233 Baldwin Dr · Berea, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +6.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wow!!! Not A Drive By! Lrg Addition On Home. Tastefully Done, Lg Open Kitchen. Well Care For, Deck Off Family Room, All Appliances Stay, Wood Stove!!
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Covered patio
- Landscaped yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Central air conditioning (electric); Forced-air gas heating
- Home design: Two-story home; Slab foundation
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Shed(s); Wood backyard fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One bathroom on the main level
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Chandelier
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Inside laundry in a laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($654/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (9.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $226k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.9% in Berea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#136 in OH, #1,955 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Berea City (suburban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #414 of 656 in OH (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Grindstone Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #391 of 1,584 statewide, top 27%, 642 students, 27% FRL); Berea-Midpark Middle School (math 43% / reading 52%, grade C-, #444 of 654 statewide, top 69%, 1,556 students, 0% FRL); Berea-Midpark High School (math 28% / reading 60%, grade F, #489 of 781 statewide, top 63%, 1,850 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $250k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.93%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $241,678
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- 3.44%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148 Meadow Cir | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 1,600 (-2%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $156 | 81 |
| 147 Best Dr | 0.20mi | 4/1.5 | 1,737 (+6%) | 4mo | $272,000 | $157 | 74 |
| 516 Fair St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,520 (-7%) | 3mo | $285,026 | $188 | 71 |
| 517 Wyleswood Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,630 (-0%) | 7mo | $399,990 | $245 | 62 |
| 549 Wyleswood Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,630 (-0%) | 4mo | $419,000 | $257 | 62 |
| 23155 Wainwright Ter | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,595 (-2%) | 1mo | $251,000 | $157 | 61 |
| 380 Adrian Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,528 (-6%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $118 | 60 |
| 214 Race St | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,763 (+8%) | 7mo | $240,000 | $136 | 58 |
| 257 Beeler Dr | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 | 1,728 (+6%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $124 | 55 |
| 104 Whitehall Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,445 (-12%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $142 | 50 |
| 243 Jananna Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,402 (-14%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $168 | 50 |
| 209 Gibson St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,564 (-4%) | 3mo | $187,000 | $120 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-37,007
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-27,617
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44017
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,257 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$313 /mo · $3,761/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $54
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $196 | -5% $125 | +0% $54 | +5% $-16 | +10% $-87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-124 | -5% $-35 | +0% $54 | +5% $144 | +10% $233 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $180 | -0.5pp $118 | base $54 | +0.5pp $-10 | +1.0pp $-76 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 287 Edgewood Dr Berea, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1284 | $1,800 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9745 Douglas Ln Olmsted Falls, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,686 | $1.69 | 3d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 670 Prospect Rd Berea, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,686 | $1.98 | 3d | 16 | 0.67mi |
| 480 Haverhill Cir Berea, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1864 | $1,945 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 367 S Rocky River Dr Unit 1496132P Berea, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1765 | $5,357 | $3.04 | 9d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 55 Barrett Rd Berea, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 798 | $1,445 | $1.81 | 12d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 22410 Rock Creek Cir Strongsville, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2103 | $2,400 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 1052-char remark
-
2026-05-15$250,000 Active 1052-char remark
-
2005-06-24soldstatus $135,000 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Wow!!! Not A Drive By! Lrg Addition On Home. Tastefully Done, Lg Open Kitchen. Well Care For, Deck Off Family Room, All Appliances Stay, Wood Stove!!
-
2005-06-24soldstatus $135,000
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Wow!!! Not A Drive By! Lrg Addition On Home. Tastefully Done, Lg Open Kitchen. Well Care For, Deck Off Family Room, All Appliances Stay, Wood Stove!!
-
2005-05-19historical 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Wow!!! Not A Drive By! Lrg Addition On Home. Tastefully Done, Lg Open Kitchen. Well Care For, Deck Off Family Room, All Appliances Stay, Wood Stove!!
-
2004-11-11$139,000 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Wow!!! Not A Drive By! Lrg Addition On Home. Tastefully Done, Lg Open Kitchen. Well Care For, Deck Off Family Room, All Appliances Stay, Wood Stove!!
-
1997-10-24soldstatus $108,000
-
1994-07-20soldstatus $82,000
-
1994-07-19soldstatus $82,000
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
4 Bdrms:2up & 2down * Family Room Adjacent To Kitchen * Note Sq Ft * Enormous Potential * Needs Interior Addressing * Woodburning Stove In Family Room
-
1994-05-22$84,500
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
4 Bdrms:2up & 2down * Family Room Adjacent To Kitchen * Note Sq Ft * Enormous Potential * Needs Interior Addressing * Woodburning Stove In Family Room
-
1978-06-01soldstatus $46,000
-
1977-10-01soldstatus $43,300
-
1977-10-01soldstatus $43,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,761 · $313/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,830 · $319/mo
- Expected delta
- +$70/yr (+$6/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,084
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$3,761
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,167
- − Management
- −$2,167
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$3,536
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$849
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,502/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berea City
- NCES district ID
- 3904360
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,921
- Composite
- 44.18/100
- National rank
- #2856
- State rank
- #414 of 656 in OH
Livability — Berea
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #136
- US rank
- #1955
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berea, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 18,279
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,279
- Household income
- $75,231
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 356.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.89%
- Current HPI
- 208.8113
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+477.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-15 Listed $250,000 MLSNOW
- 2005-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-24 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MLSNOW
- 2005-05-19 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2004-11-11 Listed $139,000 MLSNOW
- 1997-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
- 1994-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
- 1994-07-19 Sold (MLS) $82,000 MLSNOW
- 1994-05-22 Listed $84,500 MLSNOW
- 1978-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 1977-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,300 Public Records
- 1977-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,761 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…