Duplex
1921 Bonneville Dr · University, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$385,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Buy both sides & let one for both! Brand new kitchens w/ Microwaves!! Ceramic tile except bdrms! Vaulted ceilings! Big lot! Concrete block! No HOA! County water! Very good condition!! Good Schools! Walk to fire station!!!! Call today for preview!!!
Key facts
- Covered carport
- Newer roof
- Tile flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed; Zoned R-2; Has additional parcels; Number of lots: 2; Lot size approximately 0.33 acres (about 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre); Asphalt road access
- Financial info: Annual net income reported for the multi-family property
- HOA & community: No HOA/association
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; High-speed internet available (BB/HS)
- Home design: Duplex (residential income property); Attached property; Single-story
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a multi-unit building (1 building)
- Exterior features: Fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (total 4 bedrooms)
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom (total 2 bathrooms)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo; Sliding doors
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $385k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-124/yr) — negative. Per door: $-5/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $383k (0.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $337k (12.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $337k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.8% in University — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#28 in FL, #603 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bonneville Elementary (math 46% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,330 of 2,144 statewide, top 63%, 430 students, 66% FRL); East River High (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 2,050 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,372/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1705% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $212k; list at $385k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.12%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $374,528
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1921 Bonneville Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,792 (0%) | 1mo | $375,000 | $209 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-72,870
- Equity at exit
- $57,405
- IRR
- -21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-102,254
- Equity at exit
- $33,288
Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32826
- Home prices YoY
- -17.0%
- Rents YoY
- -4.0%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 19.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,372 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,019
- Tax from tax record
- −$495 /mo · $5,938/yr
- Insurance
- −$160
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$708
- Net cashflow
- $-10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $208 | -5% $99 | +0% $-10 | +5% $-119 | +10% $-228 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-277 | -5% $-144 | +0% $-10 | +5% $123 | +10% $256 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $184 | -0.5pp $88 | base $-10 | +0.5pp $-110 | +1.0pp $-212 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,372 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,686 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,686 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,372 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,250
- Closing costs
- $11,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12912 Odyssey Lake Way Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,399 | $1.72 | 5d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 12949 Odyssey Lake Way Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $2,100 | $1.61 | 8d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2612 Bonneville Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $2,100 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 12000 Bryonia Rd Alafaya, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 979 | $2,570 | $2.62 | 3d | 14 | 0.82mi |
| 2645 Talladega Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $2,281 | $1.85 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1700 Woodbury Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $2,009 | $2.01 | 4d | 7 | 0.86mi |
| 1911 Colonial Woods Blvd Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 14050 Ithaca Way Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $2,115 | $1.72 | 8d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 14535 Lake Underhill Rd Orlando, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2366 | $2,850 | $1.20 | 8d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 862 Jade Forest Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2410 | $2,950 | $1.22 | 8d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 12235 Fox Hound Ln Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1231 | $1,850 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 13099 Lexington Summit St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 12973 Lexington Summit St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1476 | $2,195 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 13521 Old Dock Rd Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2457 | $2,799 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 13448 Old Dock Rd Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2444 | $2,795 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 12612 Victoria Place Cir Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1149 | $2,475 | $2.15 | 3d | 12 | 1.32mi |
| 12640 Somerset Oaks St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1483 | $2,000 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 12846 Lexington Summit St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1483 | $2,350 | $1.58 | 8d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3229 New Mexico Ct Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $2,370 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 12623 Lexington Summit St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1504 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 12137 Ashton Manor Way Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1051 | $2,003 | $1.91 | 3d | 8 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-07$385,000 Active
-
2024-04-23historical $1,500
-
2024-04-03price $1,500
-
2024-01-29$1,600
-
2024-01-29historical $1,600
-
2024-01-20$1,600
-
2008-07-21soldstatus $212,357
-
2008-07-11soldstatus $215,000 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Buy both sides & let one for both! Brand new kitchens w/ Microwaves!! Ceramic tile except bdrms! Vaulted ceilings! Big lot! Concrete block! No HOA! County water! Very good condition!! Good Schools! Walk to fire station!!!! Call today for preview!!!
-
2008-06-20historical
-
2008-04-08$229,900
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Buy both sides & let one for both! Brand new kitchens w/ Microwaves!! Ceramic tile except bdrms! Vaulted ceilings! Big lot! Concrete block! No HOA! County water! Very good condition!! Good Schools! Walk to fire station!!!! Call today for preview!!!
-
2008-04-08$229,900 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Buy both sides & let one for both! Brand new kitchens w/ Microwaves!! Ceramic tile except bdrms! Vaulted ceilings! Big lot! Concrete block! No HOA! County water! Very good condition!! Good Schools! Walk to fire station!!!! Call today for preview!!!
-
1975-06-01soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,938 · $495/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,938 · $495/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,566
- − Property taxes
- −$5,938
- − Insurance
- −$1,925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,237
- − Management
- −$3,237
- − Depreciation
- −$11,200
- Taxable loss
- −$6,639
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,593
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,469/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — University
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- University, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 41,570
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,006
- Household income
- $64,755
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1705.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 19% Black 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 16% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.30%
- Current HPI
- 318.563
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.05%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1440.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Listed $385,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-23 Rental Removed $1,500 STELLARMLS
- 2024-04-03 Price Changed $1,500 STELLARMLS
- 2024-01-29 Listed for Rent $1,600 STELLARMLS
- 2024-01-29 Rental Removed $1,600 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-20 Listed for Rent $1,600 APPFOLIO
- 2008-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $212,357 Public Records
- 2008-07-11 Sold (MLS) $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-20 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-08 Listed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-08 Listed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1975-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,938 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…