112 S State St · Pana, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this very well maintained nice and clean 2 bedroom move in ready home with nice yard and 1 car detached garage. Recent updates include: roof, bathroom, electrical. Nice open floor plan, spacious kitchen, dining room, and living room. There is an extra room that could be used as a 3rd bedroom.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Recent updates
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Gravel road access; Lot approximately 0.17 acres (50 x 150)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished full basement; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located on the main level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($923 rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 6.4% in Pana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#599 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pana CUSD 8 (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #360 of 620 in IL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Christian County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1853 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1853 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.98%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $87,247
- List price
- $82,900
- Delta
- -4.98%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 W 3rd St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,088 (+5%) | 6mo | $53,000 | $49 | 74 |
| 400 S Clark St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-1%) | 13mo | $36,000 | $35 | 72 |
| 402 W 2nd St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-2%) | 15mo | $35,000 | $35 | 64 |
| 604 Kitchell St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,052 (+2%) | 2mo | $55,500 | $53 | 58 |
| 406 S Grant St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+12%) | 7mo | $105,000 | $91 | 50 |
| 405 E 5th St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+6%) | 15mo | $89,000 | $82 | 46 |
| 703 S Locust St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (-5%) | 13mo | $20,000 | $20 | 46 |
| 205 W 7th St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (+12%) | 15mo | $124,000 | $107 | 39 |
| 512 N State St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,110 (+8%) | 15mo | $45,000 | $41 | 38 |
| 405 S Maple St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,179 (+14%) | 5mo | $11,500 | $10 | 36 |
| 405 Maple St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,179 (+14%) | 6mo | $8,500 | $7 | 36 |
| 608 Maple St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,151 (+12%) | 14mo | $89,000 | $77 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,299
- Equity at exit
- $12,361
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $20,012
- Equity at exit
- $7,168
Cash invested: $23,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62557
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $923 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$435
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $341/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $232
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $279 | -5% $255 | +0% $232 | +5% $208 | +10% $185 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $159 | -5% $195 | +0% $232 | +5% $268 | +10% $305 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $274 | -0.5pp $253 | base $232 | +0.5pp $210 | +1.0pp $188 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,725
- Closing costs
- $2,487
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $82,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $82,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $82,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $82,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $82,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $82,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-06$89,900 Active 304-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $341 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,112 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$770/yr (+$64/mo · 225.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,644
- − Property taxes
- −$341
- − Insurance
- −$414
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$887
- − Management
- −$887
- − Depreciation
- −$2,412
- Taxable income
- $1,497
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$359
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,422/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pana CUSD 8
- NCES district ID
- 1730630
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,385
- Composite
- 20.88/100
- National rank
- #8493
- State rank
- #360 of 620 in IL
Livability — Pana
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #599
- US rank
- #12409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pana, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,859
Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,182 people
- By 2030
- 29,787 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 26,793 · -14.1%
- By 2050
- 23,757 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 17,333 · -44.4%
- By 2100
- 11,573 · -62.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Christian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 25.9% · R 72.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: -6.3pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.82%
- Current HPI
- 135.6938
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-7.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $82,900 CIBR
- 2026-05-06 Listed $89,900 CIBR
Property tax history
-3.6%/yrLatest (2019): $341 · -8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…