Multi-family
167 East St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Three bedrooms in each unit. The Upper unit has an updated kitchen and some newer windows, heated by electric baseboard. The lower unit is three bedrooms, heated by a forced air furnace. The lower has some natural woodwork, large living rooms, kitchen with hardwood floors. Both Units have updated electrical boxes.
Key facts
- Natural woodwork
- Newer windows
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two separate electric meters; Two separate gas meters; Two total units in the building
- Financial info: Owner pays water (rental setup); Operating expenses include water/sewer for multi-unit
Exterior
- Parking: Common on-street parking available
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric service
- Home design: Two-story building; Resale property
- Construction: Composite siding; PEX plumbing; Asphalt roof; Existing / previously built structure
- Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Hardwood and vinyl flooring (includes luxury vinyl); Varied flooring types through the units; Full and partial basement space
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup available; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,051/mo this rent would consume 92% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $170k implies a 305% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.39%
- DSCR
- 2.57
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,472
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 East St | 0.16mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,469 (-4%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $69 | 76 |
| 152 Gorton St | 0.24mi | 6/2.0 | 2,620 (+2%) | 15mo | $158,000 | $60 | 73 |
| 172 Austin St | 0.26mi | 6/2.0 | 2,300 (-11%) | 2mo | $165,001 | $72 | 68 |
| 153 Dearborn St | 0.18mi | 6/2.0 | 2,920 (+13%) | 4mo | $266,000 | $91 | 66 |
| 92 Kail St | 0.36mi | 6/2.0 | 2,594 (+1%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $66 | 65 |
| 39 Letchworth St | 0.63mi | 6/2.0 | 2,552 (-1%) | 21mo | $218,500 | $86 | 52 |
| 306 East St | 0.27mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,264 (-12%) | 22mo | $200,000 | $88 | 44 |
| 640 Grant St | 0.67mi | 6/3.0 | 2,858 (+11%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $96 | 36 |
| 2107 Niagara St | 0.45mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,796 (+8%) | 24mo | $145,000 | $52 | 36 |
| 144 Peter St | 0.68mi | 6/3.0 | 2,380 (-8%) | 19mo | $140,000 | $59 | 35 |
| 19 Arthur St | 0.59mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,332 (-10%) | 22mo | $310,000 | $133 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $77,936
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 45.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.38×
- Total profit
- $256,156
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14207
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,051 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $528/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$641
- Net cashflow
- $1,404
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $3,050 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,525 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,525 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,051 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $170,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 315-char remark
-
2026-06-02$170,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $528 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,701 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,172/yr (+$98/mo · 221.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,612
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$528
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,929
- − Management
- −$2,929
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $14,908
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,578
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,269/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,327
- Household income
- $39,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2177.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.42%
- Current HPI
- 233.0902
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+672.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $170,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-21 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $160,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $150,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-08-21 Listed $160,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-08-20 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $160,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-06-13 Listed $170,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-06-12 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-02-20 Listed $170,000 WNYREIS
- 2018-12-21 Sold (MLS) $42,000 WNYREIS
- 2018-10-31 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2018-10-25 Listed $49,900 WNYREIS
- 2018-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2006-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2004-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $528 · +25.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…