1335 Mantle St · Parkville, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PARKSIDE HEIGHTS End of group, NEW carpet, NEW flooring in kitchen and bathroom. Gleaming HARDWOOD FLOORS on upper level. Central air, off street parking, fenced yard. Brand new Grisham security storm door. Freshly painted thru-out. Owner financing possible at 4.5%, no points! So affordable! Hurry, won't last at this price!
Key facts
- Updated kitchen
- Modern lvp flooring
- Central air
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (3.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (3.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.3% in Parkville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#77 in MD, #2,839 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 3% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $122k; list at $205k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.74%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,768
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1327 Mantle St | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (0%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $146 | 95 |
| 1301 Mantle St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (0%) | 12mo | $189,999 | $186 | 87 |
| 1615 Lyle Ct | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (0%) | 14mo | $140,000 | $137 | 84 |
| 1636 Lyle Ct | 0.04mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,024 (0%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $229 | 79 |
| 1603 Wentworth Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (0%) | 17mo | $175,000 | $171 | 78 |
| 1308 Dalton Rd | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,120 (+9%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $116 | 65 |
| 1334 Dalton Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,096 (+7%) | 13mo | $198,000 | $181 | 64 |
| 1403 Dartmouth Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,120 (+9%) | 2mo | $187,000 | $167 | 63 |
| 49 Ashlar Hill Ct #49 | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,035 (+1%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $140 | 60 |
| 22 Ashlar Hill Ct #22 | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,019 (-0%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $157 | 54 |
| 72 Ashlar Hill Ct #72 | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 905 (-12%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $155 | 46 |
| 10 Ashlar Hill Ct #10 | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,066 (+4%) | 16mo | $167,500 | $157 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-11,163
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $42,580
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21234
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,987 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,186/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $227
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $343 | -5% $285 | +0% $227 | +5% $169 | +10% $111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $70 | -5% $148 | +0% $227 | +5% $305 | +10% $384 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $330 | -0.5pp $279 | base $227 | +0.5pp $174 | +1.0pp $120 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1610 Wentworth Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,900 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1629 Wentworth Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,895 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1376 Halstead Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $2,400 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1332 Deanwood Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $2,500 | $2.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 7605 Hillendale Rd Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,255 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 7202 Sindall Rd Unit 7202 Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,850 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 34 Dowling Cir Parkville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,465 | $1.68 | 2d | 36 | 0.38mi |
| 7906 Bon Air Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $2,200 | $2.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 6612 Wycombe Way Parkville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 664 | $1,325 | $2.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2423 Wellbridge Dr Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,325 | $1.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6502 McClean Blvd Unit 2211-B3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6624 Pioneer Dr Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,647 | $2.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8402 Greenway Rd Towson, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,595 | $2.25 | 3d | 24 | 0.81mi |
| 6502 McClean Blvd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,537 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8130 Kirkwall Ct Towson, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $2,625 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8340 Edgedale Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,400 | $1.90 | 5d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2525 Wendover Rd Unit B Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,650 | $2.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7839 Birmingham Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,775 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1717 Northview Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,980 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6612 Birchwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $2,300 | $2.05 | 20d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6906 Donachie Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 904 | $2,363 | $2.61 | 3d | 37 | 0.94mi |
| 8309 Pleasant Plains Rd Towson, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $3,000 | $2.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8309 Arbor Station Way Parkville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 846 | $1,815 | $2.15 | 2d | 8 | 0.95mi |
| 1612 Hardwick Rd Towson, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $2,450 | $1.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1621 Thetford Rd Towson, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,350 | $2.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6101 Loch Raven Blvd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1138 | $2,318 | $2.04 | 3d | 8 | 1.03mi |
| 1745 Amuskai Rd Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,975 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6405 Loch Crest Rd Idlewylde, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,257 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8451 Water Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,950 | $1.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1712 Waverly Way Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,520 | $2.25 | 2d | 5 | 1.09mi |
| 6212 Laurelton Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,325 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8525 Chestnut Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,995 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1726 Redwood Ave Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $2,250 | $1.57 | 18d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2106 Cloville Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 8503 Kings Ridge Rd Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8533 Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1408 Cedarcroft Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,957 | $2.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8204 Old Harford Rd Unit 2 Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8206 Old Harford Rd Unit 2 Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8206 Old Harford Rd Unit 1 Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,750 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-04-12status Pending
-
2026-04-12price $205,000
-
2026-04-03$199,000 Active
-
2025-12-03historical $1,950
-
2025-10-07price $1,950
-
2025-09-24price $2,050
-
2025-08-15$2,200
-
2009-02-10historical
-
2008-08-10
-
2005-09-19soldstatus $121,800
-
2005-09-06soldstatus $121,800 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
PARKSIDE HEIGHTS End of group, NEW carpet, NEW flooring in kitchen and bathroom. Gleaming HARDWOOD FLOORS on upper level. Central air, off street parking, fenced yard. Brand new Grisham security storm door. Freshly painted thru-out. Owner financing possible at 4.5%, no points! So affordable! Hurry, won't last at this price!
-
2005-08-23historical 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
PARKSIDE HEIGHTS End of group, NEW carpet, NEW flooring in kitchen and bathroom. Gleaming HARDWOOD FLOORS on upper level. Central air, off street parking, fenced yard. Brand new Grisham security storm door. Freshly painted thru-out. Owner financing possible at 4.5%, no points! So affordable! Hurry, won't last at this price!
-
2005-07-14$121,800 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
PARKSIDE HEIGHTS End of group, NEW carpet, NEW flooring in kitchen and bathroom. Gleaming HARDWOOD FLOORS on upper level. Central air, off street parking, fenced yard. Brand new Grisham security storm door. Freshly painted thru-out. Owner financing possible at 4.5%, no points! So affordable! Hurry, won't last at this price!
-
2003-12-11soldstatus $60,000
-
2003-11-24soldstatus $60,000
-
2003-11-12historical
-
2003-10-02$72,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,186 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,210 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- +$24/yr (+$2/mo · 1.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,839
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$2,186
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,907
- − Management
- −$1,907
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$633
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$152
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,873/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Parkville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #2839
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parkville, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 66,334
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,334
- Household income
- $83,517
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2719.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 28% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -247.04%
- Current HPI
- 254.3824
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.68%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+181.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $205,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-03 Rental Removed $1,950 APPFOLIO
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $1,950 APPFOLIO
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $2,050 APPFOLIO
- 2025-08-15 Listed for Rent $2,200 APPFOLIO
- 2009-02-10 Delisted — MRIS
- 2008-08-10 Listed — MRIS
- 2005-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $121,800 Public Records
- 2005-09-06 Sold (MLS) $121,800 MRIS
- 2005-08-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-07-14 Listed $121,800 MRIS
- 2003-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2003-11-24 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MRIS
- 2003-11-12 Delisted — MRIS
- 2003-10-02 Listed $72,900 MRIS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,186 · -4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…