. Garage and carport.
-
2016-08-05soldstatus $58,500
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Well kept home in downtown area of East Moline. New dishwasher, electrical updated, hi-efficiency furnace. 1 bedroom on main level and 2 rooms up; must walk through one to get to the other. Garage and carport.
-
2016-06-15$62,500 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Well kept home in downtown area of East Moline. New dishwasher, electrical updated, hi-efficiency furnace. 1 bedroom on main level and 2 rooms up; must walk through one to get to the other. Garage and carport.
-
2016-06-15$62,500 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Well kept home in downtown area of East Moline. New dishwasher, electrical updated, hi-efficiency furnace. 1 bedroom on main level and 2 rooms up; must walk through one to get to the other. Garage and carport.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,951 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,951 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,901
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,025
- − Property taxes
- −$1,951
- − Insurance
- −$270
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$952
- − Management
- −$952
- − Depreciation
- −$1,571
- Taxable income
- $3,179
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$763
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,019/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- United Twp Hsd 30
- NCES district ID
- 1739870
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,647
- Composite
- 11.91/100
- National rank
- #9670
- State rank
- #536 of 620 in IL
Livability — East Moline
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #870
- US rank
- #16964
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Moline, IL
- County
- Rock Island County · 103,822 people
- City population
- 23,308
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,308
- Household income
- $63,819
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 746.0
Population outlook (Rock Island County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 140,982 people
- By 2030
- 137,705 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 130,512 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 123,841 · -12.2%
- By 2075
- 109,851 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 90,922 · -35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 18% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- English 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, United Kingdom, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Rock Island
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.6) · D 53.9% · R 44.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 9.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.6 2020: D+12.1 2016: D+8.4 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.05%
- Current HPI
- 154.4012
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-98.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed for Rent $1,250 APPFOLIO
- 2026-05-11 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-02 Listed $54,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
- 2016-08-05 Sold (MLS) $58,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-05 Sold (MLS) $58,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-15 Listed $62,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-15 Listed $62,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,951 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…