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206 S Madison Ave
C- Composite 52.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$1

206 S Madison Ave · Knob Noster, MO 65336
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,072 sqft · Other public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1960 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2 bed 1 bath home is conveniently located and would make a great starter home! The deep 1 car garage offers plenty of space to park a lawn mower, add a work space or used for storage!

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From 23 Hwy take Business 50 to S Madison to property
  • Financial info: Annual tax information available
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage facing front (1 garage space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One-story (ranch)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: 0.12-acre lot; Flood plain status unknown

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Electric cooling (central)
  • Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Slab basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $926 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
  • Cap rate 1111452.2% vs local median 4.0% in Knob Noster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#104 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Knob Noster R-VIII (town): math 46% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #47 of 324 in MO (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 80 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Johnson County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
117242.00%
Cap rate
1111452.16%
Cash-on-cash
3969449.53%
DSCR
176619.17
GRM
0.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
210745.02×
Total profit
$59,008
Equity at exit
$0
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
455055.72×
Total profit
$127,415
Equity at exit
$1

Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65336

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
45

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,172 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$0
Tax est. 1.5%
$0 /mo · $0/yr
Insurance
$0
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$926

Break-even live

Break-even rent
Max offer price $1
Occupancy floor 16%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $926 -5% $926 +0% $926 +5% $926 +10% $926
Rent -10% $834 -5% $880 +0% $926 +5% $973 +10% $1,019
Rate -1.0pp $926 -0.5pp $926 base $926 +0.5pp $926 +1.0pp $926

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$0
Closing costs
$0
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
705 Elliott Ln Knob Noster, MO 3.0 2.0 1197 $1,325 $1.11 44d 1 0.84mi
709 Elliott Ln Knob Noster, MO 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,245 $0.98 44d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $1 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $1 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 300-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $1 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,069
− Mortgage interest
−$0
− Property taxes
−$0
− Insurance
−$0
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,126
− Management
−$1,126
− Depreciation
−$0
Taxable income
$11,818
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,836
After-tax cash flow
$8,278/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Knob Noster R-VIII
NCES district ID
2916830
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,077
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3420
State rank
#47 of 324 in MO

Livability — Knob Noster

Score
71/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#6892

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Knob Noster, MO
County
Johnson County · 34,718 people
City population
6,519
Metro
Warrensburg, MO
Population (ZIP)
6,519
Household income
$66,935
Rent vs Own
36.0% rent · 64.0% own
Severe rent burden
66.0

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,794 people
By 2030
56,861 · +1.9%
By 2040
58,239 · +4.4%
By 2050
59,168 · +6.0%
By 2075
62,222 · +11.5%
By 2100
60,118 · +7.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.2pp · 2024: -39.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.6 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+36.9 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.63%
Current HPI
195.5154
Rent YoY
Metro
Warrensburg, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.3% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $1 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-06-26 Sold (MLS) WCAR
  • 2023-06-26 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-28 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-28 Relisted WCAR
  • 2023-04-28 Price Changed $120,000 WCAR
  • 2023-04-28 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-28 Price Changed $120,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-01 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-10 Listed $130,000 WCAR
  • 2023-02-10 Listed $130,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-05-30 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-11 Contingent Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-06 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-06 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-09 Listed $82,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-09 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-12 Listed $80,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-08-27 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-08-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-06-24 Listed $59,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $706 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…