9209 Schram Rd · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,499
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This new single-story design makes smart use of the space available. At the front are all three secondary bedrooms arranged near a convenient full-sized bathroom. Down the foyer is a modern layout connecting a peninsula-style kitchen made for inspired meals, an intimate dining area and a family room ideal for gatherings. Tucked in a quiet corner is the owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2026
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Deed restrictions
- Financial info: Listing terms include Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA loan
- HOA & community: Mandatory association; Annual association fee (listed) with management by CMA; Association covers full use of facilities, grounds maintenance, and management fees
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (2 covered spaces, garage faces rear, 2-car single door); No carport spaces
- Security: Burglar alarm; Carbon monoxide detector(s); Fire alarm; Prewired for security; Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Concrete curbs and gutters; Sidewalk; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property; New construction (incomplete; 2026)
- Construction: Brick and fiber cement exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Year built 2026 (new construction - incomplete)
- Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Wood fencing; Interior lot; Landscaped; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 120
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Gas cooktop; Microwave; Built-in cabinets; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Natural stone/granite counters; Walk-in pantry; Water line to refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; Walk-in closet(s); Other
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $299k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (17.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $246k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD (urban): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #361 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eagle Mountain El (math 40% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,462 of 4,322 statewide, top 34%, 507 students, 19% FRL); Wayside Middle (math 42% / reading 42%, grade D-, #572 of 1,662 statewide, top 36%, 1,077 students, 39% FRL); Boswell H S (math 49% / reading 62%, grade C, #364 of 1,632 statewide, top 23%, 2,547 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1074 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.53%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-45,448
- Equity at exit
- $44,656
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-45,687
- Equity at exit
- $25,895
Cash invested: $83,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76179
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 1074
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,458 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,571
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,166/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $107
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $277 | -5% $192 | +0% $107 | +5% $22 | +10% $-62 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-87 | -5% $10 | +0% $107 | +5% $204 | +10% $301 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $258 | -0.5pp $183 | base $107 | +0.5pp $30 | +1.0pp $-49 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,875
- Closing costs
- $8,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3025 Tooley Dr Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $2,320 | $1.39 | 26d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 10916 Hopewell Cv Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 26d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 11012 Dillon St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1735 | $2,200 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 10953 Caldwell Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,895 | $1.36 | 19d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 10617 Kono Trl Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 26d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 9709 Thorncrown Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1933 | $2,350 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2633 Oneida Ln Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2059 | $2,850 | $1.38 | 26d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2633 Oneida Ln Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2059 | $2,850 | $1.38 | 0d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9600 Sullivan Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 26d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9613 Thorncrown Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1907 | $2,295 | $1.20 | 26d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2636 Keokuk St Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $2,500 | $1.38 | 26d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9685 Boat Club Rd Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,874 | $2.14 | 0d | 12 | 1.35mi |
| 9601 Thorncrown Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1906 | $2,600 | $1.36 | 26d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2916 Tibbles Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,899 | $1.32 | 26d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 10212 Regal Bend Ln Saginaw, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $2,395 | $1.28 | 19d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 9833 Trusler Rd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,050 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 9832 Trusler Rd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,875 | $1.48 | 26d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 9532 Thorncrown Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1856 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 20d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 9525 Thorncrown Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1999 | $2,400 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-02status $299,499 Pending 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,499 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,499 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-10price $299,499 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
This new single-story design makes smart use of the space available. At the front are all three secondary bedrooms arranged near a convenient full-sized bathroom. Down the foyer is a modern layout connecting a peninsula-style kitchen made for inspired meals, an intimate dining area and a family room ideal for gatherings. Tucked in a quiet corner is the owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-05-09price $299,499
-
2026-05-06$301,499 Active
-
2026-05-05price $301,499 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
This new single-story design makes smart use of the space available. At the front are all three secondary bedrooms arranged near a convenient full-sized bathroom. Down the foyer is a modern layout connecting a peninsula-style kitchen made for inspired meals, an intimate dining area and a family room ideal for gatherings. Tucked in a quiet corner is the owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-04-28price $304,499 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
This new single-story design makes smart use of the space available. At the front are all three secondary bedrooms arranged near a convenient full-sized bathroom. Down the foyer is a modern layout connecting a peninsula-style kitchen made for inspired meals, an intimate dining area and a family room ideal for gatherings. Tucked in a quiet corner is the owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-04-27$332,499 Active 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
This new single-story design makes smart use of the space available. At the front are all three secondary bedrooms arranged near a convenient full-sized bathroom. Down the foyer is a modern layout connecting a peninsula-style kitchen made for inspired meals, an intimate dining area and a family room ideal for gatherings. Tucked in a quiet corner is the owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,166 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,481 · $457/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,315/yr (+$360/mo · 370.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,494
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,777
- − Property taxes
- −$1,166
- − Insurance
- −$1,497
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,359
- − Management
- −$2,359
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$8,713
- Taxable loss
- −$3,882
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$932
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,217/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including new siding, roof, and interior painting, as well as landscaping. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a good condition and increase its resale or rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — The siding is visibly weathered and in need of replacement.
- Major roof — The roof appears to have visible damage and may need replacement.
- Major interior walls/paint — The exterior condition suggests the interior may be in poor condition and in need of repainting.
- Major landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior siding replacement — A new exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
- Both roof replacement — A new roof will improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value.
- Both interior painting — Repainting the interior will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
- Both landscaping — Trimming and maintaining the landscaping will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · The siding is visibly weathered and in need of replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · The roof appears to have visible damage and may need replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · The exterior condition suggests the interior may be in poor condition and in need of repainting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · The landscaping is overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both exterior siding replacement — A new exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
- Both roof replacement — A new roof will improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value. ↑
- Both interior painting — Repainting the interior will improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Both landscaping — Trimming and maintaining the landscaping will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4817700
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,781
- Composite
- 35.41/100
- National rank
- #4945
- State rank
- #361 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 80,090
- Household income
- $107,428
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1494.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 12% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.12%
- Current HPI
- 237.6676
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.51%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-9.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $299,499 Zillow
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $299,499 NTREIS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $301,499 NTREIS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $301,499 Zillow
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $304,499 Zillow
- 2026-04-27 Listed $332,499 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…