7891 Riverwood Dr · Bon Secour, AL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MULTIPLE OFFER NOTIFICATION. HIGHEST, BEST, AND FINAL OFFERS DUE 5/6/26 BY 5PM. Back on the market due to no fault of the seller. Charming and well-maintained home situated on a spacious lot offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy outdoor living. This property features durable tile flooring throughout—no carpet—making for easy maintenance and everyday convenience. The functional layout includes multiple bedrooms and comfortable living spaces filled with natural light. Step outside and you’ll find several standout features, including a covered outdoor entertaining area, a screened porch, and two outbuildings ideal for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. There is also covered parking and ample space for additional vehicles, equipment, or recreational items. The expansive yard provides a great opportunity for gardening, pets, or simply enjoying the privacy and open space. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and all that Foley has to offer, this property combines affordability, space, and versatility. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
Key facts
- Covered parking
- Expansive yard
- Two outbuildings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($718/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (9.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.1% in Bon Secour — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#162 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 875 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $189k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.17%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $353,001
- List price
- $220,000
- Delta
- -37.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7423 Fairmont Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,275 (+2%) | 1mo | $263,000 | $206 | 68 |
| 7504 Oak Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,257 (+1%) | 16mo | $335,000 | $267 | 68 |
| 7561 Wenzel Rd Unit A7 | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,220 (-2%) | 11mo | $372,500 | $305 | 64 |
| 7544 Wenzel Rd Unit B6 | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,220 (-2%) | 18mo | $339,259 | $278 | 60 |
| 7374 Coopers Landing Rd | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,175 (-6%) | 11mo | $410,000 | $349 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-34,176
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-34,215
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36535
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 875
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$275 /mo · $3,300/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $60
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $212 | -5% $136 | +0% $60 | +5% $-16 | +10% $-92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-98 | -5% $-19 | +0% $60 | +5% $139 | +10% $218 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $171 | -0.5pp $116 | base $60 | +0.5pp $3 | +1.0pp $-55 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224 Fulham Ln Foley, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $2,100 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 212 Burnston Way Foley, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $2,175 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 9315 Langley Ave Foley, AL | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1896 | $1,775 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 9167 Hickory St S Foley, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 921 | $1,392 | $1.51 | 14d | 14 | 1.33mi |
| 3877 Chesterfield Ln Foley, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,950 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-09status $220,000 Pending 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $220,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $220,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-07status Pending 1097-char remark
Show marketing remark (1097 chars)
MULTIPLE OFFER NOTIFICATION. HIGHEST, BEST, AND FINAL OFFERS DUE 5/6/26 BY 5PM. Back on the market due to no fault of the seller. Charming and well-maintained home situated on a spacious lot offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy outdoor living. This property features durable tile flooring throughout—no carpet—making for easy maintenance and everyday convenience. The functional layout includes multiple bedrooms and comfortable living spaces filled with natural light. Step outside and you’ll find several standout features, including a covered outdoor entertaining area, a screened porch, and two outbuildings ideal for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. There is also covered parking and ample space for additional vehicles, equipment, or recreational items. The expansive yard provides a great opportunity for gardening, pets, or simply enjoying the privacy and open space. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and all that Foley has to offer, this property combines affordability, space, and versatility. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-05-01status Active 1097-char remark
Show marketing remark (1097 chars)
MULTIPLE OFFER NOTIFICATION. HIGHEST, BEST, AND FINAL OFFERS DUE 5/6/26 BY 5PM. Back on the market due to no fault of the seller. Charming and well-maintained home situated on a spacious lot offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy outdoor living. This property features durable tile flooring throughout—no carpet—making for easy maintenance and everyday convenience. The functional layout includes multiple bedrooms and comfortable living spaces filled with natural light. Step outside and you’ll find several standout features, including a covered outdoor entertaining area, a screened porch, and two outbuildings ideal for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. There is also covered parking and ample space for additional vehicles, equipment, or recreational items. The expansive yard provides a great opportunity for gardening, pets, or simply enjoying the privacy and open space. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and all that Foley has to offer, this property combines affordability, space, and versatility. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-03-29status Pending 1097-char remark
Show marketing remark (1097 chars)
MULTIPLE OFFER NOTIFICATION. HIGHEST, BEST, AND FINAL OFFERS DUE 5/6/26 BY 5PM. Back on the market due to no fault of the seller. Charming and well-maintained home situated on a spacious lot offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy outdoor living. This property features durable tile flooring throughout—no carpet—making for easy maintenance and everyday convenience. The functional layout includes multiple bedrooms and comfortable living spaces filled with natural light. Step outside and you’ll find several standout features, including a covered outdoor entertaining area, a screened porch, and two outbuildings ideal for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. There is also covered parking and ample space for additional vehicles, equipment, or recreational items. The expansive yard provides a great opportunity for gardening, pets, or simply enjoying the privacy and open space. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and all that Foley has to offer, this property combines affordability, space, and versatility. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-03-27$220,000 Active 1097-char remark
Show marketing remark (1097 chars)
MULTIPLE OFFER NOTIFICATION. HIGHEST, BEST, AND FINAL OFFERS DUE 5/6/26 BY 5PM. Back on the market due to no fault of the seller. Charming and well-maintained home situated on a spacious lot offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy outdoor living. This property features durable tile flooring throughout—no carpet—making for easy maintenance and everyday convenience. The functional layout includes multiple bedrooms and comfortable living spaces filled with natural light. Step outside and you’ll find several standout features, including a covered outdoor entertaining area, a screened porch, and two outbuildings ideal for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. There is also covered parking and ample space for additional vehicles, equipment, or recreational items. The expansive yard provides a great opportunity for gardening, pets, or simply enjoying the privacy and open space. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and all that Foley has to offer, this property combines affordability, space, and versatility. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2025-07-08soldstatus $188,900
-
2016-02-11soldstatus $156,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,003
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$3,300
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$2,961
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$711
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,428/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 0100270
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,677
- Composite
- 38.61/100
- National rank
- #4157
- State rank
- #18 of 129 in AL
Livability — Bon Secour
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #162
- US rank
- #14482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Baldwin County · 181,514 people
- City population
- 923
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,628
- Household income
- $66,714
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 803.0
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.82%
- Current HPI
- 262.2796
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+40.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — BCAR
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — BCAR
- 2026-03-29 Pending — BCAR
- 2026-03-27 Listed $220,000 BCAR
- 2025-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $188,900 Public Records
- 2016-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $156,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $395 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…