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C+ Composite 61.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

4523 NE Bell Ave · Lawton, OK 73507
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,760 sqft · Townhouse public records · 521 Days on market
Built 1978 1,628 sqft lot $125/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

As is at this price. Any repairs or closing would need to be added to price. The townhome is priced well below market. New shingles less than 1 year old (covered thru HOA insurance). This is one of the larger units with two living rooms down plus half bath with 3 bedrooms and 1 3/4 baths upstairs. Amazing space for this price. Would most likely go VA financing. Call John Naberhaus with Parks Jones Realty direct at 580-585-2315 for the most up to date information on this Macarthur Park townhome.

Key facts

  • Half bath
  • New shingles
  • Two living rooms

Tags

NEW SHINGLESTWO LIVING ROOMSHALF BATHTHREE BEDROOMSONE THREE QUARTER BATHS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R-3 multiple-family
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with $125 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered spaces; 2-car garage with garage door opener; garage faces rear
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential condo/townhouse; Two levels; Brick veneer construction; Composition roof; Built by John Jones
  • Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; In-ground private pool; Paved city street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range hood
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Fireplace heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Walk-in closets; Window coverings; Wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Crawl space foundation/basement access

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 6.1% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
  • Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Carriage Hills Es (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 311 students, 0% FRL); Macarthur Ms (math 16% / reading 31%, grade F, #113 of 345 statewide, top 34%, 865 students, 0% FRL); Macarthur Hs (math 19% / reading 34%, grade F, #139 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 1,163 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 208 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 521 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 521 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
9.37%
Cash-on-cash
11.00%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-3,004
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$4,168
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73507

Home prices YoY
-23.2%
Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
208
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,191 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $904/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$125
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $898
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$125 · $1,500/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2025-02-28
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2024-12-13
    listed $90,000 Active
  4. 2005-08-30
    soldstatus $89,500
  5. 2002-05-27
    soldstatus $82,000
  6. 1993-09-22
    soldstatus $67,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$904 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$904 · $75/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,291
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$904
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,143
− Management
−$1,143
− HOA
−$1,500
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$1,491
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$358
After-tax cash flow
$2,415/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawton
NCES district ID
4017250
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,618
Composite
19.68/100
National rank
#8732
State rank
#137 of 270 in OK

Livability — Lawton

Score
63/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#15131

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lawton, OK
County
Comanche County · 96,361 people
City population
89,233
Metro
Lawton, OK
Population (ZIP)
21,046
Household income
$62,132
Rent vs Own
42.1% rent · 57.9% own
Severe rent burden
979.0

Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
124,518 people
By 2030
124,231 · -0.2%
By 2040
122,193 · -1.9%
By 2050
120,368 · -3.3%
By 2075
120,492 · -3.2%
By 2100
123,113 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Black 13% Native American 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Comanche

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.48%
Current HPI
127.057
Rent YoY
▲ 0.25%
Metro
Lawton, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+34.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending LBRMLS
  • 2025-02-28 Contingent LBRMLS
  • 2024-12-13 Listed $90,000 LBRMLS
  • 2005-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records
  • 2002-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
  • 1993-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $904 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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