124 Alpine Meadows Ln · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- Cash flow +10.8/30.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$238,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautifully designed three bedroom, two bath home offers an open floor plan with two spacious walk-in closets in the primary suite. The kitchen features 3cm slab granite countertops, stainless steel appliances with a gas range, cabinet hardware, a large island and a walk-in pantry- perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. LED recessed lighting throughout with additional feature that include a smart-connect Wi-Fi thermostat, structured wiring panel box and tankless gas water heater. This home truly checks all the boxes and more!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Walk-in closets
- Large island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $238k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (6.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (17.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: J. Wallace James Elementary School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #147 of 646 statewide, top 23%, 939 students, 64% FRL); Judice Middle School (math 26% / reading 36%, grade F, #110 of 218 statewide, top 51%, 463 students, 61% FRL); Acadiana High School (math 31% / reading 29%, grade F, #125 of 265 statewide, top 47%, 1,813 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 520 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.97%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $277,021
- List price
- $238,000
- Delta
- -14.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 Hidden Meadows Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,603 (-2%) | 2mo | $246,985 | $154 | 88 |
| 308 Hidden Meadows Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,689 (+4%) | 2mo | $261,985 | $155 | 86 |
| 112 Gentle Crescent Ln | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,657 (+2%) | 7mo | $231,000 | $139 | 83 |
| 122 Steep Meadows Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,718 (+6%) | 6mo | $264,784 | $154 | 79 |
| 114 Garden Meadows Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,718 (+6%) | 10mo | $267,710 | $156 | 77 |
| 106 Steep Meadows Ln | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,689 (+4%) | 10mo | $264,855 | $157 | 74 |
| 205 Hidden Meadows Dr | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,858 (+14%) | 2mo | $275,168 | $148 | 66 |
| 114 Elmwood Meadows Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,825 (+12%) | 10mo | $268,390 | $147 | 65 |
| 113 Hummingbird Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (-14%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $110 | 60 |
| 310 Hidden Meadows Dr | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,833 (+12%) | 8mo | $274,826 | $150 | 59 |
| 126 Gateway Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,826 (+12%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $134 | 51 |
| 213 Tuscany Valley Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,832 (+12%) | 2mo | $203,000 | $111 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-43,260
- Equity at exit
- $35,487
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-37,087
- Equity at exit
- $20,578
Cash invested: $66,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 70 active · 23 under contract
- Months of supply
- 14.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $262,490 ($153/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 227 d
- This list price
- 13% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +11.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 70506
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 520
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,965 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,248
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$298 /mo · $3,570/yr
- Insurance
- −$99
- HOA
- −$17
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $-109
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $55 | -5% $-27 | +0% $-109 | +5% $-192 | +10% $-274 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-265 | -5% $-187 | +0% $-109 | +5% $-32 | +10% $46 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $10 | -0.5pp $-49 | base $-109 | +0.5pp $-171 | +1.0pp $-234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,500
- Closing costs
- $7,140
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 Grassy Meadows Ln Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $2,200 | $1.37 | 70d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 105 Alpine Meadows Ln Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1629 | $1,945 | $1.19 | 70d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 303 Tall Meadows Ln Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $2,000 | $1.31 | 70d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 304 Tall Meadows Ln Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $1,850 | $1.10 | 93d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1630 Rue du Belier Lafayette, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1060 | $1,600 | $1.51 | 62d | 25 | 0.58mi |
| 221 Wakely CT Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1659 | $1,975 | $1.19 | 62d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 201 Finsbury Ln Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $2,575 | $1.49 | 70d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 106 Braddish Ct Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1659 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 70d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 118 Millie Park Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 70d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 104 Marblehead Ave Lafayette, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1448 | $2,668 | $1.84 | 62d | 126 | 1.07mi |
| 6000 Johnston St Lafayette, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1093 | $1,740 | $1.59 | 62d | 20 | 1.15mi |
| 343 Ridge Rd Lafayette, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1113 | $1,995 | $1.79 | 62d | 34 | 1.16mi |
| 110 Pilsbury Ln Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 70d | 1 | 1.17mi |
HOA detail $17/mo · $204/yr
- Likely covers
- watergasinternet
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $238,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $238,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $238,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $238,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $238,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $238,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $238,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $238,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $238,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $238,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $238,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $238,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $238,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $238,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $238,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $238,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $238,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-07-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-07-13days on market $238,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $238,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $238,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $238,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-07-09pricedays on market $238,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $241,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $241,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $241,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $241,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $241,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $241,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $241,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $241,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $241,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $241,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $241,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $241,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $241,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $241,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $241,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $241,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $241,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $241,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $241,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $241,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $241,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $241,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $241,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $241,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $241,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $244,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $244,000 Active 114 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,332
- − Property taxes
- −$3,570
- − Insurance
- −$1,190
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,886
- − Management
- −$1,886
- − HOA
- −$204
- − Depreciation
- −$6,924
- Taxable loss
- −$5,413
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,299
- After-tax cash flow
- $-15/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in ready home offers a clean, modern feel with excellent condition and no visible repairs needed. Smart home integration and security upgrades would further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Smart home integration — Enhances convenience and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Smart security system — Improves safety and appeal ↑
- Both Smart lighting system — Enhances ambiance and energy efficiency ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 280,930 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,318
- Household income
- $57,379
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18% Armenian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.28%
- Current HPI
- 140.8445
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+1.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $245,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $247,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $248,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $250,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $252,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $254,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $255,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-03-27 Sold (MLS) $241,150 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-02-14 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2023-02-14 Price Changed $241,150 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-10-13 Price Changed $241,145 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-09-16 Listed $241,150 AcadianaMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…