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167 East St Multi-family
B+ Composite 75.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

167 East St · Buffalo, NY 14207
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,576 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1890 5,663 sqft lot Est $185k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Three bedrooms in each unit. The Upper unit has an updated kitchen and some newer windows, heated by electric baseboard. The lower unit is three bedrooms, heated by a forced air furnace. The lower has some natural woodwork, large living rooms, kitchen with hardwood floors. Both Units have updated electrical boxes.

Key facts

  • Natural woodwork
  • Newer windows
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENNEWER WINDOWSNATURAL WOODWORKLARGE LIVING ROOMSHARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED ELECTRICAL BOXES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two separate electric meters; Two separate gas meters; Two total units in the building
  • Financial info: Owner pays water (rental setup); Operating expenses include water/sewer for multi-unit

Exterior

  • Parking: Common on-street parking available
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric service
  • Home design: Two-story building; Resale property
  • Construction: Composite siding; PEX plumbing; Asphalt roof; Existing / previously built structure
  • Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Hardwood and vinyl flooring (includes luxury vinyl); Varied flooring types through the units; Full and partial basement space
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup available; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,051/mo this rent would consume 92% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $170k implies a 305% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $167,450 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
16.20%
Cash-on-cash
35.39%
DSCR
2.57
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,472
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
81 East St 0.16mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,469 (-4%) 5mo $170,000 $69 76
152 Gorton St 0.24mi 6/2.0 2,620 (+2%) 15mo $158,000 $60 73
172 Austin St 0.26mi 6/2.0 2,300 (-11%) 2mo $165,001 $72 68
153 Dearborn St 0.18mi 6/2.0 2,920 (+13%) 4mo $266,000 $91 66
92 Kail St 0.36mi 6/2.0 2,594 (+1%) 20mo $170,000 $66 65
39 Letchworth St 0.63mi 6/2.0 2,552 (-1%) 21mo $218,500 $86 52
306 East St 0.27mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,264 (-12%) 22mo $200,000 $88 44
640 Grant St 0.67mi 6/3.0 2,858 (+11%) 12mo $275,000 $96 36
2107 Niagara St 0.45mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,796 (+8%) 24mo $145,000 $52 36
144 Peter St 0.68mi 6/3.0 2,380 (-8%) 19mo $140,000 $59 35
19 Arthur St 0.59mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,332 (-10%) 22mo $310,000 $133 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.2%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$77,936
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
45.3%
Equity multiple
6.38×
Total profit
$256,156
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14207

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,051 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $528/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$641
Net cashflow
$1,404

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,274
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 49%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,051

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $170,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 315-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $170,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$528 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,701 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$1,172/yr (+$98/mo · 221.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,612
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$528
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,929
− Management
−$2,929
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$14,908
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,578
After-tax cash flow
$13,269/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
26,327
Household income
$39,753
Rent vs Own
65.0% rent · 35.0% own
Severe rent burden
2177.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.42%
Current HPI
233.0902
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+672.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $170,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-21 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $160,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $150,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-21 Listed $160,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-20 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $160,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-06-13 Listed $170,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-06-12 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-02-20 Listed $170,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-12-21 Sold (MLS) $42,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-10-31 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2018-10-25 Listed $49,900 WNYREIS
  • 2018-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2006-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2004-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $528 · +25.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…