206 S Madison Ave · Knob Noster, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2 bed 1 bath home is conveniently located and would make a great starter home! The deep 1 car garage offers plenty of space to park a lawn mower, add a work space or used for storage!
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From 23 Hwy take Business 50 to S Madison to property
- Financial info: Annual tax information available
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage facing front (1 garage space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One-story (ranch)
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: 0.12-acre lot; Flood plain status unknown
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Electric cooling (central)
- Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Slab basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $926 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
- Cap rate 1111452.2% vs local median 4.0% in Knob Noster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#104 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Knob Noster R-VIII (town): math 46% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #47 of 324 in MO (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 80 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Johnson County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 117242.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1111452.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3969449.53%
- DSCR
- 176619.17
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 210745.02×
- Total profit
- $59,008
- Equity at exit
- $0
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 455055.72×
- Total profit
- $127,415
- Equity at exit
- $1
Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65336
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 45
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,172 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $0/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $926
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $926 | -5% $926 | +0% $926 | +5% $926 | +10% $926 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $834 | -5% $880 | +0% $926 | +5% $973 | +10% $1,019 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $926 | -0.5pp $926 | base $926 | +0.5pp $926 | +1.0pp $926 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $0
- Closing costs
- $0
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 Elliott Ln Knob Noster, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,325 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 709 Elliott Ln Knob Noster, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,245 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $1 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $1 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 300-char remark
-
2026-06-12$1 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,069
- − Mortgage interest
- −$0
- − Property taxes
- −$0
- − Insurance
- −$0
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,126
- − Management
- −$1,126
- − Depreciation
- −$0
- Taxable income
- $11,818
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,836
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Knob Noster R-VIII
- NCES district ID
- 2916830
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,077
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3420
- State rank
- #47 of 324 in MO
Livability — Knob Noster
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #6892
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Knob Noster, MO
- County
- Johnson County · 34,718 people
- City population
- 6,519
- Metro
- Warrensburg, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,519
- Household income
- $66,935
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 66.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,794 people
- By 2030
- 56,861 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 58,239 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 59,168 · +6.0%
- By 2075
- 62,222 · +11.5%
- By 2100
- 60,118 · +7.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.2pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+36.9 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.63%
- Current HPI
- 195.5154
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Warrensburg, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+100.3% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $1 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-06-26 Sold (MLS) — WCAR
- 2023-06-26 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-28 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-28 Relisted — WCAR
- 2023-04-28 Price Changed $120,000 WCAR
- 2023-04-28 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-28 Price Changed $120,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-01 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-10 Listed $130,000 WCAR
- 2023-02-10 Listed $130,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-05-30 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-11 Contingent — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-06 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-06 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-09 Listed $82,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-09 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-12 Listed $80,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-08-27 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-08-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-06-24 Listed $59,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $706 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…