4602 N Wayside Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom property being offered at lot value, presenting a prime opportunity for investors or buyers seeking redevelopment or a full renovation project. Located approximately 10 minutes from the University of Houston and Downtown Houston, this property offers convenient access to major employment centers, dining, and entertainment. Sold as-is, where-is. Ideal for those looking to capitalize on location and land value.
Key facts
- 9,600 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1988
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller disclosure available
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 2-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1988; Block foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Wood siding exterior
- Exterior features: Cleared lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor (15x15)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (11x11); Two additional bedrooms on the first floor (each 10x10)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; First-floor bathroom (8x8)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Window cooling units
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Living room on the first floor (18x20)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($314/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Scroggins El (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 335 students, 98% FRL); Mcreynolds Middle (math 10% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,602 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 398 students, 98% FRL); Wheatley H S (math 17% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 643 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 354 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.60%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,166
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -44.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4602 N Wayside Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (0%) | 1mo | $99,000 | $86 | 90 |
| 7422 Gainesville St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,272 (+10%) | 16mo | $117,000 | $92 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.25% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $21,980
- Equity at exit
- $57,581
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $57,781
- Equity at exit
- $100,622
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77028
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 354
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,423 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,329/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $26
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $82 | -5% $54 | +0% $26 | +5% $-2 | +10% $-30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-86 | -5% $-30 | +0% $26 | +5% $82 | +10% $139 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $76 | -0.5pp $51 | base $26 | +0.5pp $0 | +1.0pp $-26 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7212 Corpus Christi St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5212 Ina St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1175 | $1,050 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 6715 Victoria St Unit B Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 790 | $1,150 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 7956 Bonaire St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1498 | $2,050 | $1.37 | 0d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7956 Bonaire St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1498 | $2,150 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3802 Dabney St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $875 | $0.96 | 4d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3802 Dabney St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $990 | $1.20 | 45d | 2 | 1.25mi |
| 3822 Dabney St Unit 2 BEDROOM 3 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $985 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3910 Woolworth St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 7839 Sandy St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,575 | $1.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-12price $99,000 434-char remark
-
2026-05-07$110,000 Active 434-char remark
-
2000-11-29soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,812 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$482/yr (+$40/mo · 36.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,329
- − Insurance
- −$5,614
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,366
- − Management
- −$1,366
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$1,028
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$247
- After-tax cash flow
- $561/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,109
- Household income
- $38,357
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1177.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (57%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 15% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 38%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.25%
- Current HPI
- 267.7798
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.55%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-10.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-06-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2026-05-19 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $99,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $110,000 HARMLS
- 2000-11-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,329 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…