3014 Lake Shore Dr Unit 7B · Lake George, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Luxury living without the price tag. Enjoy all four Adirondack seasons with 13 weeks of waterfront ownership at The Quarters at Lake George. This fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers a maintenance-free lifestyle with resort-style amenities. Features include a jacuzzi tub in the primary bedroom, new flooring, a gas fireplace in the living room, and a private deck with lake views just steps from the water. Ownership includes a dock space for up to a 30-foot boat during your designated weeks, along with access to a private beach, lakeside sundeck, and outdoor pool overlooking the lake. The indoor recreation center features a hot tub, game room, gym, lounge area, and laundry facilitie
Key facts
- Private deck
- Outdoor pool
- Waterfront ownership
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Outdoor in-ground pool and spa
- HOA & community: Association with monthly fee ($550); Association amenities include beach access, boat dock, lake access and recreation facilities; Association fee covers cable TV, cooling, electricity, gas, heating, insurance, grounds and structure maintenance, sewer, snow removal, trash and water
Exterior
- Parking: One paved driveway parking space
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Cable available and connected
- Home design: Condominium; Entry on first level and bedrooms on second level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Paved driveway; Exterior lighting; Storage structure; Shared lakefront access (Lake George); Private, landscaped lot with views
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second level; Additional bedroom on second level
- Flooring: Tile; Wood; Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (located on second level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Solid surface counters; Window treatments; One fireplace (gas, located in living room); 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 2.9% in Lake George — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#788 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Watch: employment C-, cost of living D+, crime D.
- Lake George Central School District (rural): math 68% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #131 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Lake George Elementary School (math 62% / reading 82%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 300 students, 24% FRL); Lake George Junior-Senior High School (math 72% / reading 62%, grade B, #746 of 1,100 statewide, top 69%, 330 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 22% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.77%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $112,761
- Equity at exit
- $135,132
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 8.35×
- Total profit
- $308,680
- Equity at exit
- $291,417
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12845
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,618 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$550
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$550
- Net cashflow
- $482
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $586 | -5% $534 | +0% $482 | +5% $430 | +10% $378 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $275 | -5% $378 | +0% $482 | +5% $585 | +10% $689 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $557 | -0.5pp $520 | base $482 | +0.5pp $443 | +1.0pp $403 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $550 · $6,600/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaspoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$150,000 Active
-
2026-05-05historical
-
2026-01-09price $150,000
-
2025-05-05$170,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,420
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,514
- − Management
- −$2,514
- − HOA
- −$6,600
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $4,027
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$966
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,816/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers a maintenance-free lifestyle with resort-style amenities. The exterior and interior appear to be in good condition, and the location offers a private dock space and lake views.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Update the furniture and decor in the living room and kitchen to modernize the space and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters. — Updating the furniture and decor can make the space more inviting and modern, which can increase both the resale and rental value.
- Both Consider adding smart home features such as smart lighting and thermostats to make the home more energy-efficient and convenient for potential buyers or renters. — Adding smart home features can make the home more energy-efficient and convenient, which can increase both the resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Update the furniture and decor in the living room and kitchen to modernize the space and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters. — Updating the furniture and decor can make the space more inviting and modern, which can increase both the resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Consider adding smart home features such as smart lighting and thermostats to make the home more energy-efficient and convenient for potential buyers or renters. — Adding smart home features can make the home more energy-efficient and convenient, which can increase both the resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake George Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616470
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,873
- Composite
- 61.29/100
- National rank
- #777
- State rank
- #131 of 590 in NY
Livability — Lake George
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #788
- US rank
- #15111
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,389
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,372 people
- By 2030
- 60,491 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 55,616 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 50,437 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 40,843 · -34.5%
- By 2100
- 31,159 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Italian 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.18%
- Current HPI
- 364.9782
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-11.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $150,000 Global MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $150,000 Global MLS
- 2025-05-05 Listed $170,000 Global MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…