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3014 Lake Shore Dr Unit 7B
A- Composite 81.35
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$150,000

3014 Lake Shore Dr Unit 7B · Lake George, NY 12845
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Condo · 32 Days on market
Built 1990 Good condition $550/mo HOA · 21% of rent ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Luxury living without the price tag. Enjoy all four Adirondack seasons with 13 weeks of waterfront ownership at The Quarters at Lake George. This fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers a maintenance-free lifestyle with resort-style amenities. Features include a jacuzzi tub in the primary bedroom, new flooring, a gas fireplace in the living room, and a private deck with lake views just steps from the water. Ownership includes a dock space for up to a 30-foot boat during your designated weeks, along with access to a private beach, lakeside sundeck, and outdoor pool overlooking the lake. The indoor recreation center features a hot tub, game room, gym, lounge area, and laundry facilitie

Key facts

  • Private deck
  • Outdoor pool
  • Waterfront ownership

Tags

WATERFRONT OWNERSHIPJACUZZI TUBPRIVATE DECKDOCK SPACEPRIVATE BEACHOUTDOOR POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Outdoor in-ground pool and spa
  • HOA & community: Association with monthly fee ($550); Association amenities include beach access, boat dock, lake access and recreation facilities; Association fee covers cable TV, cooling, electricity, gas, heating, insurance, grounds and structure maintenance, sewer, snow removal, trash and water

Exterior

  • Parking: One paved driveway parking space
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Cable available and connected
  • Home design: Condominium; Entry on first level and bedrooms on second level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Paved driveway; Exterior lighting; Storage structure; Shared lakefront access (Lake George); Private, landscaped lot with views

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second level; Additional bedroom on second level
  • Flooring: Tile; Wood; Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (located on second level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Solid surface counters; Window treatments; One fireplace (gas, located in living room); 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 2.9% in Lake George — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#788 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Watch: employment C-, cost of living D+, crime D.
  • Lake George Central School District (rural): math 68% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #131 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Lake George Elementary School (math 62% / reading 82%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 300 students, 24% FRL); Lake George Junior-Senior High School (math 72% / reading 62%, grade B, #746 of 1,100 statewide, top 69%, 330 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 22% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Recommended offer $145,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
10.15%
Cash-on-cash
13.77%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
3.68×
Total profit
$112,761
Equity at exit
$135,132
10-year hold
IRR
29.8%
Equity multiple
8.35×
Total profit
$308,680
Equity at exit
$291,417

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12845

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,618 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$550
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$550
Net cashflow
$482

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,008
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $586 -5% $534 +0% $482 +5% $430 +10% $378
Rent -10% $275 -5% $378 +0% $482 +5% $585 +10% $689
Rate -1.0pp $557 -0.5pp $520 base $482 +0.5pp $443 +1.0pp $403

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$550 · $6,600/yr
Likely covers
watergaspoolgym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    listed $150,000 Active
  17. 2026-05-05
    historical
  18. 2026-01-09
    price $150,000
  19. 2025-05-05
    listed $170,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,420
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,514
− Management
−$2,514
− HOA
−$6,600
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$4,027
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$966
After-tax cash flow
$4,816/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers a maintenance-free lifestyle with resort-style amenities. The exterior and interior appear to be in good condition, and the location offers a private dock space and lake views.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Update the furniture and decor in the living room and kitchen to modernize the space and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters. — Updating the furniture and decor can make the space more inviting and modern, which can increase both the resale and rental value.
  • Both Consider adding smart home features such as smart lighting and thermostats to make the home more energy-efficient and convenient for potential buyers or renters. — Adding smart home features can make the home more energy-efficient and convenient, which can increase both the resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Update the furniture and decor in the living room and kitchen to modernize the space and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters. — Updating the furniture and decor can make the space more inviting and modern, which can increase both the resale and rental value.
  • Both Consider adding smart home features such as smart lighting and thermostats to make the home more energy-efficient and convenient for potential buyers or renters. — Adding smart home features can make the home more energy-efficient and convenient, which can increase both the resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake George Central School District
NCES district ID
3616470
Math proficiency
68% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$65,873
Composite
61.29/100
National rank
#777
State rank
#131 of 590 in NY

Livability — Lake George

Score
63/100
State rank
#788
US rank
#15111

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime D Employment C- Housing C Health & safety D- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,389

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,372 people
By 2030
60,491 · -3.0%
By 2040
55,616 · -10.8%
By 2050
50,437 · -19.1%
By 2075
40,843 · -34.5%
By 2100
31,159 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Italian 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.18%
Current HPI
364.9782
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $150,000 Global MLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $150,000 Global MLS
  • 2025-05-05 Listed $170,000 Global MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…